1. It may not be to the best interest of the triple axis to engage the ቄሮ the animal kingdom DIRECTLY for political as well as resource reason. Global diplomatic reason.
2. The ቄሮ the animal kingdom may wish to engage Shabea through the spineless Eri opposition or directly ostensabily for Assab to diplomatically sell the war.
3. I hate shabea, the weak zoomalia and indirectly the fool pharaohs to be involved in this as this will entail too much risk to expect good outcome for the region and the unionists bs of ensuing disorder.
Who would demented shabea want to piggyback to Addis before it goes to it’s own grave?
a.Fano: that may be the best bet if you assume Fano is a unionist. But with the current infighting inside Fano, there is a theoretical but tangible risk of chao and amhara secession or more.
b. TPLF: in trouble by itself. There was recent drum beating of restoration of communication between the devil incarnate Debesiol and shabea but animosity still rampant and past experience dictates this may not be viable option for shabea. TPLF is effectively crippled but not fully.
c. Shane/OLF wing: that obviously will risk disintegration of Ethiopia like TPLF. Hardline ascaris of Shabea like the drunkard abyssinialady have been coveting for this but this is complex. Strategically this rout may not be the best option for shabea although distablization of the ቄሮ kingdom can happen through that.
The best bet appears to be Fano though the expected outcome is not that straightforward.
The wind of external forces in 2025 also will play the direction of this chao. UAE may still hang on with the ቄሮ ስርወ መንግስት they will continue to wear the Ethiopian skin and drum አስብ ኬኛ to win the hearts of many gullible here and there.
Still the best is always peaceful resolution through diplomatic channels where all warring factions are made to sit equal footing and negotiate about the fate and future of Ethiopia after annulling current damned constitution, ethnic politics and ghetto. That won’t happen easily unless external super power countries dictate the scenario which in itself will carry the biases of the interventionist supper power.