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Revelations
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" Tigray Threatens to Spark the Next Eritrean-Ethiopian War and Plunge the Horn of Africa into Crisis"

Post by Revelations » 16 Mar 2025, 13:39

Read this and find out who will benefit from this proposed war. Yep, there's more to this than meets the eyes!


https://www.understandingwar.org/backgr ... an-war-and

Dark Energy
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Re: " Tigray Threatens to Spark the Next Eritrean-Ethiopian War and Plunge the Horn of Africa into Crisis"

Post by Dark Energy » 16 Mar 2025, 13:51

If war breaks between TPLF and the federal government, Isayas should side with TPLF, this time around. It would be just like the old days. :lol: Who knows, FANO may join as well. :lol:

Revelations
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Re: " Tigray Threatens to Spark the Next Eritrean-Ethiopian War and Plunge the Horn of Africa into Crisis"

Post by Revelations » 16 Mar 2025, 14:44

Key Takeaway: A violent power struggle in northern Ethiopia’s Tigray region risks sparking another civil war in Ethiopia, which could, in turn, expand quickly to include Eritrea. Renewed conflict in Tigray or between Ethiopia and Eritrea would generate an economic, humanitarian, and security crisis that would have reverberations across Africa and even into Europe. External powers, such as Iran and Russia, have demonstrated interest in exploiting conflict in the region to consolidate their own influence around the Red Sea. Salafi-jihadi groups would benefit from such crises as well, given that it would produce a wall of instability across Africa, stretching from the Sahel to the Horn of Africa. A war would exacerbate the refugee crisis in the region and increase migration flows to Europe and the Gulf states.



Revelations
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Re: " Tigray Threatens to Spark the Next Eritrean-Ethiopian War and Plunge the Horn of Africa into Crisis"

Post by Revelations » 16 Mar 2025, 15:10

A war in Ethiopia would create opportunities for malignant nonstate terrorist actors by expanding the wall of instability stretching across Africa from the jihadist-afflicted Sahelian countries in West Africa to the numerous conflicts in the Horn of Africa. Sudan has been in a civil war since 2023, and rapidly escalating tensions in South Sudan have caused concerns that it could descend back into open civil war for the first time since 2018.[52] Somalia continues to be heavily fragmented between the internationally backed federal government and al Qaeda’s Somali affiliate al Shabaab in the latest chapter of its decades-long civil war.[53] The Islamic State (IS) has capitalized on Somalia’s instability to establish northern Somalia as its main leadership hub and a key financial node in its global network.[54] The Iranian-backed Yemeni Houthis have reached out to al Shabaab to support its efforts to destabilize the Red Sea.[55] Al Qaeda and IS have also encouraged their followers to capitalize on the Sudanese civil war to establish havens in Sudan and would likely do the same in Ethiopia, especially given IS’s recruitment efforts among ethnic groups in Ethiopia.[56]



Fiyameta
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Re: " Tigray Threatens to Spark the Next Eritrean-Ethiopian War and Plunge the Horn of Africa into Crisis"

Post by Fiyameta » 16 Mar 2025, 15:10

Forget war with Eritrea, it's not going to happen. The economic crisis in Ethiopia exacerbated by ongoing multi-front ethnic conflicts, is already driving tens of thousands of Ethiopians to flee their country by taking dangerous boat journeys to the Middle East. Ironically, there's only one country in the Middle East that detains, torture and deport African migrants. The U.A.E. (surprise, surprise!) :P

Revelations
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Re: " Tigray Threatens to Spark the Next Eritrean-Ethiopian War and Plunge the Horn of Africa into Crisis"

Post by Revelations » 16 Mar 2025, 17:33

International parties, such as China, Turkey, and the Gulf states, could seek to stabilize the situation due to their significant ties and investments in Eritrea and Ethiopia. China has invested billions of US dollars in Ethiopia, is Ethiopia’s top trading partner, and has a defense agreement with Ethiopia for joint training and technology transfers.[42] Turkey is the second-largest foreign investor in Ethiopia behind China, provided drones to Ethiopia during the Tigray war, and demonstrated its strong ties with the Abiy regime when it brokered a port access agreement between Ethiopia on Somalia in 2024.[43] The UAE has been a staunch supporter of Abiy since 2018, established an air bridge to support Ethiopia in the Tigray war, and has sponsored Ethiopian efforts to gain Red Sea access to secure more Emirati client ports on the Red Sea.[44] The UAE also established a military base in Eritrea at the peak of Emirati involvement in the Yemeni civil war, but has since withdrawn from Eritrea.[45] The UAE and Saudi Arabia both helped mediate the 2018 peace deal between Eritrea and Ethiopia, although the two Gulf allies have a more rivalrous relationship in 2025.[46] Russia has a strong relationship with Eritrea and even discussed securing a port on Eritrea’s Red Sea coast as recently as 2023 but engages with Ethiopia regularly in forums such as the Russia-Africa summit and BRICs.[47]

