The 1st move to remove Abiy from power has been aborted , what is next Isaias's move?
Following to the Preitoria Agreement both Isaias and Amhara exterimists were furious on Abiy and they have been conspiring to kill Abiy and the leaders of TPLF . They have been also planning to attack both the Ethiopian and the TDF army.
During the recent FANO's surprise attack, where civilians were used illegally as a shield for quick win, FANO ate more than it can chew and it could not face the counter attack from Abiy's forces ,even for a single day and it has been retreating quickly.
What is the next move of Isaias ?
Isaias has been historically a strategic thinker and achieving his goals over long years of struggle ( eg his 30 years struggle to free Eriteria and 20 years struggle to remove TPLF from Arat Killo) , however, in this case he knows he does not have time and is still is going to aim for another bloody rebellion ( the blood of Amharas) that will bring "quick win" to once again try to remove Abiy.
Isaias has been serving mainly two masters over the last decades while sabotaging the peace and stability of Ethiopia : Master # 1 has been Egypt and Master #2 is himself . Both masters want to see Ethiopia weak, destabilized and if possible disintegrated. Egypt's goal is to disrupt Ethiopia from finishing the GERD, to force Ethiopia to sign a "Zero Sum water Share Agreement" , not to use it's water resources and under mine Ethiopia so that it will not emerge as a rival geopolitical and economic power in the Horn Africa. For Master #2( Isaias ) his goals are to establish a puppet government( eliminating TPLF is toward that goal ) so that it controls acess to the market and resources of Ethiopia and to emerge as geopolitical and economic power of the Horn Africa, leveraging on his control of Ethiopia. The Arabs also see Ethiopia and the Eastern Africa as their backyard and they support Isaias destabilization activities with the objective of installing Arab friendly government in Ethiopia. In the Post-EPRDF Ethiopia over the last five years, Isaias was given full Acess to the Ethiopia security and economic sectors in the name of boosting the capability of Abiy's security
system and later his support to eliminate TPLF from the face of the earth. The master brain and the owner of the war with TPLF was Isaias, but Abiy was used by Isaias to eliminate TPLF using Ethiopian resources ( both human, military hardware and economic resources) , in Addition Isaias was paid for his own war and was considered " ትልቅ፥ የኢትዮጵያ፥ ባለውለታ" for looting & dismantling Ethiopian heavy military hard ware & commiting genocide in Tigray. Following the Preitoria Agreement Isaias ordered all of his Amhara dominated medias that were blindly supporting Abiy during the Tigray war to work against Abiy and all of them repositioned them selves to comply with Isaias directive. On the ground Isaias worked to train, arm and organize FANO and the result is the recent violent revolt in the Amhara state aiming for quick removal of Abiy . With the recent " quick win " plan aborted , Isaias will try to organize a bigger armed violence and rebellion right at the heart of Addis Ababa in parallel to similar rebellion at the major cities of Amhara. In the mean time the gorilla fighting against the Ethiopian army will contuinue and he will make sure that FANO will not make any peaceful deal with Ethiopia. For Egypt the ongoing instability and pressure on Abiy is very important since it will enable them to force Abiy to sign " a zero - sum water share agreement" that was recently planned to be completed with 4 months. Isaias also plans to reinvade Tigray incase the Tigray government regain its occupied territories in Western Tigray .
As a summary , the key to solve what is going on in Amhara state is not in the hand of Amhara FANO leaders but with Isaias.
The way forward:
(1) In cooperation & coordination with the Eritrean government opposition in diaspora, Western powers , Israel and TPLF regime change has to be effected in Eritrea.
( 2) Win-win commercial, technical, security agreement with Egypt on the water share agreement and securing it's support Ethiopia's stability and to secure acess to the Red Sea.
( 3) Coordinated military arrangement with TPLF to defend Isaias provocation
(4) Contuinue political discussion with both FANO and OLA to bring stability and Peace in Ethiopia
(5) Widen the political space so that all competitive parties to have level playing field for the next election.
During the recent FANO's surprise attack, where civilians were used illegally as a shield for quick win, FANO ate more than it can chew and it could not face the counter attack from Abiy's forces ,even for a single day and it has been retreating quickly.
What is the next move of Isaias ?
Isaias has been historically a strategic thinker and achieving his goals over long years of struggle ( eg his 30 years struggle to free Eriteria and 20 years struggle to remove TPLF from Arat Killo) , however, in this case he knows he does not have time and is still is going to aim for another bloody rebellion ( the blood of Amharas) that will bring "quick win" to once again try to remove Abiy.
