Mereja.Forum

How will the Debretsion - Getachew drama be played out? Do past TPLF split scenarios help to predict what's likely to happen?


Former TPLF leader who was sacked in 1980s and later managed to study to PhD stage


ተባርረን ነው የወጣነው። በሰላም ወደ ሱዳን ወጥተናል። - ዶ/ር አረጋዊ በርሄ፣ የህወሃት መስራች እና ሊቀመንበር የነበሩ







Former TPLF deputy leader who was sacked in 1980s and later managed to study to masters level



ፈልጌ አይደለም የወጣሁት። ከTPLF አባርረው ወደ ሱዳን ሸኙኝ። - አቶ ግደይ ዘርዓጺዮን (ኢንጅነር)፣ የህወሃት ም/ሊቀ መንበር የነበሩ








ሕወሓት ያባረቻቸው መሪዋቿ አሰናብታ እስከ ሱዳን ትሸኛለች፤ ኢህአፓ ግን በግፍ ይገድላል! - የኢህኣፓ አመራር ከኤልያስ አወቀ (ናሁ ቲቪ)

Updated with a poll running for 2 days. Please vote and write down your prediction if it not listed.

Debate Between Former Deputy TPLF Leader Gidey Zeratsion and Head of Propaganda Meles Zenawi






በ 2001 ህወሓት ለሁለት ሲከፈል በነበረው ስብሰባ ላይ ጠ ሚ መለስ ዜናዊ የተናገሩት ንግግር Amharic Subtitles

Interesting result! A third think he will he will disappear quietly while the other third, including me, think he will take Deberetsion to the election board split the party. In that case we will see two TPLFs with one program because Getachew said he does not have ideological difference with Debretsion. So Tigrayans will not really get a choice of political programs as both agree on the program.

Getachew might prevail. Debretsion is the past. Debretsion and colleagues should have been encouraged to retire from politics some time ago.
I do believe Debretsion of Tigray and Lencho Leta of wellega could not be the politicians the Ethiopian new generation will look up to for political guidance.
On the other hand, Getachew if he chooses
to pay more attention to the current Ethiopia than the “Menilik Ethiopia,” he has a chance to spread his political influence beyond Tigray.
That is necessary. To tailor his politics to appease only the Adwa elites is not the way to go.
After the last war, th Adwa elites monopoly of the Tigray politics is in shaky ground.
Whether that is the impetus for Getachew to pivot or not I am not sure. Pivot he has done however is not debatable.
Unlike Debretsion Getachew has allies. The Americans like him. He studied in university of Alabama. That is a plus. His command of English is better than any TPLF politburo members. That is another plus.
Compared to Debretsion, Ethiopians of other tribes might want to give him a chance if his politics had more national bent than regional . He could do that. Debretsion he cannot. He is the victim of his political upbringing.
I say this trusting my political instincts: the politicians in Aratkilo want Getachew to win in this political contest that Eden — is it sarcasm— might possibly side with the Adwa clan.

Affable wrote: ↑

25 Aug 2024, 21:29

Getachew might prevail.

Hi Sam,


Getachew might prevail in what?

1. Leading a united TPLF? or
2. Splitting TPLF into two and leading the biggest faction of TPLF?

Which one of the above two do you mean by prevailing?

I doubt TPLF will be united. I mean one side has to win the argument. Some diehards, those who lose the argument , will have a hard time to let go their dogma. The good thing is it will not be bloody. Just a push.