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Abiy strategies for the coming election:

Posted: 10 Mar 2024, 20:10
by Axumezana
Abiy has nothing to show to Ethiopians from last six years stay in power except war and conflict, hyperinflation, weakening of the Birr compared to hard currencies , death of more than a million people due to war and famine, displacement and suffering of millions of people, collapse of economy and joblessness , deteriorating security including rampant kidnappings.
It is clear that Abiy has already started campaigning for the next elections and he is expected to follow the following strategies to stay in power.:


Option 1- Keep the instability (in Oromia, Amhara and Tigray) so that he prolongs the election by declaring state of emergency

Option 2- Alliance with TPLF , war with Eritrea , toppling Isaias and recovering access to the sea, which will boost his popularity . Negotiate with FANO and OLA for power sharing in their respective regions in short term and guarantee free election during the upcoming election( the next election may have to be extended max two years).

The way forward:

Option 1 is too risky for the country as it could cause disintegration and Abiy will have a disgraced end. However, Option 2 shall save Ethiopia from disintegration and will bring stability/ peace and gaining a strategic access to the sea. The free election also helps the democratization process of the country .

Re: Abiy strategies for the coming election:

Posted: 10 Mar 2024, 20:47
by Educator
Poor analysis.
There cannot be an election when three of the biggest electorate are not going to conduct election under any circumstance. Tigray has become a sovereign state; Amhara at worst is already a sovereign state. at best it will topple Mamo Killo and his demonic PP OPDO. Oromia will never be peaceful enough to conduct any form of election, and it is already out of his control. Even Shimeles is not free to go to Adama or Ambo. Ogaden is in wait-and-see game. They will tell him to fuckkk off if he ever tries to hold his sham election.
And most of all, Mamo Killo is happy and comfortable sharing Mayorship with Adanu for now. That is until Fano drag him on the streets of Addis Ababa just like Gadaffi was in Tripoli. I can't wait to see that.

The other option you stated about running over Eritrea by aligning himself with TPLF is a dead plan and wish. Thanks to Fano it is no more possible to wage war on Eritrea from Arat Killo. If Woyane wants to do it, it has to face shabia alone which I think is an uphill battle for Woyane. It won't be able to recruit enough youths from within Tigray. It may buy mercenaries with the stolen money stashed in Aboy Sinhat's coffers, but there is no guarantee Aboy Sibhat will be willing to jeopardize the existence of Eritrea or give away the looted wealth that can be passed to his children. He is so greedy.
So for now the only option for you is to [deleted] your wounds and hope your Tigray recuperate from the devastating war that just ended.
Axumezana wrote:
10 Mar 2024, 20:10
Abiy has nothing to show to Ethiopians from last six years stay in power except war and conflict, hyperinflation, weakening of the Birr compared to hard currencies , death of more than a million people due to war and famine, displacement and suffering of millions of people, collapse of economy and joblessness , deteriorating security including rampant kidnappings.
It is clear that Abiy has already started campaigning for the next elections and he is expected to follow the following strategies to stay in power.:


Option 1- Keep the instability (in Oromia, Amhara and Tigray) so that he prolongs the election by declaring state of emergency

Option 2- Alliance with TPLF , war with Eritrea , toppling Isaias and recovering access to the sea, which will boost his popularity . Negotiate with FANO and OLA for power sharing in their respective regions in short term and guarantee free election during the upcoming election( the next election may have to be extended max two years).

The way forward:

Option 1 is too risky for the country as it could cause disintegration and Abiy will have a disgraced end. However, Option 2 shall save Ethiopia from disintegration and will bring stability/ peace and gaining a strategic access to the sea. The free election also helps the democratization process of the country .

Re: Abiy strategies for the coming election:

Posted: 10 Mar 2024, 21:25
by Axumezana
Ascari Educator,

If I understand you correctly you are salivating for the defeat of Abiy and then TPLF using the combined forces of FANO & Isaias. If that is your wish you have to compare it with option 2 and you will see who will be the winner. Let me tell you what you do not want to hear , Abiy and TPLF shall bury your master and Eritrea will be with out government until a Tigray/ Ethiopia friendly government is established in Eritrea or Eritrea as part of Tigray is absorbed to Ethiopia.

