The war has started, what is going to happen next !
- Abiy may withdraw from all Tigray territories & restore TPLF as party and a peaceful end for Tigray & OPDO led Federal government 8 years conflict . Axumezana supports this path.
- Abiy may try to use TPLF coming to West Tigray and the Assab issue to mobilize support, specially Amhara forces, against Tigray and Eritrea . He may get some support from Amhara but FANO will neutralize Abiy's propaganda .
- If Abiy cannot quickly withdraw from Tigray , Isaias army will mobilize from Assab & Humera side. FANO, OLA & other forces like from Afar will march toward Addis Ababa. Further more Abiy forces will be attacked from Somalia, Western Ethiopia, Afar in Oromia & Amhara. Abiy forces will not be able to stand such coordinated attack and Abiy's focus will be reduced to defend Addis Ababa
Unfortunate for Abiy he is alone and will be defeated exposing Ethiopia for disintegration. He may be forced to invite external forces through African Union or UN to save his power temporarily.
Axumezana advise to Abiy : Do not resist TDF as to they march to bring law and order to Tigrayan territories and reconcile with TPLF immediately. If that cannot happen Ethiopia will face risk of disintegration. ጀሮ ያለው ይስማ!
- Abiy may try to use TPLF coming to West Tigray and the Assab issue to mobilize support, specially Amhara forces, against Tigray and Eritrea . He may get some support from Amhara but FANO will neutralize Abiy's propaganda .
- If Abiy cannot quickly withdraw from Tigray , Isaias army will mobilize from Assab & Humera side. FANO, OLA & other forces like from Afar will march toward Addis Ababa. Further more Abiy forces will be attacked from Somalia, Western Ethiopia, Afar in Oromia & Amhara. Abiy forces will not be able to stand such coordinated attack and Abiy's focus will be reduced to defend Addis Ababa
Unfortunate for Abiy he is alone and will be defeated exposing Ethiopia for disintegration. He may be forced to invite external forces through African Union or UN to save his power temporarily.
Axumezana advise to Abiy : Do not resist TDF as to they march to bring law and order to Tigrayan territories and reconcile with TPLF immediately. If that cannot happen Ethiopia will face risk of disintegration. ጀሮ ያለው ይስማ!
Last edited by Axumezana on 26 Jan 2026, 16:48, edited 1 time in total.
Re: The war has started, what is going to happen next !
Axum,
Why do you think UAE gave Abiy 20 Mirage 2000s right at this moment?
Abiy has all of the intelligence on the coordinated preparation financed by Egypt (Saudi) organized by Shabiya and executed by TPLF.
Egypt want to entangle Abiy in large scale war and stop the economic growth of Ethiopia.
Sure, all of them Egypt, Eritrea, and TPLF want to divert Abiy from economic revolution to wasteful war.
Abiy very well knows this. ቀኔን ሊሻሙኝ ይፈልጋሉ ያለው ያንን ነው።
ጄ/ል ጻድቃን አሁን የኢትዮጵያ ጦርን ጸረ ጎሬላ ዉጊያ እኒያሰልጥን ስልጣን ይዟል
ስለዚህ 3 አይነት ዉጊያ ጠብቅ
ኤርትራን በግዙፍ የጦር ጄቶች መሰረተ ልማቷን ማውደም ነው ። ከኤርትራ ጋር የታንክና እግረኛ ዉጊያ አይኖርም ።
የትግሬ ጦርን በጄት፣ ድሮንና እግረኛ ጭምር መምታት ነው
ፋኖና ኦላን በድሮንና ጸረ ጎሬላ ዉጊያ ማሳደድ ነው።
ለምሳሌ ሰሞኑን ኤርትራ መሳሪያ በግልጽ ወደ ትግሬ ስታስገባ አቢይ መረጃውን ሰብስቦ ዝም ነው ያለው!
አቢይ is building hard facts and justification for full scale war against both TPLF and Eritrea to convince the world.
It is this kind of justification we need to take over Assab.
This is he needed 20 more Mirage 2000 jets. Why now?
Abiy had hard time mobilizing the nation for large war against OLA and FANO
Now Egypt, Eritrea, & TPLF have started the war.
Expect national mobilization which Abiy needs to bomb TPLF, Shabiya, Fano and OLA using Jets and missiles.
Why do you think UAE gave Abiy 20 Mirage 2000s right at this moment?
Abiy has all of the intelligence on the coordinated preparation financed by Egypt (Saudi) organized by Shabiya and executed by TPLF.
Egypt want to entangle Abiy in large scale war and stop the economic growth of Ethiopia.
