The fronts of the upcoming Eritrea & Ethiopia war!
Posted: 17 Feb 2025, 22:24
Objectives of the war :
Eritrea :
To install a puppet government in Addis Ababa that serves the interest of Egypt , signing a water share agreement that give no water for Ethiopia except using it for Electric generation & guarantees constant flow of water even during drought. Eritrea & Egypt want also a fragmented Ethiopia under their control. Eritrea also wants to claim the fertile land of a Western Tigray .
Ethiopia: To remove Isaias and install friendly government that will give it a land to access the Red Sea either through swap of land or under certain commercial arrangement.
Who will start the war ?
Isaias will start the war and Ethiopia will be defending herself.
. I expect the Eritrea Ethiopia war to be fought in Western Tigray ( Eritrea aspires to claim it) and around Assab ( Ethiopia aspires to take it back). Isaias could also try to cut the Addis Ababa & Djibouti road & railway to suffocate Abiy by expanding the war front via Assab.
Who will win the war
Initially Eritrea will push Ethiopia but at the final phase of the war Tigray will push toward Eritrea & topple Isaias from power. Isaias will try to Saudi Arabia vis boat but will be captured alive & face justice.
Eritrea will be unstable & with out government until a stable government is established with the support of Tigray & Ethiopia. Ethiopia & Eritrea will have friendly governments that will ensure peace & prosperty for both countries.
Eritrea :
To install a puppet government in Addis Ababa that serves the interest of Egypt , signing a water share agreement that give no water for Ethiopia except using it for Electric generation & guarantees constant flow of water even during drought. Eritrea & Egypt want also a fragmented Ethiopia under their control. Eritrea also wants to claim the fertile land of a Western Tigray .
Ethiopia: To remove Isaias and install friendly government that will give it a land to access the Red Sea either through swap of land or under certain commercial arrangement.
Who will start the war ?
Isaias will start the war and Ethiopia will be defending herself.
. I expect the Eritrea Ethiopia war to be fought in Western Tigray ( Eritrea aspires to claim it) and around Assab ( Ethiopia aspires to take it back). Isaias could also try to cut the Addis Ababa & Djibouti road & railway to suffocate Abiy by expanding the war front via Assab.
Who will win the war
Initially Eritrea will push Ethiopia but at the final phase of the war Tigray will push toward Eritrea & topple Isaias from power. Isaias will try to Saudi Arabia vis boat but will be captured alive & face justice.
Eritrea will be unstable & with out government until a stable government is established with the support of Tigray & Ethiopia. Ethiopia & Eritrea will have friendly governments that will ensure peace & prosperty for both countries.