A war between Eritrea and Ethiopia—and the potential regionalization of the conflict—would further destabilize the Red Sea region, which could impose a global economic toll. Houthi attacks in the Red Sea since the start of the Israel-Hamas conflict in 2023 have raised shipping costs due to heightened insurance rates and logistic challenges posed by alternative routes around Africa.[48] These costs have yet to return to their pre-October 2023 levels, even though the Houthis have conducted no attacks since November 2024.[49] The Houthis announced in March that they would resume attacks on international shipping.[50] A regional conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea increases the risk of added disruptions in the Red Sea. European and US analysis of the shipping crisis note that Red Sea disruptions caused short-term inflation and constrained economic growth but said that the long-term impact was manageable.[51] A wider conflict in the Red Sea would alter this calculus.


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Re: " Tigray Threatens to Spark the Next Eritrean-Ethiopian War and Plunge the Horn of Africa into Crisis"

Post by Revelations » 16 Mar 2025, 21:39

one of the countries listed as having interest in the proposed war is in the news today. Link below to read the full article.


Russia Agrees to Help Landlocked Ethiopia Rebuild its Navy

https://maritime-executive.com/article/ ... d-its-navy

Revelations
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Re: " Tigray Threatens to Spark the Next Eritrean-Ethiopian War and Plunge the Horn of Africa into Crisis"

Post by Revelations » 16 Mar 2025, 23:00

Amid broader regional and international disorder, the deterioration of the political and security situation in Tigray is dry tinder waiting for a match that could ignite an interstate war between Ethiopia and Eritrea. Such a situation could create an international wildfire, exacerbating Sudan’s own civil war next door and generating further instability in the region.

Developments in the Horn of Africa have to be seen within the context of the rivalries amid the Gulf countries over control of the Red Sea. Saudi Arabia, for example, may not welcome the military presence of Ethiopia on the Red Sea coast, so long as Ethiopia is seen to be closely aligned with the United Arab Emirates.

https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/03/12/et ... r-red-sea/

ethiopianunity
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Re: " Tigray Threatens to Spark the Next Eritrean-Ethiopian War and Plunge the Horn of Africa into Crisis"

Post by ethiopianunity » 17 Mar 2025, 08:14

Revelations wrote:
16 Mar 2025, 13:39
Read this and find out who will benefit from this proposed war. Yep, there's more to this than meets the eyes!


https://www.understandingwar.org/backgr ... an-war-and


Do you know geopolitics? All leaders in the Horn are controlled by foreigners. Tplf is the one very close to foreigners and bidding their agenda. The civil war in Ethiopia or between Eritrea and Ethiopia hugely impoverish the societies the one benefiting are foreigners because they create and rely on the crisis so when nations are weakened, they take over the assets of the weak nations. Ethiopia’s asset is increasingly becoming in the hands of foreigners. Aby is a puppet.,The ethnofascists under pp and Aby, the Tplf, and Shabia from outside, facilitate this take over and control of foreigners, Ethiopia’s assets and enslavement, further creating differences, divisions, and war among Ethiopians.

Take Syria as an example, they are writing this article because they are telling you that is their own agenda in the Horn.

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Re: " Tigray Threatens to Spark the Next Eritrean-Ethiopian War and Plunge the Horn of Africa into Crisis"

Post by Fiyameta » 17 Mar 2025, 15:14

When the Neo-colonial powers put the low IQ crying agame General Tsadkan at the forefront of their propaganda, and presenting him as an "expert", that's when I started feeling sorry for the Ethiopian people who are at a greatest risk of losing their country just because some inferiority complex sufferers like Tsadkan would stop at nothing to serve their masters' agendas to the detriment of the nation. :x

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