Sure, all of them Egypt, Eritrea, and TPLF want to divert Abiy from economic revolution to wasteful war.
Abiy very well knows this. ቀኔን ሊሻሙኝ ይፈልጋሉ ያለው ያንን ነው።
ጄ/ል ጻድቃን አሁን የኢትዮጵያ ጦርን ጸረ ጎሬላ ዉጊያ እኒያሰልጥን ስልጣን ይዟል
ስለዚህ 3 አይነት ዉጊያ ጠብቅ
ኤርትራን በግዙፍ የጦር ጄቶች መሰረተ ልማቷን ማውደም ነው ። ከኤርትራ ጋር የታንክና እግረኛ ዉጊያ አይኖርም ።
የትግሬ ጦርን በጄት፣ ድሮንና እግረኛ ጭምር መምታት ነው
ፋኖና ኦላን በድሮንና ጸረ ጎሬላ ዉጊያ ማሳደድ ነው።
ለምሳሌ ሰሞኑን ኤርትራ መሳሪያ በግልጽ ወደ ትግሬ ስታስገባ አቢይ መረጃውን ሰብስቦ ዝም ነው ያለው!
አቢይ is building hard facts and justification for full scale war against both TPLF and Eritrea to convince the world.
It is this kind of justification we need to take over Assab.
This is he needed 20 more Mirage 2000 jets. Why now?
Abiy had hard time mobilizing the nation for large war against OLA and FANO
Now Egypt, Eritrea, & TPLF have started the war.
Expect national mobilization which Abiy needs to bomb TPLF, Shabiya, Fano and OLA using Jets and missiles.
Last edited by Horus on 26 Jan 2026, 16:51, edited 1 time in total.
Re: The war has started, what is going to happen next !
Tsadikan is our own ! The military hardwares have little role to play ! Immediate reconcilation with TPLF is only way out ! Ethiopia should be saved from disintegration !
Re: The war has started, what is going to happen next !
Axum,
You are behind the news. Tsadkan just received an assignment is ENDF as training general for guerrilla warfare. I g...uess, you are blinded by your own desire. Now, Abiy has the justification for complete siege of Tigray- total shut down.
Follow how the economic rope is being .......
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ethiopianunity
- Senior Member
- Posts: 10853
- Joined: 30 Apr 2007, 17:38
Re: The war has started, what is going to happen next !
AX,
Does have connection with that Pak/Indi guy. You are partially right, Aby spent the whole 8 years beautifying Addis instead of neutralizing Tplf, closing the Tigray border from Eritrea and Sudan side, unite Tigray and Amara to protect all borders. He is relying too much on Drones, others. Tplf should not be near those borders let alone invade Tigray and Amara.
Does have connection with that Pak/Indi guy. You are partially right, Aby spent the whole 8 years beautifying Addis instead of neutralizing Tplf, closing the Tigray border from Eritrea and Sudan side, unite Tigray and Amara to protect all borders. He is relying too much on Drones, others. Tplf should not be near those borders let alone invade Tigray and Amara.
Re: The war has started, what is going to happen next !
ቅዘናም ሶዶ ጉራጌ የትግሬና የኦሮሞ ጀላን እየቀያየረ ይጠባል።Horus wrote: ↑26 Jan 2026, 16:53Axum,
You are behind the news. Tsadkan just received an assignment is ENDF as training general for guerrilla warfare. I g...uess, you are blinded by your own desire. Now, Abiy has the justification for complete siege of Tigray- total shut down.
Follow how the economic rope is being .......
Axumqizena, አስር የማሞላ ሚሊሻ ፀለምት ውስጥ ስለተጋጨ ነው ጦርነት ተነሳ ያልከው? እንጭጭ እኮ ነህ። ይህ የኦህዴድ ዘዴ የጎንደር አማራ እንዲደነግጥና ጎንደርን ክልል እናደርጋለን በሚሉ ጎንደሬ ባንዳዎች የዝናሽ ተከፋዬች የተቀነባበረች ወሬ ናት። በዛውም ፋኖን አቋምህን አሳውቅ በማለት የሚድያ ፕሮፖጋንዳ ለመርጨት ነው።
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ethiopianunity
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Re: The war has started, what is going to happen next !
Fano is Ethiopian you dim witHorus wrote: ↑26 Jan 2026, 16:46Axum,
Why do you think UAE gave Abiy 20 Mirage 2000s right at this moment?
Abiy has all of the intelligence on the coordinated preparation financed by Egypt (Saudi) organized by Shabiya and executed by TPLF.
Egypt want to entangle Abiy in large scale war and stop the economic growth of Ethiopia.
