Mereja.Forum

[Horus]

A lot of people know that Abiy Ahmed is an Histrionic personality. A histrionic person seeks drama and exhibition. Without mincing words, what is the purpose of Abiy's display of his achievements and powers to the Eritrean military brass?

As I have pointed out in my other postings - the cardinal motives driving the dictator are power, money, fame & honor. So the question is what is Abiy doing by doing what he did; that is, tour guiding Eritrean security bosses through INSA and such like systems?

My educated guess is as follows:

Abiy Ahmed is projecting and displaying power and undefeatability to both Tigreans and Eritreans. Abiy actually did the same thing with the just defeated Tigreans bosses. But, why would he do it with Eritreans? That is indicative of existence of an underlying conflict between Abiy and Esu. It could also be a warning to Tigrean adventurist not think about another come back by means of war.

My simple question is that this types of messages ara already known to Eritrean intelligence and why the drama?

We all know Abiy doesn't need money from this drama but he can extract some amout of fame (by impressing the poor and unglamorous Eritreans and some amount of honor (respect) for his 5 year efforts. Again, why should Eritreans be impressed, motivated or influenced?

This is where one begins to think about the ways of Abiy Ahmed. To me these optics and dramatics are camouflage stratagems (የሰምና ወርቁ ሰም). This is a garden variety Sun-Tsu! Abiy is deeply, deeply scared. The dictator, by being dishonest to all, is not in good terms with anybody - China, Russia, USA, Kenya, Sudan, Eritrea, Amara, Afar, etc, etc ...

With all of these underlying weaknesses, one immediately available behavior to him is to display or project a semblance of power.

So, why is he displaying power to Eritreans? Abiy is does not want Eritrea-Amara alliance. Abiy does not want Eritrea-Afar alliance. Abiy is angry at Eritrea activities in HOA. And, who knows the forces Eritrea is supporting inside Ethiopia, forces working to remove him from power.

It is this fear of loss of power (የሰምና ወርቁ ወርቅ) that driving Abiy Ahmed's dramatic & histrionic behaviors.

[Zmeselo]

It's neither in my view because as you said yourself all of it is already well known to Eritreans, let alone their National Security chief. And the Eritreans would've long discerned his motives and would never have given him the opportunity for showing off.

Besides that, they visited the GERD and other places too which are not related to the military in any way. But Egypt might not see it that way, though.

I think the message might be directed at the USA as saying, "your attempts at creating friction b/n us and the Eritreans is unworkable." A few days ago the Ethiopian army partied together with the Eritrean army in Senafe, for instance.

I hope I'm not seeing all this, with rose tinted glasses.

[Zmeselo]

Egypt
Egypt, Sudan participate in a joint naval exercise

https://www.egyptindependent.com/egypt- ... -exercise/



April 4, 2023

Egyptian and Sudanese navies carried out the joint naval exercise SUD-EGY-T-1 on maritime security and confronting atypical threats.

The Egyptian Armed Forces said in a statement that the exercise was carried out over several days at the naval base in Port Sudan, Sudan.

The drill included organizing lectures and workshops to unify concepts among the participants on issues of maritime security, illegal immigration, countering terrorism and atypical threats.

The exercise also came up with recommendations that enhance the joint efforts of both countries to confront illegal marine activities within the Red Sea.

The Egyptian Armed Forces indicated that the training comes within the framework of the joint training plan of the armed forces with all friendly countries to enhance military cooperation in various fields.

[Meleket]

ወደ ቁምነገሩ ስናመራ

https://mereja.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=308857&

[ZEMEN]

It's neither in my view because as you said yourself all of it is already well known to Eritreans, let alone their National Security chief. And the Eritreans would've long discerned his motives and would never have given him the opportunity for showing off.

Besides that, they visited the GERD and other places too which are not related to the military in any way. But Egypt might not see it that way, though.

I think the message might be directed at the USA as saying, "your attempts at creating friction b/n us and the Eritreans is unworkable." A few days ago the Ethiopian army partied together with the Eritrean army in Senafe, for instance.

I hope I'm not seeing all this, with rose tinted glasses.

