Studying the difference between climate and climate change is a complex field of research.
A methodological approach to easily understand the difference is remembering that climate has an envelope of natural variability whereas climate change introduces anomalies in this envelope.
On a long term average, natural climate variability has a tendency of stationarity. Paradoxically, long term stationarity hasn’t been a predictor of short term variability.
A peer reviewed journal paper at the following link attempts to tackle this paradox:
Step toward a Deterministic Solution of the Paradoxical Hydrological Stationarity Problem
Extreme anomalies that lead to climate crisis can be studied using real time weather phenomenon such as the heavy rainfall in Kentucky that led to a declaration of state of emergency by its Governor.
Another peer reviewed journal paper at the following link attempts to show a new frontier of research to attribute climate change to natural variability and man made climate crisis:
Validation of predicted meteorological drought in California using analogous orbital geometries
Extreme events such as the heavy rainfall in Kentucky avail interested researchers an important data point to study whether it is more likely to be natural or anomalous.
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Messele Zewdie Ejeta
- Member
- Posts: 47
- Joined: 27 Dec 2016, 10:21