Obviously pp is not and has not been taking this situation seriously, esp Egypt's involvement. Concerning economic development is not urgent for urgent situation like this. My hunch is that the real war could be against Amara maybe pp is part of Shabia/ Tplf plan that is why pp is not making wars in Ethiopia as priority. The urgency is building fountains in Addis
Sure, all of them Egypt, Eritrea, and TPLF want to divert Abiy from economic revolution to wasteful war.
Abiy very well knows this. ቀኔን ሊሻሙኝ ይፈልጋሉ ያለው ያንን ነው።
ጄ/ል ጻድቃን አሁን የኢትዮጵያ ጦርን ጸረ ጎሬላ ዉጊያ እኒያሰልጥን ስልጣን ይዟል
He is training them just now? Are you kidding?
ስለዚህ 3 አይነት ዉጊያ ጠብቅ
ኤርትራን በግዙፍ የጦር ጄቶች መሰረተ ልማቷን ማውደም ነው ። ከኤርትራ ጋር የታንክና እግረኛ ዉጊያ አይኖርም ።
የትግሬ ጦርን በጄት፣ ድሮንና እግረኛ ጭምር መምታት ነው
ፋኖና ኦላን በድሮንና ጸረ ጎሬላ ዉጊያ ማሳደድ ነው።
You still have not made distinction between Ethiopians who are Fano and Libertion Fronts. Mind you Fano was and is pro Ethiopia unlike Weyane. Pp made Fano vulnerable by getting them exposed to Shabia and Tplf so they got infiltrated , now opus branding entire Amara as enemy? Because it is targeting Fano. If there was difference, pp could have sold through negotiation with Fano.
ለምሳሌ ሰሞኑን ኤርትራ መሳሪያ በግልጽ ወደ ትግሬ ስታስገባ አቢይ መረጃውን ሰብስቦ ዝም ነው ያለው!
አቢይ is building hard facts and justification for full scale war against both TPLF and Eritrea to convince the world.
It is this kind of justification we need to take over Assab.
This is he needed 20 more Mirage 2000 jets. Why now?
Abiy had hard time mobilizing the nation for large war against OLA and FANOwhy open your mouth roaring like lion when he is not even mobilising people! Focusing on beautifying Addis, his priority is for sure misplaced. Who are his advisors? Or, my assumptions l mentioned above was right all along.
Now Egypt, Eritrea, & TPLF have started the war.
Expect national mobilization which Abiy needs to bomb TPLF, Shabiya, Fano and OLA using Jets and missiles.
Re: The war has started, what is going to happen next !
Axumezana wrote: ↑26 Jan 2026, 16:26- Abiy may withdraw from all Tigray territories & restore TPLF as party and a peaceful end for Tigray & OPDO led Federal government 8 years conflict . Axumezana supports this path.
- Abiy may try to use TPLF coming to West Tigray and the Assab issue to mobilize support, specially Amhara forces, against Tigray and Eritrea . He may get some support from Amhara but FANO will neutralize Abiy's propaganda .
- If Abiy cannot quickly withdraw from Tigray , Isaias army will mobilize from Assab & Humera side. FANO, OLA & other forces like from Afar will march toward Addis Ababa. Further more Abiy forces will be attacked from Somalia, Western Ethiopia, Afar in Oromia & Amhara. Abiy forces will not be able to stand such coordinated attack and Abiy's focus will be reduced to defend Addis Ababa
Unfortunate for Abiy he is alone and will be defeated exposing Ethiopia for disintegration. He may be forced to invite external forces through African Union or UN to save his power temporarily.
Axumezana advise to Abiy : Do not resist TDF as to they march to bring law and order to Tigrayan territories and reconcile with TPLF immediately. If that cannot happen Ethiopia will face risk of disintegration. ጀሮ ያለው ይስማ!
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Sadacha Macca
- Senior Member
- Posts: 12804
- Joined: 22 Feb 2014, 16:46
Re: The war has started, what is going to happen next !
It's a complex situation from what I see. Which is typical for Ethiopia.
If tplf is invading the disputed lands, then that means both fano and pp will be taking resources they were using against each other, to fight the tplf.
However, fano supporters say the main goal is overthrowing abiy, so perhaps elements of fano will let the tplf rampage through those disputed lands until perhaps... they get to the border with Sudan where sudan, Egypt and shabia can easily arm, fund and assist them, for their own reasons, to destabilize abiy and as a result weaken Ethiopia further. Neither abiy or at least a faction of fano, want to see tplf gain access to the border with sudan.
So even if abiy doesn't want to divert soldiers and armaments away from his fight with fano to fighting tplf, he really doesn't have a choice. Unless there were some backdoor agreements reached, who knows, but I doubt it.
