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EPRDF-2 of Dr. Abiy is Trying to Survive by Polarizing Amhara and Oromo, Just Like EPRDF-1 of Meles Zenawi Did,!

Post by OPFist » 02 Apr 2023, 08:17

As EPRDF-2 of Dr. Abiy Trying to Survive by Polarizing Amhara and Oromo Just Like EPRDF-1 of Meles Zenawi Did, the Opposition Must Promote the Oromara Project!

It is interesting to observe that Dr. Abiy is using the same mechanism of dividing and polarizing Amhara and Oromo in order to survive and thrive, which was used by Meles Zenawi. He positioned himself in the middle and has ANM (Amhara national movement) at far right, APP (Amhara prosperity party) at middle right, OPP (Oromo prosperity party) at middle left and OLF at far left. He tries to instrumentalize APP vs OPP and ANM vs OLF in order to divide and polarize Amhara and Oromo. He is balancing the two sides by victimizing both based on pressure he gets from the two camps. When the Amhara bloc becomes strong and threaten his power, he sides the Oromo camp to beat the first and vice versa. Now, it seems the APP being supported by ANM is in a bitter war against OPP, who is getting partial support from the OLF. Dr. Abiy is playing with both wings of the current political spectrum in order to neutralize both of them, so that he can maintain his power in Finfinne palace. He knows very well that only the alliance of Amhara forces and Oromo fronts can be dangerous for his power. Only Oromara alliance can remove the dictatorial Abiy and his loyal EPP members from power, just like this alliance could defeat the TPLF.

Unfortunately, both Amhara and Oromo elites are not yet in a position to trust each other due to the ongoing domination of Amharanet at the cost of Oromumma. Amhara elites never want to give up this domination and Oromo elites will then legitimately continue the liberation struggle. This fact is a God given chance for Dr. Abiy and his EPP to stay in power, because of the fact that the probability of Oromara to grow and be a challenge again, like it did to Woyane, is minimal. That is why Dr. Abiy loves to see the conflict Amharanet vs Oromumma going on. His party members and supporters are deliberately igniting this Amhara-Oromo conflict. Thus, he tactically delays to answer the Oromo question of promoting Oromiffa/Oromumma to its legitimate leading primary position, so that the conflict between the two big nations can continue. Today’s demonistrations in Amhara region and Oromia region are very good orchastrations purposely prepared by the EPP in order to escalates the Amhara-Oromo conflict. Now, the burning question is how the opposition groups entertain this machination of the incumbent. Do they further widen the conflict and be instrumentalized by the EPP or can they revers this move and further promote the Oromara project in order to get rid of the dictatorial EPRDF-2, just as they did to EPRDF-1 five years ago? Time will show us!
Ready more: https://fayyisoromia.wordpress.com/2023 ... a-project/
Last edited by OPFist on 02 Apr 2023, 12:25, edited 2 times in total.

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Re: EPRDF-2 of Dr. Abiy is Trying to Survive by Polarizing Amhara and Oromo, Just Like EPRDF-1 of Meles Zenawi Did,!

Post by OPFist » 02 Apr 2023, 08:49

I wrote some articles regarding and supporting democratic federalists and pointed out their few weak areas. As I have already mentioned, the main conflict in Ethiopia (Great Oromia) is the conflict between two forces, i.e. between anti-Oromia (anti-Gadaa-Oromia) forces mostly represented by reactionary unitarists, who are parts of the unity camp, and pro-Oromia forces of national self-administration represented largely by Oromianists as well as by nationalists of the other oppressed peoples. This conflict was regarded as irreconcilable, and the lucky EPP is using this schism as a chance for its divide-and-rule method.

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Re: EPRDF-2 of Dr. Abiy is Trying to Survive by Polarizing Amhara and Oromo, Just Like EPRDF-1 of Meles Zenawi Did,!

Post by OPFist » 02 Apr 2023, 09:08

Thanks to the far-sighted leaders of the OLF and the CUD, this barrier was overcome for the first time; and these two organizations formed AFD in 2006, which was the nice start of cooperation between these two seemingly diametrically opposite forces. Unfortunately, there was a big opposition against AFD from three directions: the ruling fascist TPLF, the right conservative Ethio-nationalists and the left radical Ethno-nationalists, so that the alliance could not live longer. Additionally, it could not continue because of the split inside CUD into factions and due to withdrawal of EPPF from the alliance.