Re: Abiy strategies for the coming election:

Posted: 10 Mar 2024, 21:58
by Educator
Wrong again.
I only want peace and stability not only in my beloved Ethiopia but in the entire continent of Africa. I'm sick and tired of hearing news of death, starvation, famine, and economic collapse and poverty. War should only be the last option only when neccessary like in the case of Fano trying to remove Satan Mamo Killo. I am a Christian and believe we should fight on God's behalf to defeat satan. Other than that no war should be fought for reason of territorial expansion, revenge, or looting wealth. I am against war with Eritrea to steal ports. I am against war with Eritrea so Woyanes revenge their suffering in the just ended invasion of Tigray by Shabia. Revenge is for God to avenge.

I am against war with Woyanes since they are out of my life and it is the Tigray's people choice what to do with Woyanes. They are out of Ethiopia for all practical matter.

I only support Fano in its fight against satan Mamo Killo because it is Godly cause and also it will cut short the suffering and killing of ethiopian civilians by satan Mamo and his demonic PP OPDO. Lucifer must be brought to justice.

You should stop sleeping with satan to get some benefits as well, unless of course you are his disciple too( it is my opinion you're).
Axumezana wrote:
10 Mar 2024, 21:25
Ascari Educator,

If I understand you correctly you are salivating for the defeat of Abiy and then TPLF using the combined forces of FANO & Isaias. If that is your wish you have to compare it with option 2 and you will see who will be the winner. Let me tell you what you do not want to hear , Abiy and TPLF shall bury your master and Eritrea will be with out government until a Tigray/ Ethiopia friendly government is established in Eritrea or Eritrea as part of Tigray is absorbed to Ethiopia.

Re: Abiy strategies for the coming election:

Posted: 10 Mar 2024, 22:05
by Axumezana
Ascari boy ,

If you are for peace you should call for reconcilation of OLA and FANO with Abiy. There is no Satan and angel in politics or war.
I understand you are afraid of ENDF & TDF alliance because that will radically change the power balance against FANO and your master Isaias.

Re: Abiy strategies for the coming election:

Posted: 10 Mar 2024, 22:13
by Educator
I am not afraid of TDF because it has no cause to come out of Tigray.

And as for ENDF, it is just a sprinter. When one bullet is fired, you find it in Sheno. I think it is a curse to be ENDF cause when the same Ethiopians sign up for it they either become dead, POW, or sprinters.

As for reconciliation of Fano and OLA. yes, I like to see alliance of these two powers. But satan Mamo Killo is out of question. He is satan, no negotiations with satan. period.

Oh. btw, I strongly belive that OLA never killed Amharas in Oromia. It is the PP demons that have been killing and terrorizing Amharas and blaming it on OLA.

Re: Abiy strategies for the coming election:

Posted: 10 Mar 2024, 22:42
by Axumezana
Ascari boy,

I was able to dissect who you are and how your analysis is too shallow or trying to ignore major facts. If TPLF and PP agree for power sharing and strategic alliance that will be a major game changing development in the Horn of Africa. Either you are intentionally trying to ignore it or you are too shallow in your analysis. Actually if you are truly for Ethiopia you should have recommended for this alliance followed by peaceful reconcilation with FANO and OLA with the PP/ TPLF allied group.

Re: Abiy strategies for the coming election:

Posted: 11 Mar 2024, 12:56
by Educator
Why would anyone agree to share power with TPLF? TPLF is not only dead but also buried deep down under ground. It has nothing to offer to anyone beyond its border. It will have no legitimacy or a reason outside of Tigray. That is why I said it has no cause to live beyond Tigray's border. TPLF made two strategic mistakes in the last 6 years, first it gave up all the tanks and banks to retreat to Mekele. Second, it got tricked by Mamo Killo and returned from Debrebirhan back to its base Tigray. Now it has no issue to complain about. It's gotten its own sovereign state like somaliland. It can only ask for road access to bring staff in and out of Djibouti, Port Sudan or Massawa. And no one will deny it road access so it can't even mobilize to fight anyone any more.
So for satan Mamo Killo, the best strategy regarding TPLF is to just ignore them and give them electricity and telecom. They have no use for him. But then again his days are numbered as the mayor of Addis Ababa.

Axumezana wrote:
10 Mar 2024, 22:42
Ascari boy,

I was able to dissect who you are and how your analysis is too shallow or trying to ignore major facts. If TPLF and PP agree for power sharing and strategic alliance that will be a major game changing development in the Horn of Africa. Either you are intentionally trying to ignore it or you are too shallow in your analysis. Actually if you are truly for Ethiopia you should have recommended for this alliance followed by peaceful reconcilation with FANO and OLA with the PP/ TPLF allied group.

Re: Abiy strategies for the coming election:

Posted: 11 Mar 2024, 16:19
by Axumezana
If TPLF dead why you rant about it 24/7 here!