Mereja.Forum

[Horus]

[Zack]

Zack,
You are looking at only Ethio-Somaliland relations. Put yourself in Ethiopian shoes and look at the whole regional dynamics. Example - Abiy could not say fu to China and Turkey (the largest traders and investors in Ethiopia). China is #1 or 2 (next to UAE) . #3 Turkey. Turkey has turned Somalia into its colony and largest military base with a treaty to protect Somalia. Egypt while competing with Turkey for a foothold in Somalia constantly looks for an Ethiopian mistake to encircle Ethiopia and get a binding treaty on the GEDR. US wants to pressure Ethiopia to stay away from China and Russia. In the mean time all sorts of internal armed fronts want to destabilize and if they can dismember Ethiopia. Actualization of MOU 2 years ago would have made all of these dangers real present and eminent. Just look at what the completion of GERD has achieved. It has reshaped the Red sea and Horn geopolitics. Today Ethiopia is a much stronger position - Israel in Somaliland, Egypt pretty much kicked out of Somalia, kicked out of South Sudan, Nile basin countries self-asserting, Ethiopia actively supporting RSF to block our border from TPLF and Fano, India coming into the mix of things ,etc we are in a much stronger position to actualize the MOU. Consider what Iran war has done to the security of Red - Bab El Mendeb and Suaez Canal! - etc. As for the 19% share in Berbera deal, I don't know its current status but at that time Ethiopia simply could not come up with the money on the date she was suppose to do. But as we speak, all kinds of port deals are being made between Irro and Abiy. Ethio-telecom is SLR, our commercial bank is in SLR and I am sure there are zillions of secret deals between us. I see nothing but great future between our two countries.

I think ur making escuses for Ethiopia. Ethiopia lost the momentum yes turkey and China are u trading partners but if China and turkey tell you . You can’t have access to the sea will u accept it it seems now that u have accepted ur fate ,Ethiopia had a golden opportunity with the mou deal but it got cold feet .
Now it just uses mou as scare tactic against Egypt and Somalia but. Egypt and Somalia know ur bluff, the Somaliland offer of lease land on the bab el mandeb for 50 years is off the table. Or navy base . They were desperate in 2024 for first recogntion
Not any more
Egypt is winning now the geopoltiical
War for sure they have Somalia djibouti Sudan and Eritrea on their side. It got now Somaliland which is very neutral on the conflict as jikaar said. So you lost the geopolitical conflict

[Jikaar]

Somali Lander idiot Jaakar,

Assab was never Ethiopian property . Neither was the mother land of Assab called Eritrea. That is actualized legally in 1993. The little big mouth Galla has achieved his goal, being re-elected. That is all. I do think that the idiot in Eritrea allowed him to do so. If the little Galla dares to invade Eritrea, Ethiopia will be no more. He won’t dare to do that. Assab could never be part of Ethiopia legally. The effort is futile. Eritreans need to deal with the enemy within once for good,

Fair enough we have no beef with Eritrea. But if I were hurus I would defenitely invade assab if I am serious about getting permanent access to the sea.

Oromos or Ethiopians can't fight against the Somalis. And his constant nonsense " I want sea" make the Somalis more prepared to fk him up. I believe the afar are genuinely more pro Ethiopian.

Eritrea is in a weak position if the strong man dies.

[Right]

Ethiopia will secure access to the sea without a doubt, it is a matter of time.

But this is not how to do it. The clown PM & his Gurage chihuahuas are simply blustering for propaganda purposes.
They do more harm than good.

For any genuine Ethiopian, the first priority is to get rid off ethnic politics (a.k.a. Egypt) and form structures for good governance.

Put Eritrea in its place. Close the borders, deport all Eritreans from Ethiopia and do not allow any. Do that, ignore it for 20 years. I wouldn’t bother about Eritrea, as this point.

[Zack]

Ethiopia will secure access to the sea without a doubt, it is a matter of time.

But this is not how to do it. The clown PM & his Gurage chihuahuas are simply blustering for propaganda purposes.
They do more harm than good.

For any genuine Ethiopian, the first priority is to get rid off ethnic politics (a.k.a. Egypt) and form structures for good governance.

Put Eritrea in its place. Close the borders, deport all Eritreans from Ethiopia and do not allow any. Do that, ignore it for 20 years. I wouldn’t bother about Eritrea, as this point.

And how will Ethiopia get acces to sea not via \eritrea you have to start a war an invasion killing 100.000 of thousands i dont think the galla pm has the stomach do this . where else can he get sea , Djibouti i doubt it , doubt Ethiopia wants to invade that land, Somalia never gonne happen no somali a sea out let at any price , Somaliland was the only one who would have entertained it for recognition , but now they have their first recogntion and they dont care any more the deal before was very attractive thoughh for ethiopia but ethiopia fail to capitalise on it it got scared. i mean a naval base and a sovreign territory they can lease for 50 years and they can do as they wish. i mean thats gold , and Somaliland wasnt even asking money they were willing to throw us in Djibouti under the bus and give you access even if i would mean that we would lose billions in a sense israel recognition of Somaliland is a blessing

i think ethiopia will remain landlocked for the next centuries or so

[Horus]