Isaias has been serving mainly two masters over the last decades while sabotaging the peace and stability of Ethiopia : Master # 1 has been Egypt and Master #2 is himself . Both masters want to see Ethiopia weak, destabilized and if possible disintegrated. Egypt's goal is to disrupt Ethiopia from finishing the GERD, to force Ethiopia to sign a "Zero Sum water Share Agreement" , not to use it's water resources and under mine Ethiopia so that it will not emerge as a rival geopolitical and economic power in the Horn Africa. For Master #2( Isaias ) his goals are to establish a puppet government( eliminating TPLF is toward that goal ) so that it controls acess to the market and resources of Ethiopia and to emerge as geopolitical and economic power of the Horn Africa, leveraging on his control of Ethiopia. The Arabs also see Ethiopia and the Eastern Africa as their backyard and they support Isaias destabilization activities with the objective of installing Arab friendly government in Ethiopia. In the Post-EPRDF Ethiopia over the last five years, Isaias was given full Acess to the Ethiopia security and economic sectors in the name of boosting the capability of Abiy's security
system and later his support to eliminate TPLF from the face of the earth. The master brain and the owner of the war with TPLF was Isaias, but Abiy was used by Isaias to eliminate TPLF using Ethiopian resources ( both human, military hardware and economic resources) , in Addition Isaias was paid for his own war and was considered " ትልቅ፥ የኢትዮጵያ፥ ባለውለታ" for looting & dismantling Ethiopian heavy military hard ware & commiting genocide in Tigray. Following the Preitoria Agreement Isaias ordered all of his Amhara dominated medias that were blindly supporting Abiy during the Tigray war to work against Abiy and all of them repositioned them selves to comply with Isaias directive. On the ground Isaias worked to train, arm and organize FANO and the result is the recent violent revolt in the Amhara state aiming for quick removal of Abiy . With the recent " quick win " plan aborted , Isaias will try to organize a bigger armed violence and rebellion right at the heart of Addis Ababa in parallel to similar rebellion at the major cities of Amhara. In the mean time the gorilla fighting against the Ethiopian army will contuinue and he will make sure that FANO will not make any peaceful deal with Ethiopia. For Egypt the ongoing instability and pressure on Abiy is very important since it will enable them to force Abiy to sign " a zero - sum water share agreement" that was recently planned to be completed with 4 months. Isaias also plans to reinvade Tigray incase the Tigray government regain its occupied territories in Western Tigray .
As a summary , the key to solve what is going on in Amhara state is not in the hand of Amhara FANO leaders but with Isaias.
The way forward:
(1) In cooperation & coordination with the Eritrean government opposition in diaspora, Western powers , Israel and TPLF regime change has to be effected in Eritrea.
( 2) Win-win commercial, technical, security agreement with Egypt on the water share agreement and securing it's support Ethiopia's stability and to secure acess to the Red Sea.
( 3) Coordinated military arrangement with TPLF to defend Isaias provocation
(4) Contuinue political discussion with both FANO and OLA to bring stability and Peace in Ethiopia
(5) Widen the political space so that all competitive parties to have level playing field for the next election.
Re: The 1st move to remove Abiy from power has been aborted , what is next Isaias's move?
Read it as “Surrender Agreement “
Agame boy
Agreements get signed between two equal forces because their is stall on their advances in the war front, thus, the sign agreement as “face saving” to get out of their sticky and none winnable situation. On your Weyane case, your fighters were completely decimated, every inch of your land was occupied by your enemies and the only city that was not occupied, Mekele, was surrounded by all four directions and your coward Weyane leaders already left the city wearing women dresses knowing the fall of the city was imminent. It was only then your hundlers decided to safe their loyal slaves before they were made history. America threatened Abiy to take him out of his power (the power he loves the most) deny the Ethiopian Airlines from flying to the US, hold the pending loans, threatening to bring him to ICC and etc if he doesn’t sign the paper that they wrote. He had no choice but to sign it. By doing so, he save his power and the US slave also save their lives.
Re: The 1st move to remove Abiy from power has been aborted , what is next Isaias's move?
Axumezana is just salivating about Welqait-Humera and Raya Korem-Alamata. But there is ZERO chance for Axumezana’s feet to touch the soils of these territories. For the heck of it, he is trying his luck - a shot in the dark, while truly knowing Abiy Ahmed's ENDF is the weakest on the planet. Only crazy person with the poorest military standing tries to invade or be an aggressor to taste a bitter defeat. It is also irrelevant to talk about TPLF or tdf because they are irrelevant or reduced to nothingness. Tdf is no longer a variable in the equation.
Re: The 1st move to remove Abiy from power has been aborted , what is next Isaias's move?
Abere you are in the imaginary world . How can you discount ENDF and TDF by multiplying by "zero". That is too dangerous assumption even if it is for propaganda purpose.ሆያሄዬ፤
https://mereja.com/forum/viewtopic.php? ... 8#p1411345
https://mereja.com/forum/viewtopic.php? ... 8#p1411345
Re: The 1st move to remove Abiy from power has been aborted , what is next Isaias's move?
Ascari Euro,
You are dreaming !
The axis of evil failed to conquer Adigrat , after 10 days intensive war and you are talking about Mekelle. How many of your aged and half starved soldiers were killed and taken prisoners of war coming via Afar to enter Mekelle? Even if Mekelle was fallen Kolla Temben based gorella fighting was the way out. The Tigray war was a quagmire for Abiy and Isaias and Abiy did not have any option but to the sign the peace deal! Isaias prematurely claimed victory and was shouting "game-over" until he later discovered that TDF army is intact and fatal for him. Now Isaias is breathing his last days!
You are dreaming !
The axis of evil failed to conquer Adigrat , after 10 days intensive war and you are talking about Mekelle. How many of your aged and half starved soldiers were killed and taken prisoners of war coming via Afar to enter Mekelle? Even if Mekelle was fallen Kolla Temben based gorella fighting was the way out. The Tigray war was a quagmire for Abiy and Isaias and Abiy did not have any option but to the sign the peace deal! Isaias prematurely claimed victory and was shouting "game-over" until he later discovered that TDF army is intact and fatal for him. Now Isaias is breathing his last days!
Re: The 1st move to remove Abiy from power has been aborted , what is next Isaias's move?
Axumezana wrote: ↑10 Aug 2023, 11:17Following to the Preitoria Agreement both Isaias and Amhara exterimists were furious on Abiy and they have been conspiring to kill Abiy and the leaders of TPLF . They have been also planning to attack both the Ethiopian and the TDF army.
During the recent FANO's surprise attack, where civilians were used illegally as a shield for quick win, FANO ate more than it can chew and it could not face the counter attack from Abiy's forces ,even for a single day and it has been retreating quickly.
What is the next move of Isaias ?
Isaias has been historically a strategic thinker and achieving his goals over long years of struggle ( eg his 30 years struggle to free Eriteria and 20 years struggle to remove TPLF from Arat Killo) , however, in this case he knows he does not have time and is still is going to aim for another bloody rebellion ( the blood of Amharas) that will bring "quick win" to once again try to remove Abiy.
Isaias has been serving mainly two masters over the last decades while sabotaging the peace and stability of Ethiopia : Master # 1 has been Egypt and Master #2 is himself . Both masters want to see Ethiopia weak, destabilized and if possible disintegrated. Egypt's goal is to disrupt Ethiopia from finishing the GERD, to force Ethiopia to sign a "Zero Sum water Share Agreement" , not to use it's water resources and under mine Ethiopia so that it will not emerge as a rival geopolitical and economic power in the Horn Africa. For Master #2( Isaias ) his goals are to establish a puppet government( eliminating TPLF is toward that goal ) so that it controls acess to the market and resources of Ethiopia and to emerge as geopolitical and economic power of the Horn Africa, leveraging on his control of Ethiopia. The Arabs also see Ethiopia and the Eastern Africa as their backyard and they support Isaias destabilization activities with the objective of installing Arab friendly government in Ethiopia. In the Post-EPRDF Ethiopia over the last five years, Isaias was given full Acess to the Ethiopia security and economic sectors in the name of boosting the capability of Abiy's security
system and later his support to eliminate TPLF from the face of the earth. The master brain and the owner of the war with TPLF was Isaias, but Abiy was used by Isaias to eliminate TPLF using Ethiopian resources ( both human, military hardware and economic resources) , in Addition Isaias was paid for his own war and was considered " ትልቅ፥ የኢትዮጵያ፥ ባለውለታ" for looting & dismantling Ethiopian heavy military hard ware & commiting genocide in Tigray. Following the Preitoria Agreement Isaias ordered all of his Amhara dominated medias that were blindly supporting Abiy during the Tigray war to work against Abiy and all of them repositioned them selves to comply with Isaias directive. On the ground Isaias worked to train, arm and organize FANO and the result is the recent violent revolt in the Amhara state aiming for quick removal of Abiy . With the recent " quick win " plan aborted , Isaias will try to organize a bigger armed violence and rebellion right at the heart of Addis Ababa in parallel to similar rebellion at the major cities of Amhara. In the mean time the gorilla fighting against the Ethiopian army will contuinue and he will make sure that FANO will not make any peaceful deal with Ethiopia. For Egypt the ongoing instability and pressure on Abiy is very important since it will enable them to force Abiy to sign " a zero - sum water share agreement" that was recently planned to be completed with 4 months. Isaias also plans to reinvade Tigray incase the Tigray government regain its occupied territories in Western Tigray .
As a summary , the key to solve what is going on in Amhara state is not in the hand of Amhara FANO leaders but with Isaias.
The way forward:
(1) In cooperation & coordination with the Eritrean government opposition in diaspora, Western powers , Israel and TPLF regime change has to be effected in Eritrea.
( 2) Win-win commercial, technical, security agreement with Egypt on the water share agreement and securing it's support Ethiopia's stability and to secure acess to the Red Sea.
( 3) Coordinated military arrangement with TPLF to defend Isaias provocation
(4) Contuinue political discussion with both FANO and OLA to bring stability and Peace in Ethiopia
(5) Widen the political space so that all competitive parties to have level playing field for the next election.
Re: The 1st move to remove Abiy from power has been aborted , what is next Isaias's move?
Agame boy
There were zero “silver lining” on your complete defeat, Zilch!
Adi Grat was the last town Shaebia left. In fact, it was the same town where the majority of the gallant Shaebia soldiers gathered for a few weeks from across the eastern front before the left Chigray in Victoria. Many the Adi Grat residents were posting when the Shaebia soldiers were leaving through their town also.
Weyane is a scam; they know the people they lead are low IQ like you are. If Weyane tells you they captured Asmara while they are running away to hide to Qola Temben, their people go wild with the fake news. Once the news was exposed, their people never get upset or ask why they were lied to…they just move on. Remember Weyane announced on their media that Challa Debele is capture? They said that while they were abandoning Mekele and were in a rush to hide in Qola Temben. Did you or your low IQ people ever got upset because Weyane lied to them? Never. Now, when they tell you another lie that they defended Adi Grat from Shaebia, except for Adi Grat residents, other low IQ Agames have probably bought the fake story. No one ask for a proof or anything else.
In short , there was not one single town was defended by the weak Weyane let alone from Shaebia, even from the ill trained ENDF.
There were zero “silver lining” on your complete defeat, Zilch!
Adi Grat was the last town Shaebia left. In fact, it was the same town where the majority of the gallant Shaebia soldiers gathered for a few weeks from across the eastern front before the left Chigray in Victoria. Many the Adi Grat residents were posting when the Shaebia soldiers were leaving through their town also.
Weyane is a scam; they know the people they lead are low IQ like you are. If Weyane tells you they captured Asmara while they are running away to hide to Qola Temben, their people go wild with the fake news. Once the news was exposed, their people never get upset or ask why they were lied to…they just move on. Remember Weyane announced on their media that Challa Debele is capture? They said that while they were abandoning Mekele and were in a rush to hide in Qola Temben. Did you or your low IQ people ever got upset because Weyane lied to them? Never. Now, when they tell you another lie that they defended Adi Grat from Shaebia, except for Adi Grat residents, other low IQ Agames have probably bought the fake story. No one ask for a proof or anything else.
In short , there was not one single town was defended by the weak Weyane let alone from Shaebia, even from the ill trained ENDF.
Axumezana wrote: ↑10 Aug 2023, 14:40Ascari Euro,
You are dreaming !
The axis of evil failed to conquer Adigrat , after 10 days intensive war and you are talking about Mekelle. How many of your aged and half starved soldiers were killed and taken prisoners of war coming via Afar to enter Mekelle? Even if Mekelle was fallen Kolla Temben based gorella fighting was the way out. The Tigray war was a quagmire for Abiy and Isaias and Abiy did not have any option but to the sign the peace deal! Isaias prematurely claimed victory and was shouting "game-over" until he later discovered that TDF army is intact and fatal for him. Now Isaias is breathing his last days!
Re: The 1st move to remove Abiy from power has been aborted , what is next Isaias's move?
Ascari Euro you feed yourself with your lies! Any way Isaias is going very soon and get ready for his funeral.
Re: The 1st move to remove Abiy from power has been aborted , what is next Isaias's move?
Agame boy
You, Meles slave, Ayte Seyum and co. had been saying that for 22 years and now see where they at
Remember also
አጎትህ አቦይ ሽንቱ በሱሪው ነጋ aka የችግራይ ማንዴላ ን በገመድ ጎቱቶ ከገደል አንጠልጥሎ ያወጣው ኢሣያስ መሆኑን አትርሳ።
You, Meles slave, Ayte Seyum and co. had been saying that for 22 years and now see where they at
Remember also
አጎትህ አቦይ ሽንቱ በሱሪው ነጋ aka የችግራይ ማንዴላ ን በገመድ ጎቱቶ ከገደል አንጠልጥሎ ያወጣው ኢሣያስ መሆኑን አትርሳ።
Re: The 1st move to remove Abiy from power has been aborted , what is next Isaias's move?
