Ethiopian News, Current Affairs and Opinion Forum
Messele Zewdie Ejeta
Member
Posts: 47
Joined: 27 Dec 2016, 10:21

Orbital forcing, Saros cycle, and predictability of meteorological variability

Post by Messele Zewdie Ejeta » 22 Mar 2025, 14:19

In a recent post in this forum, I explained how I was able to realize during an eclipse event an apparent line in space between the Moon, the Earth, and sun.

That realization was the beginning. The next realization was that similar eclipse events occur every Saros cycle, which is a period of 18 years, 11 days, and 8 hours.

This realization led to the thesis that future is a human construct of a moment in space. This is because the Earth apparently goes in space from point A to point B and then back to point A. The general understanding of future has been that time goes from point A to point B and then to point C.

For interested researchers, this realization opens a fascinating new frontier of research.

Every Saros cycle, you would have similar reference lines between sun, the Earth, and the Moon.

The presumption is that due to inertia, there would be analogous orbital geometries around Saros cycle.

My preliminary research, which has led to two peer reviewed journal papers, attempts to show evident similarities in historical precipitation and natural river flow data around analogous orbital geometries.

This is the source of the thesis for the predictability of meteorological variability. This thesis also helps in attributing climate change to natural and human made causes.

For interested researchers, this thesis would require extensive historical data analysis in the years to come.

Here is a link to my related recent post:

Orbital forcing, Atmospheric River, climate science, and climate change

Here are links to the two journal papers I mentioned above:

Step toward a Deterministic Solution of the Paradoxical Hydrological Stationarity Problem

Validation of predicted meteorological drought in California using analogous orbital geometries