If tplf is invading the disputed lands, then that means both fano and pp will be taking resources they were using against each other, to fight the tplf.
However, fano supporters say the main goal is overthrowing abiy, so perhaps elements of fano will let the tplf rampage through those disputed lands until perhaps... they get to the border with Sudan where sudan, Egypt and shabia can easily arm, fund and assist them, for their own reasons, to destabilize abiy and as a result weaken Ethiopia further. Neither abiy or at least a faction of fano, want to see tplf gain access to the border with sudan.
So even if abiy doesn't want to divert soldiers and armaments away from his fight with fano to fighting tplf, he really doesn't have a choice. Unless there were some backdoor agreements reached, who knows, but I doubt it.
Re: The war has started, what is going to happen next !
Axumezana wrote: ↑26 Jan 2026, 16:26- Abiy may withdraw from all Tigray territories & restore TPLF as party and a peaceful end for Tigray & OPDO led Federal government 8 years conflict . Axumezana supports this path.
- Abiy may try to use TPLF coming to West Tigray and the Assab issue to mobilize support, specially Amhara forces, against Tigray and Eritrea . He may get some support from Amhara but FANO will neutralize Abiy's propaganda .
- If Abiy cannot quickly withdraw from Tigray , Isaias army will mobilize from Assab & Humera side. FANO, OLA & other forces like from Afar will march toward Addis Ababa. Further more Abiy forces will be attacked from Somalia, Western Ethiopia, Afar in Oromia & Amhara. Abiy forces will not be able to stand such coordinated attack and Abiy's focus will be reduced to defend Addis Ababa
Unfortunate for Abiy he is alone and will be defeated exposing Ethiopia for disintegration. He may be forced to invite external forces through African Union or UN to save his power temporarily.
Axumezana advise to Abiy : Do not resist TDF as to they march to bring law and order to Tigrayan territories and reconcile with TPLF immediately. If that cannot happen Ethiopia will face risk of disintegration. ጀሮ ያለው ይስማ!
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ethiopianunity
- Senior Member
- Posts: 10853
- Joined: 30 Apr 2007, 17:38
Re: The war has started, what is going to happen next !
Sadacha Macca wrote: ↑28 Jan 2026, 17:17It's a complex situation from what I see. Which is typical for Ethiopia.
If tplf is invading the disputed lands, then that means both fano and pp will be taking resources they were using against each other, to fight the tplf.
However, fano supporters say the main goal is overthrowing abiy, so perhaps elements of fano will let the tplf rampage through those disputed lands until perhaps... they get to the border with Sudan where sudan, Egypt and shabia can easily arm, fund and assist them, for their own reasons, to destabilize abiy and as a result weaken Ethiopia further. Neither abiy or at least a faction of fano, want to see tplf gain access to the border with sudan.
So even if abiy doesn't want to divert soldiers and armaments away from his fight with fano to fighting tplf, he really doesn't have a choice. Unless there were some backdoor agreements reached, who knows, but I doubt it.
Sadacha!! As expected you are Shabian who speaks Oromiffa. By the way are you leading Ola? I thought you were supporting pp
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ethiopianunity
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Re: The war has started, what is going to happen next !
Ax,
Why are you so sure Tplf will win? Why don't you tell us
Why are you so sure Tplf will win? Why don't you tell us
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Sadacha Macca
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Re: The war has started, what is going to happen next !
Tigrayan unity,ethiopianunity wrote: ↑30 Jan 2026, 14:29Sadacha Macca wrote: ↑28 Jan 2026, 17:17It's a complex situation from what I see. Which is typical for Ethiopia.
If tplf is invading the disputed lands, then that means both fano and pp will be taking resources they were using against each other, to fight the tplf.
However, fano supporters say the main goal is overthrowing abiy, so perhaps elements of fano will let the tplf rampage through those disputed lands until perhaps... they get to the border with Sudan where sudan, Egypt and shabia can easily arm, fund and assist them, for their own reasons, to destabilize abiy and as a result weaken Ethiopia further. Neither abiy or at least a faction of fano, want to see tplf gain access to the border with sudan.
So even if abiy doesn't want to divert soldiers and armaments away from his fight with fano to fighting tplf, he really doesn't have a choice. Unless there were some backdoor agreements reached, who knows, but I doubt it.
Sadacha!! As expected you are Shabian who speaks Oromiffa. By the way are you leading Ola? I thought you were supporting pp
Instead of saying what you've been saying for years, why don't you give your commentary or opinion?
I gave mine without supporting any particular side.