The Horn of Africa: where is it heading?
A failed strategy
After the opening of the Suez Canal in 1869 and taking as a background the greedy stampede of the ruling powers to conquer the rich geo-political and resource value of the Horn of Africa, after the removal of this direct rule & in the era of the cold war, the superpower race & competition to impose their will and influence in this region, adding to that regional weaknesses and servitude of regimes- all this has denied peace & serenity to our peoples and a loss of opportunity for generations for a whole century.
Attached to this history, in recent years, the kidnapping of the "corrective measure" dedicatedly initiated by the Ethiopian people in 2018 by buying the new regime with small handouts and naming it as a representative, the new hegemonic powers [UAE & Israel- my interpretation] started exploiting the confusion and differences that arose within the popular uprising of the Sudanese people and by using these two big states (Sudan & Ethiopia), strategized the conquering of the Horn region. But the attempt has now fizzled out, in a short period of time.
Escaping forward
After the failure of this strategy and induced by an inner turmoil, it has resulted in something that for a while creates a blurring but is in the parlance of President Isaias a "forward escape". The hopeless & mad attempt is now to fire up the active and dormant conflicts in different areas of the Horn and make the region an arena of unending warfare so as not to be competitive and always remain backward. To use issues of the two waters (the Red Sea and the Nile), access to the sea, the oromumma ideology, the weakening of the semites, the kingdom of the kushites and likewise ideas for a perpetual civil war.
The choice of the peoples
Today, the people of our region are wide awake and have learned their lesson because of past history.
Saying,
Enough with the bloodshed, peaceful engagement is our choice! We will not tear each other down, because of narrow politics!
they have strengthened their defence.
Because of this, the confusion has a time limit. Warmongers & their evil plans of destruction and the resources they spent, in the end, like the Holy Bible says will be: "you sow in vain". Passing through a temporary turmoil, the choice of the people of the Horn for peace will be the ultimate victor.