Mereja.Forum

[Axumezana]

Following to the Preitoria Agreement both Isaias and Amhara exterimists were furious on Abiy and they have been conspiring to kill Abiy and the leaders of TPLF . They have been also planning to attack both the Ethiopian and the TDF army.
During the recent FANO's surprise attack, where civilians were used illegally as a shield for quick win, FANO ate more than it can chew and it could not face the counter attack from Abiy's forces ,even for a single day and it has been retreating quickly.

What is the next move of Isaias ?
Isaias has been historically a strategic thinker and achieving his goals over long years of struggle ( eg his 30 years struggle to free Eriteria and 20 years struggle to remove TPLF from Arat Killo) , however, in this case he knows he does not have time and is still is going to aim for another bloody rebellion ( the blood of Amharas) that will bring "quick win" to once again try to remove Abiy.

Isaias has been serving mainly two masters over the last decades while sabotaging the peace and stability of Ethiopia : Master # 1 has been Egypt and Master #2 is himself . Both masters want to see Ethiopia weak, destabilized and if possible disintegrated. Egypt's goal is to disrupt Ethiopia from finishing the GERD, to force Ethiopia to sign a "Zero Sum water Share Agreement" , not to use it's water resources and under mine Ethiopia so that it will not emerge as a rival geopolitical and economic power in the Horn Africa. For Master #2( Isaias ) his goals are to establish a puppet government( eliminating TPLF is toward that goal ) so that it controls acess to the market and resources of Ethiopia and to emerge as geopolitical and economic power of the Horn Africa, leveraging on his control of Ethiopia. The Arabs also see Ethiopia and the Eastern Africa as their backyard and they support Isaias destabilization activities with the objective of installing Arab friendly government in Ethiopia. In the Post-EPRDF Ethiopia over the last five years, Isaias was given full Acess to the Ethiopia security and economic sectors in the name of boosting the capability of Abiy's security
system and later his support to eliminate TPLF from the face of the earth. The master brain and the owner of the war with TPLF was Isaias, but Abiy was used by Isaias to eliminate TPLF using Ethiopian resources ( both human, military hardware and economic resources) , in Addition Isaias was paid for his own war and was considered " ትልቅ፥ የኢትዮጵያ፥ ባለውለታ" for looting & dismantling Ethiopian heavy military hard ware & commiting genocide in Tigray. Following the Preitoria Agreement Isaias ordered all of his Amhara dominated medias that were blindly supporting Abiy during the Tigray war to work against Abiy and all of them repositioned them selves to comply with Isaias directive. On the ground Isaias worked to train, arm and organize FANO and the result is the recent violent revolt in the Amhara state aiming for quick removal of Abiy . With the recent " quick win " plan aborted , Isaias will try to organize a bigger armed violence and rebellion right at the heart of Addis Ababa in parallel to similar rebellion at the major cities of Amhara. In the mean time the gorilla fighting against the Ethiopian army will contuinue and he will make sure that FANO will not make any peaceful deal with Ethiopia. For Egypt the ongoing instability and pressure on Abiy is very important since it will enable them to force Abiy to sign " a zero - sum water share agreement" that was recently planned to be completed with 4 months. Isaias also plans to reinvade Tigray incase the Tigray government regain its occupied territories in Western Tigray .

As a summary , the key to solve what is going on in Amhara state is not in the hand of Amhara FANO leaders but with Isaias.

The way forward:

(1) In cooperation & coordination with the Eritrean government opposition in diaspora, Western powers , Israel and TPLF , the Isaias regime has to be dethroned immediately.

( 2) Win-win commercial, technical, security agreement with Egypt on the water share agreement and securing it's support Ethiopia's stability and to secure acess to the Red Sea.

( 3) Coordinated military arrangement with TPLF to defend Isaias provocation. But the Tigray force should never enter Amhara territory except defending the territory of Tigray.

( 4) Deploy heavy people centered reorganization and campaign of the Amhara people to win their heart and mind as well us to use them to stand against FANO. The Ethiopian Military has to be people friendly and has to be more disciplined than FANO. All the Amhara major cities and roads have to be under the Ethiopian government.

(4) Attract the center gravity of FANO to Western & Southern Tigray and destroy them . Target also their leaders and their command structure both with drones and target ground operation.

( 5) Organize anti-FANO militia from Amhara forces . Empower Kimants and Agews to defend themselves.

(4) Contuinue political discussion with both FANO and OLA to bring stability and Peace in Ethiopia

(5) Widen the political space so that all competitive parties to have level playing field for the next election.

[union]

አይይይይይ..... ግራ የገባው የድሮው ስርአት ናፋቂ ትግሬ

ድሮስ አንበጣ እየበላህ አድገህ አይምሮህ ምን ማየት ይችላል

[ZEMEN]

Amara and Eritrea should focus on to wiping out TPLF and Abiy. Simple as that. Abiy double crossed Isaaias, twice. Once, pulling from Tigray without informing the Eritrean army and Isaias, twice, when Abiy failed to implement the Pretoria agreement. You know what the price TPLF paid for betraying Isaias just once. When TPLF brought the whole Ethiopia to eradicate Eritrea in 1998. Isaias may forgive Abiy if only Abiy eradicate TPLF once for all. That's it.

