Can Issaias win his last war?
Posted: 25 Oct 2023, 14:01
This war is a repeat of history after 500 years. (Read below)
So far by hook or by crook, Issaias Afeworki has won most of his wars, be it domestic or regional. For evidence, one only needs to dig the grounds in Eritrea and many nations around Eritrea, be it Yemen, Sudan, Djibouti, Ethiopia or Tigray.
Right now in his old age, Issaias is facing his last and decisive war that will define his exit from his long march and journey in politics.
According to the rules of mathematical probability, the likely of Issaias Afeworki winning his last war against Abiy Amed and the Oromoma dominated army is very low. However, Issaias is known for using low possibilities to his own advantage.
Given and assuming many conditions, How can Issaias win this war?
Issaias may win this war, only if he can get the Tigrayan and the Amhara forces to come together, and take the war to Shewa region: Debreberhan, Shewa Robbit ... Yes, If Issaias can send some of his forces and throw all his lot with the Amharas, then the war will be over in few weeks. After that, Issaias, the Amharas and Tigrayans and the rest of Ethiopia have to create a new confederation in Ethiopia, with new rules, otherwise, we will be back where we are after few years.
This war is a repeat of history in Abyssinia. The current situation and the wars raging in the Amhara region and the rest of Ethiopia, such as the Guragie region, Agaw region, Tigray region, Somali and Weleyata regions and now coming to the old Bahre Negasi Eritrea, with the Oromo forces at the center, is a reflection of the Gala invasion in 1530s, right after the destruction and devastation by the Ahmed Gragn wars and his defeat.
This war should be defined as the Oromo Invasion 2.0 because the Oromos are are fighting to change everything, reassert themselves and to rewrite every history and define everything in their own image. To understand this better read Abba Bahrey's book on the The Gala Invasion, as translated by the late Getachew Haile from Geeze.
We are simply revisiting Abba Bahrey's: the Gala Invasion
Put your comments below.
So far by hook or by crook, Issaias Afeworki has won most of his wars, be it domestic or regional. For evidence, one only needs to dig the grounds in Eritrea and many nations around Eritrea, be it Yemen, Sudan, Djibouti, Ethiopia or Tigray.
Right now in his old age, Issaias is facing his last and decisive war that will define his exit from his long march and journey in politics.
According to the rules of mathematical probability, the likely of Issaias Afeworki winning his last war against Abiy Amed and the Oromoma dominated army is very low. However, Issaias is known for using low possibilities to his own advantage.
Given and assuming many conditions, How can Issaias win this war?
Issaias may win this war, only if he can get the Tigrayan and the Amhara forces to come together, and take the war to Shewa region: Debreberhan, Shewa Robbit ... Yes, If Issaias can send some of his forces and throw all his lot with the Amharas, then the war will be over in few weeks. After that, Issaias, the Amharas and Tigrayans and the rest of Ethiopia have to create a new confederation in Ethiopia, with new rules, otherwise, we will be back where we are after few years.
This war is a repeat of history in Abyssinia. The current situation and the wars raging in the Amhara region and the rest of Ethiopia, such as the Guragie region, Agaw region, Tigray region, Somali and Weleyata regions and now coming to the old Bahre Negasi Eritrea, with the Oromo forces at the center, is a reflection of the Gala invasion in 1530s, right after the destruction and devastation by the Ahmed Gragn wars and his defeat.
This war should be defined as the Oromo Invasion 2.0 because the Oromos are are fighting to change everything, reassert themselves and to rewrite every history and define everything in their own image. To understand this better read Abba Bahrey's book on the The Gala Invasion, as translated by the late Getachew Haile from Geeze.
We are simply revisiting Abba Bahrey's: the Gala Invasion
Put your comments below.
