The best strategic alliance partner for Tigray is PP and the converse is also true!
Posted: 25 Jan 2026, 15:52
- Tigray can only have strategic allince with Eritrea, with post Isaias government. It is foolish to give another chance for Isaias!
- No strategic alliance could be established with FANO due to conflicting goals of FANO and TPLF. A tactical alliace with FANO is possible to jointly remove Abiy from power but the post Abiy road map has to be agreed prior to the lunch such tactical alliance. It is imprtant to note that FANO is supported and controlled by die hard TPLF enimies( like Neamin Zeleke and Andargatchew Tsige) funded by Isaias.
- The most attractive alliance partner( start with tactical allince and grow it to strategic allince ) is OPDO led PP. TPLF has lready established relationship with OPDO old guards and that could be used as a leverage to renew the relationship. The old guards of TPLF working wioth abiy could also be used to faciliate the alliance negotiation. Alliance with PP has the following advantages:
- Less costly for Tigray to achive its goals ( both interms of human and matrial)
- Less risky for Tigray
- It reduces the enimies of Abiy by 80%( considering impact of Tigray on the possible war)
- It significantly decreases risks of disintegration of Ethiopia and possible negotated solution with FANO and OLA. Isaias could also be easily toppled by Abiy and Tigray forces denaying Egypt's strong proxy partner ( Isaias) and bringing Egypt to the negotation table with Ethiopia.
The way foerward :
- TPLF and PP have to come to thier senses and jointly work for peace and unity
- FANO and OLA have to negotiate with Abiy and get what they want
- For Isaias he has no option but contuinue trying to sabotage Ethiopia ,and may reinvade Tigray the day TPLF and PP peace deal is announced and Tigray has to be ready for that.
- No strategic alliance could be established with FANO due to conflicting goals of FANO and TPLF. A tactical alliace with FANO is possible to jointly remove Abiy from power but the post Abiy road map has to be agreed prior to the lunch such tactical alliance. It is imprtant to note that FANO is supported and controlled by die hard TPLF enimies( like Neamin Zeleke and Andargatchew Tsige) funded by Isaias.
- The most attractive alliance partner( start with tactical allince and grow it to strategic allince ) is OPDO led PP. TPLF has lready established relationship with OPDO old guards and that could be used as a leverage to renew the relationship. The old guards of TPLF working wioth abiy could also be used to faciliate the alliance negotiation. Alliance with PP has the following advantages:
- Less costly for Tigray to achive its goals ( both interms of human and matrial)
- Less risky for Tigray
- It reduces the enimies of Abiy by 80%( considering impact of Tigray on the possible war)
- It significantly decreases risks of disintegration of Ethiopia and possible negotated solution with FANO and OLA. Isaias could also be easily toppled by Abiy and Tigray forces denaying Egypt's strong proxy partner ( Isaias) and bringing Egypt to the negotation table with Ethiopia.
The way foerward :
- TPLF and PP have to come to thier senses and jointly work for peace and unity
- FANO and OLA have to negotiate with Abiy and get what they want
- For Isaias he has no option but contuinue trying to sabotage Ethiopia ,and may reinvade Tigray the day TPLF and PP peace deal is announced and Tigray has to be ready for that.