[Axumezana]

Ascari boys,

See you at Adi Halo on the graveyard of Isaias government.

[sarcasm]

Eritrea should focus on to wiping out TPLF and Abiy. Simple as that.

By focusing on wiping out Ethiopian government, Eritrea does accept she is licensing the Ethiopian government to work towards wiping out the Isaias government in line with the principle of reciprocity in international relations.

[ZEMEN]

Eritrea should focus on to wiping out TPLF and Abiy. Simple as that.

By focusing on wiping out Ethiopian government, Eritrea does accept she is licensing the Ethiopian government to work towards wiping out the Isaias government in line with the principle of reciprocity in international relations.

What makes you Neither Ethiopia nor TPLF thugs have the military capability to go to war with Eritrea? You are not paying attention. TPLF is left with broken spinal cord by Shebya, the truth. Abiy's soldiers are just a show. If not, how com they can't defeat FANO and a peasant of Amara while Abiy is armed with tanks, jets and drones? The reason you lost and surrendered is not that because of lack of human resources and arms but you never had the just cause for what you were fighting for. I am sure, if it wasn't for Eritreans and FANO involvement, you could have easily defeated Abiy, that i will give you but know, you are nothing but clinically dead under intensive care in ICU. really.

[kibramlak]

I didn't read all your garbages but am very glad on one thing: to see Isatas is still surviving and watching you termites as you beggars are going down abysmally. I don't understand why you inject in Isayas at every defeats of tplf ? What a trauma he (Isayas) has caused in your little brains. OMG, what a creature you are. You guys are extremely dumb and do not gave any human elements when you cheer your alliance with Oromuma savages and pagans. Even if you guys pathetically try to undermine the bravery of Fano, the whole world are astonishingly surprise about it. Fano Aline will fvkk u to the point you will never have the chance to reach Tenbien desert. It us highly likely that you will lose Mekele and then get back to your routine መንከባለል, አፈር የበላችሁ ማፈሪያ ጥፍራሞች

Following to the Preitoria Agreement both Isaias and Amhara exterimists were furious on Abiy and they have been conspiring to kill Abiy and the leaders of TPLF . They have been also planning to attack both the Ethiopian and the TDF army.
During the recent FANO's surprise attack, where civilians were used illegally as a shield for quick win, FANO ate more than it can chew and it could not face the counter attack from Abiy's forces ,even for a single day and it has been retreating quickly.

What is the next move of Isaias ?
Isaias has been historically a strategic thinker and achieving his goals over long years of struggle ( eg his 30 years struggle to free Eriteria and 20 years struggle to remove TPLF from Arat Killo) , however, in this case he knows he does not have time and is still is going to aim for another bloody rebellion ( the blood of Amharas) that will bring "quick win" to once again try to remove Abiy.

Isaias has been serving mainly two masters over the last decades while sabotaging the peace and stability of Ethiopia : Master # 1 has been Egypt and Master #2 is himself . Both masters want to see Ethiopia weak, destabilized and if possible disintegrated. Egypt's goal is to disrupt Ethiopia from finishing the GERD, to force Ethiopia to sign a "Zero Sum water Share Agreement" , not to use it's water resources and under mine Ethiopia so that it will not emerge as a rival geopolitical and economic power in the Horn Africa. For Master #2( Isaias ) his goals are to establish a puppet government( eliminating TPLF is toward that goal ) so that it controls acess to the market and resources of Ethiopia and to emerge as geopolitical and economic power of the Horn Africa, leveraging on his control of Ethiopia. The Arabs also see Ethiopia and the Eastern Africa as their backyard and they support Isaias destabilization activities with the objective of installing Arab friendly government in Ethiopia. In the Post-EPRDF Ethiopia over the last five years, Isaias was given full Acess to the Ethiopia security and economic sectors in the name of boosting the capability of Abiy's security
system and later his support to eliminate TPLF from the face of the earth. The master brain and the owner of the war with TPLF was Isaias, but Abiy was used by Isaias to eliminate TPLF using Ethiopian resources ( both human, military hardware and economic resources) , in Addition Isaias was paid for his own war and was considered " ትልቅ፥ የኢትዮጵያ፥ ባለውለታ" for looting & dismantling Ethiopian heavy military hard ware & commiting genocide in Tigray. Following the Preitoria Agreement Isaias ordered all of his Amhara dominated medias that were blindly supporting Abiy during the Tigray war to work against Abiy and all of them repositioned them selves to comply with Isaias directive. On the ground Isaias worked to train, arm and organize FANO and the result is the recent violent revolt in the Amhara state aiming for quick removal of Abiy . With the recent " quick win " plan aborted , Isaias will try to organize a bigger armed violence and rebellion right at the heart of Addis Ababa in parallel to similar rebellion at the major cities of Amhara. In the mean time the gorilla fighting against the Ethiopian army will contuinue and he will make sure that FANO will not make any peaceful deal with Ethiopia. For Egypt the ongoing instability and pressure on Abiy is very important since it will enable them to force Abiy to sign " a zero - sum water share agreement" that was recently planned to be completed with 4 months. Isaias also plans to reinvade Tigray incase the Tigray government regain its occupied territories in Western Tigray .