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Re: EPRDF-2 of Dr. Abiy is Trying to Survive by Polarizing Amhara and Oromo, Just Like EPRDF-1 of Meles Zenawi Did,!

Post by OPFist » 02 Apr 2023, 09:22

I think the time for AFD as a lasting solution for the troubled country has not yet come, but the future is in favor of AFD’s program of forging a union of free peoples in Ethiopia. In the future, both Ethio-nationalists (most being Amhara-Ethiopianists) and Ethno-nationalists (like the Oromo nationalists) will agree on the common ground as a strategical goal for both camps – union of free peoples. Just like France and Germany were enemies to each other in the past and now are the two strong pillars of the European Union, both the future free Amharaland and free Oromoland will be two pillars of the union of free peoples in Ethiopia, which will surely work together for peace and stability in the region.

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Re: EPRDF-2 of Dr. Abiy is Trying to Survive by Polarizing Amhara and Oromo, Just Like EPRDF-1 of Meles Zenawi Did,!

Post by OPFist » 02 Apr 2023, 09:58

The similar alliance as a mid-solution towards AFD’s end-goal was Medrek, which was formed after deliberations and discussions among moderate politicians of Ethiopia for about two years. We know that both anti-Oromia forces like UDJ and pro-Oromia forces like OFC were working together against the fascist TPLF. This alliance also got oppositions from three sides (from TPLF, right concervatives and left radicals). There were oppositions specially from the conservatives, who seem particularly to curse the political move of moderate Ethiopianists organized under UDJ in Medrek. I have already discussed why these die-hard unitarists did Support TPLF during election 2010 instead of cooperating with the unionist genuine opposition alliance, Medrek, in one of my articles. I tried to show also the opposition to UDJ and to Medrek from some nationalist Oromo individuals’ and groups’ point of view. But, UDJ in Medrek was the only one who attempted to move from far right to the middle. Both the left radicals and the right extremists do forget that Medrek is a compromise middle position, which can bring the apparently irreconcilable two forces together and help them work cooperatively against the dictatorial EPP. This cooperation of the two opposite forces against TPLF was really the impossible made possible. The Ethno-federalist ODF and the Ethio-federalist AG7 repeated the same process by forging ENM (Ethiopian national movement), which was a Mid-referendist, being open for both types of federation as a result of public verdict .

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Re: EPRDF-2 of Dr. Abiy is Trying to Survive by Polarizing Amhara and Oromo, Just Like EPRDF-1 of Meles Zenawi Did,!

Post by OPFist » 02 Apr 2023, 10:16

Who Opposed ENM?
As a compromise alliance, ENM, of course, could not have the whole program of either the multinational parties or that of the mononational forces, but only the mini-program as a common ground. Is this agreement of the hitherto seemingly irreconcilable forces on common program not the impossible made possible? Yes, it is! But, unfortunately, it had got oppositions from three directions, including from slaves of the TPLF. To describe the three oppositions directed against Medrek and the ENM in short, they come from:

– the fascist ruling party, which wants power by any means = dictatorial autocratic force of TPLF;

– the reactionary right extremists, who want unitary Ethiopia by any means = dictatorial unitarist forces;

– some Oromo organizations, which want Oromia’s independence without a possibility for union by any means, including TPLF slaves, who sometimes try to pretend in cyber-world as pro-independence Oromo. The true pro-independence forces also seem to be dictatorial liberation fronts, but they are the radicals, which the Oromo should have against naturally dictatorial fascist TPLF and reactionary unitarist opposition groups.

Alliances like Medrek and ENM seem to be theoretically forums for Ethio-federalist liberals and Ethno-federalist moderates, i.e. for democratic forces, which do struggle for forging of freedom and democracy, including self-administration of nations as well as for human rights of individual citizens. Such alliances are the best antidote against EPP’s divide-and-rule machination. Medrek, despite its certain weak points, is thus the right move to the right direction. Surely, the integrating figure, Birtukan “Mandela”, had played a big role in initiating, forming and holding together the alliance; she was a role model even in her physical absence (because of her imprisonment) from the real political platform in Ethiopia.