It safe to say that Eritrea learns nothing from Ethiopia when it comes security and gathering intelligence. It was the Eritreans who were uncovering weapons after weapons from deep under the ground. That is simply the results of a strong intelligence. So, the visit of Eritreans could be in two folds. One, to show and tell the agames that the relationships between federal government and Eritrea strong and alive, i.e. go home and count your rotten wheat and behave.
Two; and the main one, to show the Amara that Eritrea is still with the federal and don't do something stupid believing Eritrea is against federal and supporting Amara.

[Right]

Once again it’s the Americans who are the driving’s force behind the scenes. Off course Egypt’s interest and the influencer of China in the region is their main focus.

They want to redraw the maps of the HOA on their own terms. They believe correctly if tiny Eritrean is given something tangible in the form of concessions then they will agree to work with Tigray and Oromia in confederation.
The US believes Abiye is incompetent ant not a thrust worthy partner. They are preparing the ground for a post Issias Eritrea + a TPLF lead future regime in Ethiopia. They have seen it for 50 years now, a disarmed Amahara and Afars will open the gates for the TPLF. The Oromos are just the Oromos it is a matter of time before the TPLF outsmart them.

Ethiopians, organize and mobilize an Armageddon is on the way.

[Dark Energy]

Right nope you are Agame.
Agames have zero chance to lead Ethiopia.

Amhara’s demand is very simple. Abolish ethnic federalism. That is a legitimate demand. War is not the answer though. Parliament process legitimized by democratic value will be the answer. Isayas does not take sides for the right or wrong reasons. He is all about power. The man has been on the saddle for the last 50 years. Going against Abbiy is not in his favor. That is what the showdown is all about. He does not give a damn about his past relationships. He allied himself with the weyanes to destroy an Eritrean for independence group named ELF. Believe it or not, ELF and the Weyanes were fighting about Badme. He will ally himself with the devil if the devil guarantees his power. Amharas, you have a legitimate demand. Do it through the parliament process. You have the number. What need is more Allie’s from other bikers/ biheres like the Guragies.

[TGAA]

This is a garden variety Sun-Tsu! Abiy is deeply, deeply scared. The dictator, by being dishonest to all, is not in good terms with anybody - China, Russia, USA, Kenya, Sudan, Eritrea, Amara, Afar,"
including weyanes.
Dishonesty and deceit is Abiy"s trade mark. All can see through it all. He is so far consistent only in flipping the deck in favour of his oromuma agenda. As expediency he is effusively friendly to all but in reality he is a friend to none.
He was a teenage girl in love with Eritrea while he was trying to checkmate weyannes, He used Ethiopian nationalism to moblize Ethiopians to protect his power, one secured, he has turned against it boldly, He used China and Russia to fend off America and Europe pressure then he flipped and declaredhe he will die for America. Now he sees Amharas as his main threat to his power so he is enticing weyannes to play a junior partner ... Naturally weyannes cannot salivate enough. But Abiy doesn't want to irk Eritrea because per Jawar"s Lencho 's advice Amharas and Eritrea need to be handled with care... Thst is why before shimeles promised goodies announced in Mekle with a big fanfare the Eritrean delegation got a red carpet welcome in Addis.

[Horus]

Meleket - the ethio-Eritrean border issue is one of the underlying problems I have talked about but why the drama? Are we in fear of another Ethio-Eritrean war? The threat to Eritrea comes from USA and TPLF. So, if the show is to send a message to America and TPLF, it makes sense but I doubt that Abiy is actually trying to win over USA and why would he annoy them by dancing with Eritrean generals
I tend to agree with TGAA. Abiy is scared of Amara-Eritrea alliance, Amara-Afar alliance. These Amara led alliances are not about some fancy mancy geopolitics. They go to the heart of Ethiopia's problem- a constitutional change; that is, the removal of the Oromo tribal order.

This is what the game of ethnic balance of power looks like when played on the Billiardo Table.

[Fiyameta]

There's no such thing as "Eritrea-Amhara alliance". Such silly idea only exists in the minds of the agame hell bent on driving a wedge between the Amhara and Oromo people.

Alliances are formal agreements between two or more nations, therefore it is false, deceptive, and misleading to interpret the Eritrea-Ethiopia alliance as an alliance between the nation of Eritrea and the Amhara kilil. But the agame mind that continues to wallow in ethnic federalism nonsense and sees Kilils as "nations", cannot understand such universal concept. So, no matter how you slice it and dice it, flip it or reverse it, a sovereign nation cannot forge alliances with Kilils of another nation.

