Before the lease could expire in 1993, however, Djibouti broke the lease by declaring its independence from France in 1977, and during its admission to the UN as a new member state, a representative of the Ethiopian Derg government, who many observers expected to raise objection to Djibouti's breaking the lease agreement, instead gave an emotional speech expressing Ethiopia's unreserved support for France and Djibouti's independence, saying....
"...we respect this hard-won independence, and hope that others also will join Ethiopia in this commitment to respect and honor the independence and territorial integrity of the new state...."
Many people, including myself, believe that the Derg regime supported Djibouti's independence for fear of entering into a military confrontation with Italy, sorry, I mean France.
When the lease formally expired in 1993, the TPLF also sent congratulatory messages to both Djibouti and France, assuring them that they will never seek to reverse Djibouti's independence in order to gain sea access, because they had other wonderful plan in place.
In 1998, the TPLF revealed the plan by invading Eritrea, but it quickly ended with "ተጨፈጨፍን! አንድም ቦታ ፈቀቅ ማረግ አልቻልንም!" after the agame lost most of their 170,000 hunger conscripts at the Assab front, and they forever forfeited the privilege of using Eritrean ports for free. There's a saying that goes like: "Never give the devil a free ride, because he'll want to take over the driving." And that was the lesson we Eritreans learned from the mother-of-all-betrayals.
In 2006, Ethiopia and Djibouti signed a transport agreement which enables Ethiopia to use Djibouti's port services for the coming 20 years at a cost of $1 billion dollars a year. The agreement is set to expire in 2026, at which point Ethiopia could expect to see an increase in port fees due to global inflation surge. What if Djibouti asks $2 Billion a year? Where can a country that cannot afford $33 million to service its debt get that kind of money to pay for port services? Perhaps drones will replace cargo ships in the coming two years.






