In 2026, I predict Fano to be increasingly more active and successful in destroying Abiy's forces in Amhara. As they gain more experience, and use tactics that are taught to them by Shaebia, and with the increasingly demoralized non-Amhara Ethiopian soldiers surrendering rather than dying for nothing, and with Amhara soldiers sabotaging the rag-tag PP militia, Fano will certainly defeat Abiy in Amhara. What happens next, that is, whether they march towards Arat Kilo we shall see.
The Ethiopian economy will continue to tank with birr losing more and more. Already, Ethiopians are suffering the effect of total mismanagement by the Potomkin Party which squanders scarce resources in useless projects than tackling the fundamental economic problems of the nation. Inflation will continue to bite. It is very likely that the people will revolt and try to get rid of the PP clowns.
The Tigray scenario is going to get worse.
The pressure from Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti and Somalia will mount. I predict the Ethiopian Somalis will start to destabilize their region. The Afars are already in a rebelious mode. As Ethiopia crumbles, we shall see increased activity by regional criminal gangs.
Thus, Abiy will not be able to govern and that will become obvious to everyone. In other words, 2026 is going to be the decisive year. Will we see EthioSlavia finally breaking up! God Have Mercy!