[Za-Ilmaknun]

He is neither trying to impress nor trying to scare Eritrea for they know the man, his moves and capabilities more than he knows himself. They are just playing along to send a message to the West and TPLF that tells a different story than what seems to be conventionally imagined. Knowing the man and how he is focused on the now, demobilizing and paralyzing the Amhara is the top priority which he is afraid that the Eris could potentially do not support. One need only remember how he was playing cozy with the Amhara forces to decimate TPLF and how he made them his enemies once TPLF is obliterated.

Once the Amhara forces are neutralized, the equation could change depending on what TPLF does regarding Badime and Eritrea and, how the US is to go about with its quest to the access to the red sea . TPLF is only a means to deploy by the US to achieve its objectives. Abiy completely seems to be in the US pocket to quickly get the aid that has been suspended for some time now. The economic pressure is so immense on the OPDO gov't to the extent that have crippled its ability to afford to pay salaries to its extended military and cadre apparatus. Once again the ball seems to be at TPLF's court to decide what is the competing parties are going to be doing next.

[TGAA]

There is no alliance between Amharas and Eritrea per se, but weyannes play the role of a foreign agents, which we known the last string that gave them a second lease on life.
Weyannes would do any thing to spoils the relationship between the two countries, if they can ignite a war to end Issyas's reign.. Now Issya's is completely in Russian camp there is no one that fits the bill to be a thorn on Eritrea and it is obvious weyannes cannot do that with out acrimonious relationship with Ethiopia. I suspect Abiy will try to be a peace maker between weyannes and Issays.. He will feel more secured if he gets a backing from both.

[Zmeselo]

He is neither trying to impress nor trying to scare Eritrea for they know the man, his moves and capabilities more than he knows himself. They are just playing along to send a message to the West and TPLF that tells a different story than what seems to be conventionally imagined. Knowing the man and how he is focused on the now, demobilizing and paralyzing the Amhara is the top priority which he is afraid that the Eris could potentially do not support. One need only remember how he was playing cozy with the Amhara forces to decimate TPLF and how he made them his enemies once TPLF is obliterated.

Once the Amhara forces are neutralized, the equation could change depending on what TPLF does regarding Badime and Eritrea and, how the US is to go about with its quest to the access to the red sea . TPLF is only a means to deploy by the US to achieve its objectives. Abiy completely seems to be in the US pocket to quickly get the aid that has been suspended for some time now. The economic pressure is so immense on the OPDO gov't to the extent that have crippled its ability to afford to pay salaries to its extended military and cadre apparatus. Once again the ball seems to be at TPLF's court to decide what is the competing parties are going to be doing next.

I think, Abyi should start thinking in the way north African countries like Algeria and Egypt are doing.

Join, the BRICS countries!

In addition, Iran, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia and the UAE plan to become part of it.

[Right]

There is no such thing called Eritrea-Amahara alliance.
Understand Eritrea and how it was manufactured. The Hamasseins just like their Tigrian brothers are the mortal enemies of Amaharas. In this so called Eritrea, the good people of Afar and Kunamas are illegally clustered.

At this point, who ever gives Eritrea a life line will get their support.
As of now the HOA is in total chaos.

[Fiyameta]

How to Scare off a Lion

Stand your ground. Show the lion that you're a threat by shouting, and waving your arms. This will make you appear bigger and more threatening to the lion.

How to Scare off Eritreans

Roll on the ground. Throw temper tantrums like a toddler and scream "Joe Biden uuuu" at the top of your lungs. This will make you appear bigger and threatening to the Eritreans.
This technique was tried 1.5 million times and it worked like a charm each and every time.

[Hawzen]

It safe to say that Eritrea learns nothing from Ethiopia when it comes security and gathering intelligence. It was the Eritreans who were uncovering weapons after weapons from deep under the ground. That is simply the results of a strong intelligence. So, the visit of Eritreans could be in two folds.
One, to show and tell the agames that the relationships between federal government and Eritrea strong and alive, i.e. go home and count your rotten wheat and behave.

Two; and the main one, to show the Amara that Eritrea is still with the federal and don't do something stupid believing Eritrea is against federal and supporting Amara.

Your take makes a lot of sense, brother Zemen.

Dedebit is always dedeb
R.I.P Abay Tigray and TPLF criminal group

[tarik]

A lot of people know that Abiy Ahmed is an Histrionic personality. A histrionic person seeks drama and exhibition. Without mincing words, what is the purpose of Abiy's display of his achievements and powers to the Eritrean military brass?

