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Axumezana
Senior Member
Posts: 18688
Joined: 27 Jan 2020, 23:15

Ethiopia & Egypt dead lock should end - Ethiopia should have clear goals & sound negotiation strategy !

Post by Axumezana » 20 Jan 2026, 12:30

Ethiopia should recognize that Ethiopia's stability , peace & prosperity cannot be achieved with out securing a strategic deal with Egypt.

The corner stone of any deal with Egypt should include:

- Corner stone 1- Bake bigger cake together & share it
- - Building more dams in the Abay gorge and all rivers that are crossing Ethiopia to Sudan to use Ethiopia as a water bank for Ethiopia, Sudan, & Egypt . Both Egypt and Sudan, the USA ,other countries and multinational corporations to invest on the construction of the dams.

-2 Corner stone 2 -Securing peace & stability for Ethiopia and the region

Any agreement with Sudan & Egypt should be conditional to both Sudan & Egypt stopping direct and indirect interference on Ethiopian internal affairs which destabilizes it

- Corner stone 3- Any agreement with Egypt and Sudan should not violate the sovereignty of Ethiopia

- Corner stone 4- Economic contribution for Ethiopia
- Should provide economic advantage to Ethiopia

Ethiopia should be compensated by Sudan and Egypt on yearly basis for environmental protection and maintenance for erosion and reforestation

- Egypt and Sudan should pay Ethiopia on yearly basis for the water it goes to them in excess of the agreed water sharing formula ( Axumezan's proposal is Ethiopia to charge for the 50% of the water that crosses its territory and the remaining 50% to be provided to both countries free of charge )

- Corner stone 5- Any agreement with Sudan & Egypt should not be a zero sum game but a win-win agreement based on mutual respect and benefit

- Corner stone 6 - Flexibility to revise & exit the agreement

-Cornet stone 6 - Last but not least the issue of access to the Sea
This is not directly related to the water issue but critical for Ethiopia . Both Egypt & Sudan should give concrete & tacit support for Ethiopia diplomatic or military efforts to get access to the Sea

- Agreement should have exit conditions and clauses to protect the future generation of Ethiopia
- It should be revised every 25 years based on zero draft



https://ethiopanorama.com/?p=47261


Last edited by Axumezana on 20 Jan 2026, 13:34, edited 2 times in total.

Horus
Senior Member+
Posts: 41042
Joined: 19 Oct 2013, 19:34

Re: Ethiopia & Egypt dead lock should end - Ethiopia should have clear goals & sound negotiation strategy !

Post by Horus » 20 Jan 2026, 12:42

Axsumezana - in your view what is that Egypt wants? I don't believe you understand the precise objective of Egypt.

Egypt is not after water security. They know their water need is secured and will be secure.

Egypt's precise objective the domination of the Horn of Africa and Red Sea and in fact to become a Horn of Africa regional super power.

Now guess who is really living the Horn of Africa - Ethiopia.

Egypt's centuries old desire its domination and influence over Ethiopia by blocking the grow and development of Ethiopia.

Now, guess who is going to be the super-power of the Horn Africa - Ethiopia!

Nile is a mere cover up Egypt's delusional ambition over the HoA.

I don't think you understand this reality. Because you keep talking about a fool's desire of cooperating with Egypt.

Axumezana
Senior Member
Posts: 18688
Joined: 27 Jan 2020, 23:15

Re: Ethiopia & Egypt dead lock should end - Ethiopia should have clear goals & sound negotiation strategy !

Post by Axumezana » 20 Jan 2026, 13:31

Horus whatever Egypt objective is , Ethiopia should work to brake the dead lock by leveraging on the fact that our dam is completed and the USA is interested to help both countries to make a deal. Ethiopia should take USA's involvement as an opportunity and convince the USA to be a neutral facilitator. The issue of Sea access could be also part of the deal .

The following are Egypt's goals!

- Maintaining what it calls "its historical rights" zero % for Ethiopia and both Egypt & Sudan take 100%. But this is not acceptable for Ethiopia

- Joint management of dams in Ethiopia - This is an indirect request to control the water flow and violates the sovereignty of Ethiopia. Ethiopia could only provide data from time to time( on agreed schedule) but management of the dam is purely Ethiopian business

- The regional rivalry between Egypt & Ethiopia could be minimized if the two countries reach an agreement on the water issue.

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