As a summary , the key to solve what is going on in Amhara state is not in the hand of Amhara FANO leaders but with Isaias.

The way forward:

(1) In cooperation & coordination with the Eritrean government opposition in diaspora, Western powers , Israel and TPLF , the Isaias regime has to be dethroned immediately.

( 2) Win-win commercial, technical, security agreement with Egypt on the water share agreement and securing it's support Ethiopia's stability and to secure acess to the Red Sea.

( 3) Coordinated military arrangement with TPLF to defend Isaias provocation. But the Tigray force should never enter Amhara territory except defending the territory of Tigray.

( 4) Deploy heavy people centered reorganization and campaign of the Amhara people to win their heart and mind as well us to use them to stand against FANO. The Ethiopian Military has to be people friendly and has to be more disciplined than FANO. All the Amhara major cities and roads have to be under the Ethiopian government.

(4) Attract the center gravity of FANO to Western & Southern Tigray and destroy them . Target also their leaders and their command structure both with drones and target ground operation.

( 5) Organize anti-FANO militia from Amhara forces . Empower Kimants and Agews to defend themselves.

(4) Contuinue political discussion with both FANO and OLA to bring stability and Peace in Ethiopia

(5) Widen the political space so that all competitive parties to have level playing field for the next election.

[sarcasm]

Eritrea should focus on to wiping out TPLF and Abiy. Simple as that.

By focusing on wiping out Ethiopian government, Eritrea does accept she is licensing the Ethiopian government to work towards wiping out the Isaias government in line with the principle of reciprocity in international relations.

What makes you Neither Ethiopia nor TPLF thugs have the military capability to go to war with Eritrea? You are not paying attention. TPLF is left with broken spinal cord by Shebya, the truth. Abiy's soldiers are just a show. If not, how com they can't defeat FANO and a peasant of Amara while Abiy is armed with tanks, jets and drones? The reason you lost and surrendered is not that because of lack of human resources and arms but you never had the just cause for what you were fighting for. I am sure, if it wasn't for Eritreans and FANO involvement, you could have easily defeated Abiy, that i will give you but know, you are nothing but clinically dead under intensive care in ICU. really.

That is not the point. Capacity can be purchased or built over time. What we are talking about is the principle of reciprocity in international relations. That is fixed - applies all the time. Eritrea working towards wiping out Ethiopian government has licensed Ethiopian government internationally to work towards wiping out Isaias's government. Simple as that. Amen to that.

[Abere]

Honestly, who is reading Charlatan Axumezana's scroll of garbage littering the page? An anti-Erhiopia diehard Woyane trying to decieve others proves how silly he is. Fano ain't have time to listen to any fox Woyane. Let Woyanes keep l!cking their wounds. They are given choices: 1) Either stay out and embrace Fano or 2) Join Abiy Ahmed and come try Fano on the battlefield.

[gagi]

Axum ቅራቅንቦ

Is the dumbest of all the participants of this forum from Tigray.

[Axumezana]

Ascari boys,

See you at Adi Halo on the graveyard of Isaias government.

[ZEMEN]

Eritrea should focus on to wiping out TPLF and Abiy. Simple as that.

By focusing on wiping out Ethiopian government, Eritrea does accept she is licensing the Ethiopian government to work towards wiping out the Isaias government in line with the principle of reciprocity in international relations.

What makes you Neither Ethiopia nor TPLF thugs have the military capability to go to war with Eritrea? You are not paying attention. TPLF is left with broken spinal cord by Shebya, the truth. Abiy's soldiers are just a show. If not, how com they can't defeat FANO and a peasant of Amara while Abiy is armed with tanks, jets and drones? The reason you lost and surrendered is not that because of lack of human resources and arms but you never had the just cause for what you were fighting for. I am sure, if it wasn't for Eritreans and FANO involvement, you could have easily defeated Abiy, that i will give you but know, you are nothing but clinically dead under intensive care in ICU. really.

That is not the point. Capacity can be purchased or built over time. What we are talking about is the principle of reciprocity in international relations. That is fixed - applies all the time. Eritrea working towards wiping out Ethiopian government has licensed Ethiopian government internationally to work towards wiping out Isaias's government. Simple as that. Amen to that.

So you are assuming that Ethiopia or Tigray have governments? You are even lost than I thought.

[sarcasm]

So you are assuming that Ethiopia or Tigray have governments? You are even lost than I thought.

That means if Ethiopia assumes that Eritrea does not have government, then the Ethiopian government is licensed to work towards wiping out Isaias's government. They only need to assume.



assume /əˈsjuːm/
suppose to be the case, without proof.