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Re: EPRDF-2 of Dr. Abiy is Trying to Survive by Polarizing Amhara and Oromo, Just Like EPRDF-1 of Meles Zenawi Did,!

Post by OPFist » 02 Apr 2023, 11:43

Being Critical Supporter of ENM
After I had written critical articles against the anti-Oromia’s position of UDJ in Medrek, I got feedback full of concerns from both the anti-Oromia and the pro-Oromia forces. The concerns revolve around the “un-productivity” of my criticism specially during the past sham elections in Ethiopia. My view regarding such concerns is contrary to what I got as the feedback. I am a critical supporter of Medrek and ENM. The alliances really did very magnificent job in making the impossible be possible. Such moves should be encouraged. But, to have a lasting solution, the alliances should not make a compromise on Gadaa Oromia’s local unity, just as it didn’t on the whole Ethiopian national unity. My criticism on this point doesn’t mean, I and Oromo nationalists are against the alliances. I just wanted to stress that accepting two levels of unity (Oromian unity and Ethiopian unity) unconditionally might help the alliance to have very stable mass base it needs. As expected, TPLF slaves tried to use my criticism on Medrek as a chance to “show that EPRDF is better than Medrek.”

Unfortunate to these slaves, Medrek, PAFD and ENM were actually alliances of the 21st century, which could accommodate two trends of the current global politics: the trend of promoting national freedom and the trend of fostering regional union. The reactionary right extremists reject politics of national freedom as something “politics of clan” whereas left radicals tend to ignore the necessity of regional union for common benefits of all citizens and nations in the Horn. Medrek, PAFD and ENM, on the contrary, were de facto multinational coalitions, which have a potential of development to multinational merger, which is usually longed for and advocated by Ethiopianist forces on the contrary to the right extremist anti-Oromian forces, which are not multinational per se, but are Amhara nationalist forces which want to dismantle Oromia with the pretext of preferring geography-based federation (Ethio-federation). The move of UDJ and AG7 to the middle line of Medrek and ENM respectively was what made them more progressive than the obsolete right extremists.

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Re: EPRDF-2 of Dr. Abiy is Trying to Survive by Polarizing Amhara and Oromo, Just Like EPRDF-1 of Meles Zenawi Did,!

Post by OPFist » 02 Apr 2023, 12:06

Challenges of ENM – What It Needed to Work On
The only thing AG7 in ENM needed to learn was not to strive only for Ethiopian unity, but also struggle for Oromian unity with autonomy and even push further for Horn unity or African unity, of course, Finfinnee being the political center for all these four levels of unities. Giving priority for unity at Ethiopian level, ENM’s vision should have been to establish union of free peoples in Ethiopia, taking Oromian unity as an example of national freedom. If all the member parties of ENM agree on such common ground, then its three opponents (fascist TPLF, right extremists and left radicals) will have no chance to disintegrate this modern alliance of the century.

ENM, as the impossible made possible, has survived two big challenges till now as its leaders already described, i.e. the challenge of coming up with the mini-program, which took them many years of wrangling with each other and the challenge of assigning needed candidates from the competing rival member parties for the common alliance. Yet, it still should overcome the following three other challenges to survive further and to become reliable force of the future in Ethiopia:

– the upcoming challenge, where the emotionally charged moves of the different constituencies with different (anti-Oromia & pro-Oromia) interests may pull and push the coalition towards disintegration. We do observe that both the die-hard Ethiopianists and others want to instrumentalize the alliance in order to assert their respective political will. If the leaders can manage and overcome this challenge, the victory can be the source of their future strength, which will benefit the alliance;

– It is not hidden that the ruling fascist regime plays with divide-and-attack method to destroy ENM, just as it did to CUD and UDJ. We have observed how the regime orchestrated the quarrel between the two factions of UDJ just to make them appear ridiculous in front of their constituencies, to destroy the image of the party in the donors’ group of international community, and to divert attention of the leaders and members of the party from election campaign;

– the challenge of accommodating both Oromian unity and Ethiopian unity, the failure of which can be a cause of disintegration in the far future, if not in the near future. Only when all member parties accept and respect Oromian unity as they did to Ethiopian unity, that it is possible to have a very stable base for further survival. Any schism like Ethno- as to try as usual pouring benzine on the conflict.

