Horus wrote: ↑24 May 2021, 13:56
Abere,
Sudan is trying to get out of the long frozen isolation and she is bowing and kneeling because it is bribed by debt 'forgiveness' and other pressures (through the classic American water carrier-Egypt). In all of this noise and seeming chaos, there is a calm order that we all must focus on.
Politics and war are dynamic, they constantly change.
Why does America use the stick not carrot in this case? Because their model is wrong. Only a failed political strategy resorts to violence and the threat of war.
Here is the deal.
There are the Americans, Chinese, Russians, Indians, Turks, Arabs and African Union in the Ethiopia theater. These are all smart capable connected and objective driven forces that fight to ensure and protect their interest - be it economic, trade, political or strategic. As I say often, politics and war are like a billiard table. When one ball moves, all the other move and change position. It is the same in Ethiopia.
In the battle to control Ethiopian telecom system and at the same time spy on Ethiopia, US has won the day and China has lost a little.
Now America has chosen to direct its relation with Ethiopia, on hostile trajectory and that will initiate a new alignment of forces and dynamics. In physics, we say that nature abhors vacuum. In politics, we say society abhors power vacuum. When America stops aid or trade with Ethiopia, there will be others ready to fill up the vacuum.
Every crisis comes with massive opportunity. And, one should never let a good crisis go wasted. American hostility toward Ethiopia is a God sent opportunity for Ethiopia to examine her cocaine like dependence on America. Ethiopia needs to mature!
This is our opportunity to have all the players compete and fight on the Ethiopia theater - we must have all kinds of relations with all kinds of forces and power centers.
Ethiopia critical problem is not American hostility, that has been the case through our 100 year long relation. Our critical need is the eradication of tribalism, ethnic politics, ethnic constitution and the ethnic killilism.
We need a united country a strong government to withstand pressure and have a place in the above power struggle of nations. Abiy can't stand a chance of winning any game riding on the current ethnic system.
My view is if America continues with its unjust intervention and pressure, Abiy should dissolve the ethnic parliament, suspend the constitution and stabilize the country and protect our independence and sovereignty.
If Sudan continues to be a proxy for anti-Ethiopian forces, Ethiopia must do something strong to remove the Sudanese weakest link.
Where is that kind of stupidity celebrated other than by idiots like you. Germany accosted Isayas himself. They told him flatly make the Eritrean ports duty free and create hubs for passing merchant ships to dock and pay dollars. I wonder why he declined. Eritrea could have been another Singapore story today, yet 30 years after so called independence, it is one of the poorest countries even by African standards. Americans and Europeans support our independence for stability of the horn. They would like Eritrea to prosper so that immigration to Europe could be controlled. Now, you know why they are targeting Isayas. But, idiots like you, it could be a waste of time. 