Re: Dangerous trends in Ethiopia: Time for Washington’s tough love
https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-fr ... ough-love/A month after a seeming breakthrough toward conflict de-escalation in the grinding war in Ethiopia’s northern Tigray region and the associated humanitarian catastrophe, conflict and centrifugal dynamics have significantly escalated, eviscerating the country’s stability well beyond Tigray. After eight months of fighting and an increasingly effective insurgency, the Tigray Defense Forces (TDF) routed the federal Ethiopian National Defense Force (ENDF) backed by neighboring Eritrea in Tigray. Facing a defeat, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed declared a unilateral ceasefire and ordered the government’s forces out of Tigray..
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Digital Weyane
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Re: Dangerous trends in Ethiopia: Time for Washington’s tough love
ጁንታው ዎንድሜ Aba Awash: ሞቼ ነው ኡናታችን ትግራይ ጋር ሄደህ ነፍጥ አንግበህ ጦርነት የምትዋጋው?
ውጭ አገር እየኖርክ፣ ሃምበርገር ኡየጎመጥክ፣ እስትሪፕ ክለብ ኡያደርክ፣ የካድሬነት ስራህን ለማደላደል ፎልገህ ብቻ የኡናታችን ትግራይ ህፃናትን በጦርነት መማገድ ኢ-ሰብአዊ ድርጊት ነው። ዩ አር ኤ ዎር ክሪሚናል!!! ዋይ ዋይ ዋይ ዋይ!
ውጭ አገር እየኖርክ፣ ሃምበርገር ኡየጎመጥክ፣ እስትሪፕ ክለብ ኡያደርክ፣ የካድሬነት ስራህን ለማደላደል ፎልገህ ብቻ የኡናታችን ትግራይ ህፃናትን በጦርነት መማገድ ኢ-ሰብአዊ ድርጊት ነው። ዩ አር ኤ ዎር ክሪሚናል!!! ዋይ ዋይ ዋይ ዋይ!
Re: Dangerous trends in Ethiopia: Time for Washington’s tough love
The real outcome of the Tigray misadventure.....
"In large parts of the country, strong anti-Tigrayan sentiments dominate and have locally broken out into
anti-Tigrayan ethnic violence."
በአፋር ብቻ ዛሬ 1000 ሰው አልቆበታል!!
"In large parts of the country, strong anti-Tigrayan sentiments dominate and have locally broken out into
anti-Tigrayan ethnic violence."
በአፋር ብቻ ዛሬ 1000 ሰው አልቆበታል!!
Re: Dangerous trends in Ethiopia: Time for Washington’s tough love
Digital,Digital Weyane wrote: ↑09 Aug 2021, 16:59ጁንታው ዎንድሜ Aba Awash: ሞቼ ነው ኡናታችን ትግራይ ጋር ሄደህ ነፍጥ አንግበህ ጦርነት የምትዋጋው?![]()
ውጭ አገር እየኖርክ፣ ሃምበርገር ኡየጎመጥክ፣ እስትሪፕ ክለብ ኡያደርክ፣ የካድሬነት ስራህን ለማደላደል ፎልገህ ብቻ የኡናታችን ትግራይ ህፃናትን በጦርነት መማገድ ኢ-ሰብአዊ ድርጊት ነው። ዩ አር ኤ ዎር ክሪሚናል!!! ዋይ ዋይ ዋይ ዋይ!![]()
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ጁንታው ዎንድሜ Aba is happy with the article; I am sure he also knows the fault-line.
The key of this article seems to me the last two paragraphs:
If TPLF can sustain the insurgency in Afar/Amhara region, their Western backers will continue considering them as equal to Dr. Abiy's government. If not, they're toast.
One thing is certain, the West has stopped looking at TPLF as just victims; that is good for the Ethiopian Government considering they've what it takes to unlodge them; when that happens, TPLF shall end up in the dustbin of history. Inshallah!!
