Secondly, I don’t see a reason for somalia to start a war with Ethiopia. You can not go to a war with one country because it rcognizes a runaway region from you. About 12 small countries recognize Taiwan as a country but it is not a country for so many years; it needs 2/3 or more vote in UN to be recognized as a country. So it is not a big deal for Somalia if one country recognizes Somaliland as a nation. Somalia has a lot of job to do at international stage than initiate war with Ethiopia. Somalia has to play diplomacy game, lobbying to avoid recognition of somaliland by many other countries. Somalia may wish to capture the runaway region by force but will it be able to do so? May be lobby somaliland or convince somalilanders not to declare nationhood. What somalia may do at best is start conflict when Ethiopia starts to use the infamous port or support Ethiopian oppositions to create a problem.
Thirdly, the OPDO port + airlines deal is tylenol for a bleed inside the brain. It does not go far enough. Useless agreement. Not worth the hassle. What the country should strive for is for its own port-Assab/Dijoubuti. If Somaliland was willing to confederate or federate with Ethiopia, we would dance to it! This would be the permanent solution to the unruly world famous chaotic Eritrean thugs. Build the wall, neglect them and let them cook for their own. At this juncture, it is very difficult to believe Ethiopia and Eritrea each with their own ego will work together in peace for better end of their people.
If Somaliland gets statehood at UN that would indicate chaotic somalia is gone for ever, until the Lord comes-punt land in the pipeline. That would be the end of the Ziadbare idea of the greater Somalia! Perhaps kenya and Ethiopia might get some rest