As I have pointed out in my other postings - the cardinal motives driving the dictator are power, money, fame & honor. So the question is what is Abiy doing by doing what he did; that is, tour guiding Eritrean security bosses through INSA and such like systems?

My educated guess is as follows:

Abiy Ahmed is projecting and displaying power and undefeatability to both Tigreans and Eritreans. Abiy actually did the same thing with the just defeated Tigreans bosses. But, why would he do it with Eritreans? That is indicative of existence of an underlying conflict between Abiy and Esu. It could also be a warning to Tigrean adventurist not think about another come back by means of war.

My simple question is that this types of messages ara already known to Eritrean intelligence and why the drama?

We all know Abiy doesn't need money from this drama but he can extract some amout of fame (by impressing the poor and unglamorous Eritreans and some amount of honor (respect) for his 5 year efforts. Again, why should Eritreans be impressed, motivated or influenced?

This is where one begins to think about the ways of Abiy Ahmed. To me these optics and dramatics are camouflage stratagems (የሰምና ወርቁ ሰም). This is a garden variety Sun-Tsu! Abiy is deeply, deeply scared. The dictator, by being dishonest to all, is not in good terms with anybody - China, Russia, USA, Kenya, Sudan, Eritrea, Amara, Afar, etc, etc ...

With all of these underlying weaknesses, one immediately available behavior to him is to display or project a semblance of power.

So, why is he displaying power to Eritreans? Abiy is does not want Eritrea-Amara alliance. Abiy does not want Eritrea-Afar alliance. Abiy is angry at Eritrea activities in HOA. And, who knows the forces Eritrea is supporting inside Ethiopia, forces working to remove him from power.

It is this fear of loss of power (የሰምና ወርቁ ወርቅ) that driving Abiy Ahmed's dramatic & histrionic behaviors.

Horus: If galla-agame abiy thought that he will impress my Eritrean seasoned generals by his useless AI aka artificial intelligence fake crap office, he has failed. These are warriors and shown their skills on the battel ground all their lives and practical intelligence is much different than theorotical intelligence. These Eritrean Hero generals broke terrrorist-tplf backs not by AI, but by practical intelligence & war on z ground. Even Derg respected these warriors back in z war 4 our independence. So i think galla-agame abiy did this 2 shutdown the inside & outside enemies of Ethiopia & that always work 2 get my Eritrea & Ethiopia 2 fight or stay in a war like tension always, because they want 2 sell more weapons, of course his second goal was 2 scare off Egypt. But z biggest question is what did we Eritreans gain from this visit?, 2 things in my opinion, 1,2 show & warn terrorist-tplf that we r still watching you 2. 2 warn usa, egypt 2 watch out. 3rd. 2 show that galla-agame better not get 2 cozy with his new love with terrorist-tplf leaders. BTW: i am posting 4 u this video below 2 show u that it wasn't AI that discovered z secret weapons stash of terrorist-tplf by my Eritrean army, it was practical & on z ground intelligence. EBO:lol:

[euroland]

Belaynesh agamew

Let the adults discuss, this is beyond your little brain’s capability

There is no such thing called Eritrea-Amahara alliance.
Understand Eritrea and how it was manufactured. The Hamasseins just like their Tigrian brothers are the mortal enemies of Amaharas. In this so called Eritrea, the good people of Afar and Kunamas are illegally clustered.

At this point, who ever gives Eritrea a life line will get their support.
As of now the HOA is in total chaos.

[Fiyameta]

No doubt that our senior Eritrean generals were very much impressed by Ethiopia growing its own food to feed itself. But such scene can also be very frightening and disturbing for the Western donor nations that have been dumping their expired wheat in the country in exchange for coffee and other commodities for more than 70 years.

[Horus]

No doubt that our senior Eritrean generals were very much impressed by Ethiopia growing its own food to feed itself. But such scene can also be very frightening and disturbing for the Western donor nations that have been dumping their expired wheat in the country in exchange for coffee and other commodities for more than 70 years.

My question is again, what is this exhibition supposed to mean? Is this saying, 'let's farm together?', please buy wheat from us? I just wanted to grasp the significance of the act?

For example, Abiy Ahmed dragged the Afar and Somali president to Welkite, Gurage and still to this day people are asking - 'for what?"