Mereja.Forum

At the end of the war, Abiy made a calculated decision based on two key factors. Firstly, he acknowledged the significant weakening of the TPLF both spiritually and militarily, thereby reducing their threat to his power. Secondly, recognizing their strategic similarities, he believed they could be persuaded to assume a subservient position through concessions. At the sometime , the resolute role played by the Amharas, both within the military and through the Amhara special forces and Fanos, coupled with their political ambitions aimed at curbing Abiy's Oromouma-centric political agenda, led Abiy to perceive a looming threat that required swift action.

Prior to the war's conclusion, Abiy began addressing the perceived Fano threat, as the need for law and order to disarm Amharas. Immediately, he appointed Abraham Belay as Defense Minister to establish a secure communication channel between himself and the TPLF. Abraham's coordination efforts were transparent, as Abiy also replaced Geduu with Redwan, a close associate of the TPLF, in the National Security Adviser position. However, Abiy's strategy faltered, and within eight months, Fano achieved significant victories, greatly bolstering the region's armed forces.

Abiy's hurried actions inadvertently brought to fruition the greatest fear of both himself and the TPLF: a well-armed Amhara faction. Consequently, he resorted to playing the Welkit and Raya cards, enticing the TPLF to align with him in weakening the advancing Amhara force against his rule. Abraham Belay played a pivotal role in convincing the wounded TPLF to participate in this endeavor, although his involvement was not entirely covert. Despite potential reluctance from the TPLF, Abiy's gestures, coupled with Abraham's influence, likely swayed them toward this decision.

However, it's likely that both parties will soon grasp the gravity of their error, particularly the TPLF, as engaging in another futile war would further deplete their already scarce resources, notably the youth who would suffer casualties in the thousands. In conclusion, when the misadventures of Abiy and the TPLF collide with the determined force of the Amharas, aimed at securing their survival, they will be astonished to confront a formidable adversary capable of decimating both factions.

probably a lie.. nice propaganda tho

Gondar/Dansha and Dessie/Kombolcha are barely active in the war this means they have a deal with Abiy Ahmed