If Isaias war strategy is as described by Sajid it is wrong !
Posted: 13 Sep 2025, 17:06
- Tigray will not/ should not be directly involved in the Abiy & Isaias war until both are weakened. Once both are weak Tigray can topple Isaias & come to Addis with FANO & OLA.
- For Tigray eliminating Isaias, freeing Eritreans & making strategic agreement with post-Isaias new government is more strategic than supporting / saving Isaias.
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The way forward for Tigray :
- Coordinate with other Ethiopian forces ( mainly from Amhara & Oromia) to topple a weak Abiy & establish a provisional government.
- Coordinate with Eritrean opposition for coordinated internal & external attack on Isaias ( Eritrean opposition should be operating from both Tigray & Eritrea to topple Isaias) . The Eritrean opposition forces should be prepared to establish a transitional government as soon as Isaias is toppled.
- As a fall back scenario ( if FANO & OLA are not willing to work with TPLF) , negotiate with weak Abiy & agree on power sharing formula for mutual existence of EPRDF2 & TPLF under which TPLF controls Military , Security & Foreign Minister position while Abiy continues as PM.
https://www.youtube.com/live/uv_ZhLYVSr ... Rh3tQtKsvW
- For Tigray eliminating Isaias, freeing Eritreans & making strategic agreement with post-Isaias new government is more strategic than supporting / saving Isaias.
-
The way forward for Tigray :
- Coordinate with other Ethiopian forces ( mainly from Amhara & Oromia) to topple a weak Abiy & establish a provisional government.
- Coordinate with Eritrean opposition for coordinated internal & external attack on Isaias ( Eritrean opposition should be operating from both Tigray & Eritrea to topple Isaias) . The Eritrean opposition forces should be prepared to establish a transitional government as soon as Isaias is toppled.
- As a fall back scenario ( if FANO & OLA are not willing to work with TPLF) , negotiate with weak Abiy & agree on power sharing formula for mutual existence of EPRDF2 & TPLF under which TPLF controls Military , Security & Foreign Minister position while Abiy continues as PM.
https://www.youtube.com/live/uv_ZhLYVSr ... Rh3tQtKsvW