Anyways, only by correcting the mistake of trying to dismantle Oromia per referendum, ENM will have lasting support of Oromo people. AG7’s main agenda (Ethiopian unity) without consent of Oromo elites and support of Oromo people is fake and only temporary. If ENM corrects this mistake in its further deliberations and discussions, then no question that victory will be for both Oromia’s unity and Ethiopian unity (goal of Ethiopianists from both Ethio-federalist and Ethnofederalist camps). I hope in the long run that the right extremists (Ethio-centeralists) and the left radicals (Ethno-separatists) will also come to their sense and accept this noble compromise solution for Oromia (Gadaa Oromia) and Ethiopia (Great Oromia), at least temporarily till the time for AFD’s final solution (inclusive self-determination) comes. Even though it is not as such easy to reverse the formal ethnic federation, not accepting such compromise only leads to both disintegration of Ethiopia (fear of the right extremists) and to a possible independent Oromia surrounded by chaotic region (fear of the left radicals).

That is why I have tried to put forward my criticism against AG7’s position of anti-Oromia and against ENM’s position of referendum on the God-given right of a united Gadaa Oromia to exist. If referendum concerns only Oromo, it is not bad; but if the public of referendum includes all non-Oromo in Ethiopia, it is just unfair. As usual, the fascist TPLF cadres have tried to use my criticism as if there is irreconcilable discord between the ODF-wing and the AG7-wing of ENM. But, the wise political leaders in ENM have already told us that the deliberation and discussion on this issue would go on. This is very commendable and hopefully these leaders will come up with consensus also on Oromian unity, not only on Ethiopian unity. On the day they achieve this, then the time for the demise of the fascist TPLF, the weakening of the right extremists and the moderation of the left radicals will not be far. Additionally, I am sure in due time it will be clear for the organizations like AG7 in Medrek that dismantling Oromia is not as such a free ride.

The AG7 in ENM was doing smart politics in working not only with “multinational” forces, but also in accommodating national forces in order to make them accept and respect its main agenda, i.e. Ethiopian unity. Thanks to the farsightedness of AG7 leaders and the leaders of other member organizations of ENM, we are with new good beginning. I asked Waaqa to give them more knowledge and wisdom to help the coalition last long and be fruitful by making all nations of Ethiopia to rally behind them against the fascist regime.

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Re: EPRDF-2 of Dr. Abiy is Trying to Survive by Polarizing Amhara and Oromo, Just Like EPRDF-1 of Meles Zenawi Did,!

Post by OPFist » 02 Apr 2023, 12:06

Challenges of ENM – What It Needed to Work On
The only thing AG7 in ENM needed to learn was not to strive only for Ethiopian unity, but also struggle for Oromian unity with autonomy and even push further for Horn unity or African unity, of course, Finfinnee being the political center for all these four levels of unities. Giving priority for unity at Ethiopian level, ENM’s vision should have been to establish union of free peoples in Ethiopia, taking Oromian unity as an example of national freedom. If all the member parties of ENM agree on such common ground, then its three opponents (fascist TPLF, right extremists and left radicals) will have no chance to disintegrate this modern alliance of the century.

ENM, as the impossible made possible, has survived two big challenges till now as its leaders already described, i.e. the challenge of coming up with the mini-program, which took them many years of wrangling with each other and the challenge of assigning needed candidates from the competing rival member parties for the common alliance. Yet, it still should overcome the following three other challenges to survive further and to become reliable force of the future in Ethiopia:

– the upcoming challenge, where the emotionally charged moves of the different constituencies with different (anti-Oromia & pro-Oromia) interests may pull and push the coalition towards disintegration. We do observe that both the die-hard Ethiopianists and others want to instrumentalize the alliance in order to assert their respective political will. If the leaders can manage and overcome this challenge, the victory can be the source of their future strength, which will benefit the alliance;

