Mereja.Forum

[Revelations]

[Revelations]

[Revelations]

Nonetheless, the main storyline in the polling is that there’s some degree of racial depolarization. Harris is polling slightly better with white voters than Biden’s finish four years ago, but worse with Black, Hispanic and Asian American voters. That’s why polls narrowly project Trump to win Georgia, for instance, but Harris to expand on Biden’s margins in places with lots of white voters like Wisconsin or the 2nd Congressional District of Nebraska. Let’s go through five basic scenarios for polling accuracy: