የቱለማ ኦሮሞ ቅርቃር መግባት - Regional dynamics and stand off
Posted: 24 Aug 2023, 13:47
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Here is what the analysts in my research department came up on the political dynamics of Ethiopia and the region at large.
The folks on power are the Tulama Oromo. Tulama Oromo are oromos in Shewa. These group are not seen as authentic Oromo by the Wellega Oromo (the power house of Oromo politics such as OLF). The power struggle of these two Tulama Oromo (Shoa) and Wellega Oromo (mecca) dates back as far as to the Menilik time and beyond.
The difference
Tulama Oromo is clever but coward when it comes to military. The likes of Andargachew Tsige, Neamin Zeleke, Mengistu Hailemariam, Shimeles Abidissa etc are Tulama Oromo. The current government's rank and file is filled mainly by Tulama Oromo. Also the Mengistu Hailemariams Derg government is also majority Tulama Oromo ( Mengistu himself, Tesfaye Dinka, Teka Tulu, Fekresilassie wegderes...etc)
Mecca Oromos (Wellega) are those like the intellectual Haile Fida, Lemma Megerssa, Dawd Ibssa, Jaal Merro...etc. they are genuine and unafraid to put their political agenda on the open and discuss or push for it while the Tulama is a clever, street smart and mischevious culture
Tulama oromo is coward and it is the habit of cowards to kill in mass, cause terror to rule. The Red terror is the first experiment of Tulama Oromos on EPRP youth in which they killed 50k urban EPRP youth groups. Tulama Oromo leader Mengistu chose not to resolve the Eritrean Quest for Federation, confederation or Separation through dialoge. It chose to use all the resource of the country in the Name of Ethiopia. It fought many other insurgencies and succombed the minute soviet union stopped supplying weapon
Tulama Oromo learnt the Shoa Amhara politics later and managed to create alliance with different groups in 2018 and managed to overthrow TPLF with ANDM. but the clever Tulama threw out ANDM from power and continue its reign of terror through brut force. This time even innocent children were not spared. The Tulama Oromo managed to create its own OLF-Shene wing and massacred many Amharas in Arsi, Wellega and Benishangul and blamed it on OLA (Mecca Oromo). Jaal Fekede of Meccha shene is supported, armed and directed directly from Shemelis Abdissa.
The Tulama Oromo is now in a difficult situation. It is fighting with Fano Amhara and unable to defeate it. Instead, Fano is getting stronger and stronger. To neutralize Fano, it chose the Tigray-TPLF and that put it in a direct collision with Eritrea. As of now, the Tulama Oromo is playing street smart on both Tigray and Eritrea trying to appease both but it looks like Tulama oromo can only chose one. If it chose TPLF, it will regionalize the conflict and Eritrea can jump into the war putting Fano much more stronger. If tulama chose Eritrea, Tigray will continue to conspire in UN, U.S and EU to implicate Tulama into international tribunal. Tulama Oromo made countless TDF fighters one legged and most of those perished in Tigray is through heavy weapon, drone and landmine strikes which implicate the Tulama generals and leaders. As of now, they are blaming Fano who wasn't managing the drones, heavy weapons and landmines
Tulama Oromo is now at odds with the west when it tries to play clever with both BRICS and Western world. Time is catching up on Tulama Oromo
.
.
Here is what the analysts in my research department came up on the political dynamics of Ethiopia and the region at large.
The folks on power are the Tulama Oromo. Tulama Oromo are oromos in Shewa. These group are not seen as authentic Oromo by the Wellega Oromo (the power house of Oromo politics such as OLF). The power struggle of these two Tulama Oromo (Shoa) and Wellega Oromo (mecca) dates back as far as to the Menilik time and beyond.
The difference
Tulama Oromo is clever but coward when it comes to military. The likes of Andargachew Tsige, Neamin Zeleke, Mengistu Hailemariam, Shimeles Abidissa etc are Tulama Oromo. The current government's rank and file is filled mainly by Tulama Oromo. Also the Mengistu Hailemariams Derg government is also majority Tulama Oromo ( Mengistu himself, Tesfaye Dinka, Teka Tulu, Fekresilassie wegderes...etc)
Mecca Oromos (Wellega) are those like the intellectual Haile Fida, Lemma Megerssa, Dawd Ibssa, Jaal Merro...etc. they are genuine and unafraid to put their political agenda on the open and discuss or push for it while the Tulama is a clever, street smart and mischevious culture
Tulama oromo is coward and it is the habit of cowards to kill in mass, cause terror to rule. The Red terror is the first experiment of Tulama Oromos on EPRP youth in which they killed 50k urban EPRP youth groups. Tulama Oromo leader Mengistu chose not to resolve the Eritrean Quest for Federation, confederation or Separation through dialoge. It chose to use all the resource of the country in the Name of Ethiopia. It fought many other insurgencies and succombed the minute soviet union stopped supplying weapon
Tulama Oromo learnt the Shoa Amhara politics later and managed to create alliance with different groups in 2018 and managed to overthrow TPLF with ANDM. but the clever Tulama threw out ANDM from power and continue its reign of terror through brut force. This time even innocent children were not spared. The Tulama Oromo managed to create its own OLF-Shene wing and massacred many Amharas in Arsi, Wellega and Benishangul and blamed it on OLA (Mecca Oromo). Jaal Fekede of Meccha shene is supported, armed and directed directly from Shemelis Abdissa.
The Tulama Oromo is now in a difficult situation. It is fighting with Fano Amhara and unable to defeate it. Instead, Fano is getting stronger and stronger. To neutralize Fano, it chose the Tigray-TPLF and that put it in a direct collision with Eritrea. As of now, the Tulama Oromo is playing street smart on both Tigray and Eritrea trying to appease both but it looks like Tulama oromo can only chose one. If it chose TPLF, it will regionalize the conflict and Eritrea can jump into the war putting Fano much more stronger. If tulama chose Eritrea, Tigray will continue to conspire in UN, U.S and EU to implicate Tulama into international tribunal. Tulama Oromo made countless TDF fighters one legged and most of those perished in Tigray is through heavy weapon, drone and landmine strikes which implicate the Tulama generals and leaders. As of now, they are blaming Fano who wasn't managing the drones, heavy weapons and landmines
Tulama Oromo is now at odds with the west when it tries to play clever with both BRICS and Western world. Time is catching up on Tulama Oromo