Mereja.Forum

[Zack]

its very hypocrite of the turks really to denounce israel when they have cordial relations with israel and they themselves deny the Kurdish people self determination , i think the people of Somaliland have spoken i see no other option they have choosen not be with Somalia and this then shall be respected to have peace

[Zmeselo]

[Zack]

i dont think there is any sort of turning point , these people have been working so hard to have their country i say kuddus to them.i have for years rejected their independence bid , but with fools in mogaidshu can u blame them , the AU is doing a double sort of measurement Somaliland has colonial borders eventhough the AU recognised that. i think this is a mile stone

[Zmeselo]

Israel recognized the Republic of Somaliland. This comes at a time when internally, Somaliland is at a historic low. Somaliland had been internally contested from the very beginning (1991-). Over the past 15 years it developed into a one-clan polity, controlled by the demographic majority: Isaaq. It is striving mostly in the Isaaq-inhabited territories between Hargeysa, Berbera and Bur’o.

In 2023 the Somaliland army attacked Lasanod, a town in the contested east of Somaliland where the members of the locally dominant Dhulbahante clan always felt they were part of Somalia (and thus had been opposing the unilateral secession of Somaliland from Somalia over decades). Not only did the Somaliland army kill a lot of civilians in Lasanod between February and August 2023; it also lost the war over Lasanod (and with it, many Somaliland soldiers and equipment). In the wake of Somaliland's defeat, a new administration was established in the east called, first, SSC-Khaatumo and, since mid-2025, North-East State. It covers the lands inhabited by Dhulbahante and is part of Somalia. The map below depicts the Isaaq heartland (including the "Berbera corridor" and the entities in the east that separated themselves from Hargeysa's control over the past years.

On 1 January 2024, then President Muse Bihi of Somaliland entered into a MoU with Abiy Ahmed of Ethiopia about an Ethiopian naval base west of Berbera (Somaliland) in exchange for shares in Ethiopian Airlines and some “looking into the question of recognition”.

This stirred the outrage of the Somali government and across the Somali communities and briefly led to the formation of anti-Ethiopian alliances between the leaders in Mogadishu, Asmara and Cairo. The geopolitical tensions were calmed with the help of the Turkish government end of 2024 and Ethiopia henceforth remained silent about the MoU. Muse Bihi lost the presidential elections and in Nov. 2024. The candidate of the opposition, Abdirahman Irro, took over.

Over the past 12 months, however, Irro’s domestic course had been unclear. He did not manage to advance Somaliland’s interest in the east, which effectively remains part of Somalia (with Dhulbahante having their own administration and Warsangeli partly siding with North-East State, partly with Puntland) - see map below.

Recently, a conflict between Ise and Gadabursi, two other non-Isaaq clans, erupted in the far west of Somaliland. The conflict was completely mismanaged by the government in Hargeysa and this caused considerable opposition which led to a heavy-handed reaction by the Somaliland army killing some 19 people and injuring many more in Boroma in early December 2025. The conflict between the two opposed clans is smouldering ever since.

The government of Somaliland is dominated by one clan-family: Isaaq. It effectively controls only parts of the territory claimed as “state territory” (it controls roughly 65-70 per cent). Somaliland’s leaders have become massively corrupt and, what is more worrisome, prone to use violence against opponents. A considerable part of the population of the region opposes Somaliland’s independence from Somalia. The opponents, particularly in the east, are heavily armed.

The fact that Israel now recognized this weak and internally contested entity as “state” can, in my view, mean only one thing: more conflict and violence in the Horn of Africa. Netanyahu has already the blood of many Palestinian civilians on his hands. Now he reaches out to create more havoc among Somalis.

[Zmeselo]

i dont think there is any sort of turning point , these people have been working so hard to have their country i say kuddus to them.i have for years rejected their independence bid , but with fools in mogaidshu can u blame them , the AU is doing a double sort of measurement Somaliland has colonial borders eventhough the AU recognised that. i think this is a mile stone

PP's already ready, to dump your country.

Today marks the birth of the Republic of Somaliland and the beginning of the end of the Republic of Djibouti.

Djibouti is a corridor state with single client Ethiopia, Its economy is built almost entirely on tolls, port rents and transit fees from Ethiopia.

Its relevance depended on Ethiopia’s lack of maritime time access. has no meaningful internal production capacity in any sector capable of sustaining the state.

Foreign military base leases offer short-term cash flow and cannot restore lost leverage. They may delay decline but absolutely not reverse the reality.

Djibouti’s most viable long-term option is political and economic integration with Ethiopia under a federal arrangement.

[Zack]

The gallas will always use djibouti port I don’t fear. That one bit my friend as long as Ethiopia is Land-locked we are not worried at all my friend. WHO wrote that a piece a galla