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Messele Zewdie Ejeta
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Joined: 27 Dec 2016, 10:21

Hurricane Helene and Climate Change: A Leading Climate Scientist Says it is not Rocket Science

Post by Messele Zewdie Ejeta » 28 Sep 2024, 14:29

Professor Michael Mann is one of the leading climate scientists and researchers of climate change.

If I remember correctly, he was one of the research scientists who presented their research analyses at the annual conference of the American Geophysical Union in San Francisco in 2008.

He presented compelling equations of thermodynamics that explain the effect of global warming.

He put it in a layperson’s language yesterday while explaining about Hurricane Helene:

It is not it’s not rocket science, it’s pretty basic physics that tells us that the warmer you make the oceans, the more moisture they evaporate into the atmosphere, the more energy there is to intensify these storms.

Attribution of climate change to natural variability and man made elevated greenhouse gases in the atmosphere involves a complex interface of orbital forcing and thermodynamics.

Because orbital forcing has deterministic cycles, analyzing and attributing its component on climate change makes it easier to analyze this complex interface of two formidable variables.

A peer reviewed paper at the following link attempts to focus on the cyclic component of orbital forcing for this kind of analysis:

Validation of predicted meteorological drought in California using analogous orbital geometries

It may be easier for experienced researchers in thermodynamics to try to separate the phases of thermodynamic energies and orbital forcing. Intuition suggest that they may be out of phase, which makes this attribution research easier.