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Will TPLF evaporate into the thin air or go guerilla, then become a pain in the ặss?

Poll ended at 31 Oct 2022, 10:34

a) Yes, Woyane will be history
26
79%
b) No, they will recruit more guerilla fighters and remain headache.
7
21%
 
Total votes: 33

Abere
Senior Member
Posts: 15468
Joined: 18 Jul 2019, 20:52

Will TPLF evaporate into the thin air or go guerilla, then become a pain in the ặss?

Post by Abere » 17 Oct 2022, 10:34

a) Yes, Woyane will be history.
b) No, they will recruit more guerilla fighters and remain headache.

Weyane.is.dead
Member+
Posts: 6796
Joined: 19 Oct 2017, 11:19

Re: Will TPLF evaporate into the thin air or go guerilla, then become a pain in the ặss?

Post by Weyane.is.dead » 17 Oct 2022, 10:46

To continue as a guerrilla fighters they will need a supply route. Tplf vermin are surrounded by enemies in all directions. How are they going to import arms? We live in an age of drones. Hiding in mountains is no longer safe for terrorist tplf.
Abere wrote:
17 Oct 2022, 10:34
a) Yes, Woyane will be history.
b) No, they will recruit more guerilla fighters and remain headache.

Abere
Senior Member
Posts: 15468
Joined: 18 Jul 2019, 20:52

Re: Will TPLF evaporate into the thin air or go guerilla, then become a pain in the ặss?

Post by Abere » 17 Oct 2022, 11:00

If the fight is not dragged out, Woyane will likely reduced to rubbles. If it is dragged out and ENDF becomes less effective, and the government installs Tigre PP, it is more likely than not Tigray people would come in many resistant names. Drones are good for conventional war where the opponent has a political seat, but they are not good for guerilla hunting. Guerillas acts like hacker that breaches the security of expert cyber security. I think everything depends how effective and timely the military operation is, the longer the operation and the noisier OLF-PP especially in central Ethiopia the odds a form resistant to crop up. The sanity of central political system is as important as defeating TPLF.

Weyane.is.dead wrote:
17 Oct 2022, 10:46
To continue as a guerrilla fighters they will need a supply route. Tplf vermin are surrounded by enemies in all directions. How are they going to import arms? We live in an age of drones. Hiding in mountains is no longer safe for terrorist tplf.
Abere wrote:
17 Oct 2022, 10:34
a) Yes, Woyane will be history.
b) No, they will recruit more guerilla fighters and remain headache.

Weyane.is.dead
Member+
Posts: 6796
Joined: 19 Oct 2017, 11:19

Re: Will TPLF evaporate into the thin air or go guerilla, then become a pain in the ặss?

Post by Weyane.is.dead » 17 Oct 2022, 16:24

On the contrary drones are very effective against guerillas. Take turkey for example. They use their drones against pkk. The pkk has almost disappeared. Cheap drones from Iran would do an excellent job against terrorist tplf.
Abere wrote:
17 Oct 2022, 11:00
If the fight is not dragged out, Woyane will likely reduced to rubbles. If it is dragged out and ENDF becomes less effective, and the government installs Tigre PP, it is more likely than not Tigray people would come in many resistant names. Drones are good for conventional war where the opponent has a political seat, but they are not good for guerilla hunting. Guerillas acts like hacker that breaches the security of expert cyber security. I think everything depends how effective and timely the military operation is, the longer the operation and the noisier OLF-PP especially in central Ethiopia the odds a form resistant to crop up. The sanity of central political system is as important as defeating TPLF.

Weyane.is.dead wrote:
17 Oct 2022, 10:46
To continue as a guerrilla fighters they will need a supply route. Tplf vermin are surrounded by enemies in all directions. How are they going to import arms? We live in an age of drones. Hiding in mountains is no longer safe for terrorist tplf.
Abere wrote:
17 Oct 2022, 10:34
a) Yes, Woyane will be history.
b) No, they will recruit more guerilla fighters and remain headache.

Abere
Senior Member
Posts: 15468
Joined: 18 Jul 2019, 20:52

Re: Will TPLF evaporate into the thin air or go guerilla, then become a pain in the ặss?

Post by Abere » 18 Oct 2022, 12:55

I think the most important decisive element is not the drone, it is rather whether the Tigray people mentality divorced from TPLF easily or not; and whether the federal government becomes internally and stable earned citizens trust matters the most. In my opinion, given the current ethnic political federal system, every peace made in Ethiopia is very temporal and is an obvious postponement of conflict. The ideal solution on top of decimating or crippling TPLF is to change their scripted Dedebit constitution and apartheid wall of tribal federalism. When this happens Tigray people will have no reason to lock in conflict with any party.
Weyane.is.dead wrote:
17 Oct 2022, 16:24
On the contrary drones are very effective against guerillas. Take turkey for example. They use their drones against pkk. The pkk has almost disappeared. Cheap drones from Iran would do an excellent job against terrorist tplf.
Abere wrote:
17 Oct 2022, 11:00
If the fight is not dragged out, Woyane will likely reduced to rubbles. If it is dragged out and ENDF becomes less effective, and the government installs Tigre PP, it is more likely than not Tigray people would come in many resistant names. Drones are good for conventional war where the opponent has a political seat, but they are not good for guerilla hunting. Guerillas acts like hacker that breaches the security of expert cyber security. I think everything depends how effective and timely the military operation is, the longer the operation and the noisier OLF-PP especially in central Ethiopia the odds a form resistant to crop up. The sanity of central political system is as important as defeating TPLF.

Weyane.is.dead wrote:
17 Oct 2022, 10:46
To continue as a guerrilla fighters they will need a supply route. Tplf vermin are surrounded by enemies in all directions. How are they going to import arms? We live in an age of drones. Hiding in mountains is no longer safe for terrorist tplf.
Abere wrote:
17 Oct 2022, 10:34
a) Yes, Woyane will be history.
b) No, they will recruit more guerilla fighters and remain headache.

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