[[..Washington’s calls on the Tigrayan forces to withdraw from Amhara and Afar are unlikely to be heeded unless the United States is ready to threaten and impose punitive actions against the Tigray leadership, in the form of visa bans, sanctions, and criminal indictment portfolios. The threat of such sanctions may also be needed against actors in Abiy’s government and regional militia leaders to force their forces back into their home areas and ensure the delivery of humanitarian aid. Cutting non-humanitarian aid to Ethiopia may soon become a tool Washington should also exercise, though Addis Ababa can retaliate by withdrawing forces from Somalia, thus giving al-Shabab more power and room amidst multifaceted crises in the country.
Even so, realistically Washington has little capacity to halt militia formation and the fissiparous unraveling they set in motion. And Abiy is unlikely to stop relying on them unless the Tigrayan forces return to Tigray and compromise negotiations begin. Even then, the militias have already been unleashed...]]
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Digital Weyane
- Senior Member
- Posts: 10179
- Joined: 19 Jun 2019, 21:45
Re: Dangerous trends in Ethiopia: Time for Washington’s tough love
ዋይ ዋይ፣ ዋሺንግቶን ኡኮ ነው ለሕወሓት መሪዎች አፋር ኡና አማራ ክልሎችን ኡንዲያጠቁ ያዘዙዋቸው፣ ሙክንያቱም ዋሺንግቶን ቱንሽ ቆይተው ለሁለቱ ወገኖች <<ከያዛችሁት ቦታ ዉጡ!>> ቡሎው ሲጠይቁ፣ ሎሌው ወያኔ <<ኡሺ ጌታየ!>> ብሎ ሲወጣ፣ መንግስታችን ግን <<ኮየት ነው የምወጣው?>> እያለ በሃሳብ ሲደናበር፣ ዋሺንግቶን በሜዲያ <<የኢትዮጵያ መንግሥት አልወጣም አለ፣ ትእዛዛችን አይቀበልም>> የሚል ትችት ይሰነዝርበታል። አንቶኒ ብሊንከን ደግሞ <<ወያኔ ጉድ ጋይስ>>፣ <<አቢይ ባድ ጋይ>> ለማለት ጡሩ ሙክንያት ያገኛል። ኡቺ ናት ጨዋታ።Dawi wrote: ↑09 Aug 2021, 18:01Digital,Digital Weyane wrote: ↑09 Aug 2021, 16:59ጁንታው ዎንድሜ Aba Awash: ሞቼ ነው ኡናታችን ትግራይ ጋር ሄደህ ነፍጥ አንግበህ ጦርነት የምትዋጋው?![]()
ውጭ አገር እየኖርክ፣ ሃምበርገር ኡየጎመጥክ፣ እስትሪፕ ክለብ ኡያደርክ፣ የካድሬነት ስራህን ለማደላደል ፎልገህ ብቻ የኡናታችን ትግራይ ህፃናትን በጦርነት መማገድ ኢ-ሰብአዊ ድርጊት ነው። ዩ አር ኤ ዎር ክሪሚናል!!! ዋይ ዋይ ዋይ ዋይ!![]()
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ጁንታው ዎንድሜ Aba is happy with the article; I am sure he also knows the fault-line.
The key of this article seems to me the last two paragraphs:
If TPLF can sustain the insurgency in Afar/Amhara region, their Western backers will continue considering them as equal to Dr. Abiy's government. If not, they're toast.
One thing is certain, the West has stopped looking at TPLF as just victims; that is good for the Ethiopian Government considering they've what it takes to unlodge them; when that happens, TPLF shall end up in the dustbin of history. Inshallah!!
[[..Washington’s calls on the Tigrayan forces to withdraw from Amhara and Afar are unlikely to be heeded unless the United States is ready to threaten and impose punitive actions against the Tigray leadership, in the form of visa bans, sanctions, and criminal indictment portfolios. The threat of such sanctions may also be needed against actors in Abiy’s government and regional militia leaders to force their forces back into their home areas and ensure the delivery of humanitarian aid. Cutting non-humanitarian aid to Ethiopia may soon become a tool Washington should also exercise, though Addis Ababa can retaliate by withdrawing forces from Somalia, thus giving al-Shabab more power and room amidst multifaceted crises in the country.
Even so, realistically Washington has little capacity to halt militia formation and the fissiparous unraveling they set in motion. And Abiy is unlikely to stop relying on them unless the Tigrayan forces return to Tigray and compromise negotiations begin. Even then, the militias have already been unleashed...]]