– It is not hidden that the ruling fascist regime plays with divide-and-attack method to destroy ENM, just as it did to CUD and UDJ. We have observed how the regime orchestrated the quarrel between the two factions of UDJ just to make them appear ridiculous in front of their constituencies, to destroy the image of the party in the donors’ group of international community, and to divert attention of the leaders and members of the party from election campaign;

– the challenge of accommodating both Oromian unity and Ethiopian unity, the failure of which can be a cause of disintegration in the far future, if not in the near future. Only when all member parties accept and respect Oromian unity as they did to Ethiopian unity, that it is possible to have a very stable base for further survival. Any schism like Ethno- as to try as usual pouring benzine on the conflict.

Anyways, only by correcting the mistake of trying to dismantle Oromia per referendum, ENM will have lasting support of Oromo people. AG7’s main agenda (Ethiopian unity) without consent of Oromo elites and support of Oromo people is fake and only temporary. If ENM corrects this mistake in its further deliberations and discussions, then no question that victory will be for both Oromia’s unity and Ethiopian unity (goal of Ethiopianists from both Ethio-federalist and Ethnofederalist camps). I hope in the long run that the right extremists (Ethio-centeralists) and the left radicals (Ethno-separatists) will also come to their sense and accept this noble compromise solution for Oromia (Gadaa Oromia) and Ethiopia (Great Oromia), at least temporarily till the time for AFD’s final solution (inclusive self-determination) comes. Even though it is not as such easy to reverse the formal ethnic federation, not accepting such compromise only leads to both disintegration of Ethiopia (fear of the right extremists) and to a possible independent Oromia surrounded by chaotic region (fear of the left radicals).

That is why I have tried to put forward my criticism against AG7’s position of anti-Oromia and against ENM’s position of referendum on the God-given right of a united Gadaa Oromia to exist. If referendum concerns only Oromo, it is not bad; but if the public of referendum includes all non-Oromo in Ethiopia, it is just unfair. As usual, the fascist TPLF cadres have tried to use my criticism as if there is irreconcilable discord between the ODF-wing and the AG7-wing of ENM. But, the wise political leaders in ENM have already told us that the deliberation and discussion on this issue would go on. This is very commendable and hopefully these leaders will come up with consensus also on Oromian unity, not only on Ethiopian unity. On the day they achieve this, then the time for the demise of the fascist TPLF, the weakening of the right extremists and the moderation of the left radicals will not be far. Additionally, I am sure in due time it will be clear for the organizations like AG7 in Medrek that dismantling Oromia is not as such a free ride.

The AG7 in ENM was doing smart politics in working not only with “multinational” forces, but also in accommodating national forces in order to make them accept and respect its main agenda, i.e. Ethiopian unity. Thanks to the farsightedness of AG7 leaders and the leaders of other member organizations of ENM, we are with new good beginning. I asked Waaqa to give them more knowledge and wisdom to help the coalition last long and be fruitful by making all nations of Ethiopia to rally behind them against the fascist regime.

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Re: EPRDF-2 of Dr. Abiy is Trying to Survive by Polarizing Amhara and Oromo, Just Like EPRDF-1 of Meles Zenawi Did,!

Post by Abere » 02 Apr 2023, 12:21

Our fear is sadly more likely becoming a reality - Oromo's will be victim pay price for Abiy Amhed's heinous crime against Amhara in the name of Oromo. We all wish this never happened, but "Oromiya" would be Tigray 2.0, indeed sad. My prayer, will these days be short. No hesitation, Abiy Ahmed will be gone.

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Re: EPRDF-2 of Dr. Abiy is Trying to Survive by Polarizing Amhara and Oromo, Just Like EPRDF-1 of Meles Zenawi Did,!

Post by OPFist » 02 Apr 2023, 12:31

By Any Means Necessary – Including Through Sham Elections
Otherwise, we know that all citizens of the empire go out to vote in sham elections under a very undemocratic circumstance. There were different opinions given in different websites on what to do, the ideas ranging from importance of boycotting to the necessity of participating in elections. I personally do support the participation, and encourage the opposition leaders, their members, supporters and the whole mass against the EPP to be vigilant and seek the way how to keep their voting cards not be misused by the mafia regime. In case the election will be rigged, again mass uprising using all methods of peaceful struggle is to be recommended. We should consider the sham election as part of our struggle against tyranny, and we need to intensify the ongoing peaceful uprising against tyranny. I hope Medrek will take the leading position and make also a sort of cooperation with other genuine opposition parties, which is very mandatory to compel the fascist regime to respect the public verdict.


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Re: EPRDF-2 of Dr. Abiy is Trying to Survive by Polarizing Amhara and Oromo, Just Like EPRDF-1 of Meles Zenawi Did,!

Post by OPFist » 02 Apr 2023, 14:19

I wish also in the long run that the reactionary unitarists in the opposition camp learn from their real political experience and be transformed to unionists, similar to Medrek and ENM. Such transformation of the unitarists as well as formation and consolidation of an alliance of all the unionists, which do believe in both Oromian unity and Ethiopian union of free peoples, is the best remedy to liberate Ethiopia from tyranny. I do believe that ODF of ENM is dedicated to this goal even though AG7 is on a process to digest it. Sure is that in the future, let alone the liberal AG7, even the right extremists will learn to accept and respect this middle Position of the ODF, if they want to save Ethiopia from disintegration by transforming it into a genuine and lasting union of free peoples.

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Re: EPRDF-2 of Dr. Abiy is Trying to Survive by Polarizing Amhara and Oromo, Just Like EPRDF-1 of Meles Zenawi Did,!

Post by OPFist » 02 Apr 2023, 15:13

But despite its anti-Oromia Position of Ethio-federation, AG7 deserved respect of Oromo people because of their progressive approach to work with Ethno-federalist national parties like ODF as well as for their help in making the impossible be possible, on contrary to the reactionary, right extremist, unitarist Ethiopianist parties, which hitherto used to demonize such Oromo national organizations as clanist parties. This modern and tolerant approach of the member parties of Medrek and ENM to each other, in spite of their differences, shows that such alliance is better than the EPRDF. That is why I wished good luck for Medrek of Birtukan “Mandela”, hoping that it will promote the true Oromian unity within the whole Ethiopian union. I said the same to the ENM leaders: Ob. Leenco Lata and Dr. Berihanu Nega! Now, we are in a Desperate need of such approachs and alliances of the Amhara bloc and Amhara camp. Otherwise, we have to be ready top BE ruled by EPRDF-2 for the future many years. May Waaqa help such modern alliances against the dictatorial regime of Biltsigina!

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Re: EPRDF-2 of Dr. Abiy is Trying to Survive by Polarizing Amhara and Oromo, Just Like EPRDF-1 of Meles Zenawi Did,!

Post by OPFist » 02 Apr 2023, 15:13

But despite its anti-Oromia Position of Ethio-federation, AG7 deserved respect of Oromo people because of their progressive approach to work with Ethno-federalist national parties like ODF as well as for their help in making the impossible be possible, on contrary to the reactionary, right extremist, unitarist Ethiopianist parties, which hitherto used to demonize such Oromo national organizations as clanist parties. This modern and tolerant approach of the member parties of Medrek and ENM to each other, in spite of their differences, shows that such alliance is better than the EPRDF. That is why I wished good luck for Medrek of Birtukan “Mandela”, hoping that it will promote the true Oromian unity within the whole Ethiopian union. I said the same to the ENM leaders: Ob. Leenco Lata and Dr. Berihanu Nega! Now, we are in a Desperate need of such approachs and alliances of the Amhara bloc and Amhara camp. Otherwise, we have to be ready top BE ruled by EPRDF-2 for the future many years. May Waaqa help such modern alliances against the dictatorial regime of Biltsigina!

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Re: EPRDF-2 of Dr. Abiy is Trying to Survive by Polarizing Amhara and Oromo, Just Like EPRDF-1 of Meles Zenawi Did,!

Post by Yimer » 02 Apr 2023, 16:49

I like some of your points brother OFPist (although I didn’t the entire posts). Yes, May Waaqa/God help us.

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