Agame boy
You, Meles slave, Ayte Seyum and co. had been saying that for 22 years and now see where they at
Remember also
አጎትህ አቦይ ሽንቱ በሱሪው ነጋ aka የችግራይ ማንዴላ ን በገመድ ጎቱቶ ከገደል አንጠልጥሎ ያወጣው ኢሣያስ መሆኑን አትርሳ።
You, Meles slave, Ayte Seyum and co. had been saying that for 22 years and now see where they at
Remember also
አጎትህ አቦይ ሽንቱ በሱሪው ነጋ aka የችግራይ ማንዴላ ን በገመድ ጎቱቶ ከገደል አንጠልጥሎ ያወጣው ኢሣያስ መሆኑን አትርሳ።
Re: The 1st move to remove Abiy from power has been aborted , what is next Isaias's move?
Axumezana wrote: ↑10 Aug 2023, 11:17Following to the Preitoria Agreement both Isaias and Amhara exterimists were furious on Abiy and they have been conspiring to kill Abiy and the leaders of TPLF . They have been also planning to attack both the Ethiopian and the TDF army.
During the recent FANO's surprise attack, where civilians were used illegally as a shield for quick win, FANO ate more than it can chew and it could not face the counter attack from Abiy's forces ,even for a single day and it has been retreating quickly.
What is the next move of Isaias ?
Isaias has been historically a strategic thinker and achieving his goals over long years of struggle ( eg his 30 years struggle to free Eriteria and 20 years struggle to remove TPLF from Arat Killo) , however, in this case he knows he does not have time and is still is going to aim for another bloody rebellion ( the blood of Amharas) that will bring "quick win" to once again try to remove Abiy.
Isaias has been serving mainly two masters over the last decades while sabotaging the peace and stability of Ethiopia : Master # 1 has been Egypt and Master #2 is himself . Both masters want to see Ethiopia weak, destabilized and if possible disintegrated. Egypt's goal is to disrupt Ethiopia from finishing the GERD, to force Ethiopia to sign a "Zero Sum water Share Agreement" , not to use it's water resources and under mine Ethiopia so that it will not emerge as a rival geopolitical and economic power in the Horn Africa. For Master #2( Isaias ) his goals are to establish a puppet government( eliminating TPLF is toward that goal ) so that it controls acess to the market and resources of Ethiopia and to emerge as geopolitical and economic power of the Horn Africa, leveraging on his control of Ethiopia. The Arabs also see Ethiopia and the Eastern Africa as their backyard and they support Isaias destabilization activities with the objective of installing Arab friendly government in Ethiopia. In the Post-EPRDF Ethiopia over the last five years, Isaias was given full Acess to the Ethiopia security and economic sectors in the name of boosting the capability of Abiy's security
system and later his support to eliminate TPLF from the face of the earth. The master brain and the owner of the war with TPLF was Isaias, but Abiy was used by Isaias to eliminate TPLF using Ethiopian resources ( both human, military hardware and economic resources) , in Addition Isaias was paid for his own war and was considered " ትልቅ፥ የኢትዮጵያ፥ ባለውለታ" for looting & dismantling Ethiopian heavy military hard ware & commiting genocide in Tigray. Following the Preitoria Agreement Isaias ordered all of his Amhara dominated medias that were blindly supporting Abiy during the Tigray war to work against Abiy and all of them repositioned them selves to comply with Isaias directive. On the ground Isaias worked to train, arm and organize FANO and the result is the recent violent revolt in the Amhara state aiming for quick removal of Abiy . With the recent " quick win " plan aborted , Isaias will try to organize a bigger armed violence and rebellion right at the heart of Addis Ababa in parallel to similar rebellion at the major cities of Amhara. In the mean time the gorilla fighting against the Ethiopian army will contuinue and he will make sure that FANO will not make any peaceful deal with Ethiopia. For Egypt the ongoing instability and pressure on Abiy is very important since it will enable them to force Abiy to sign " a zero - sum water share agreement" that was recently planned to be completed with 4 months. Isaias also plans to reinvade Tigray incase the Tigray government regain its occupied territories in Western Tigray .
As a summary , the key to solve what is going on in Amhara state is not in the hand of Amhara FANO leaders but with Isaias.
The way forward:
(1) In cooperation & coordination with the Eritrean government opposition in diaspora, Western powers , Israel and TPLF regime change has to be effected in Eritrea.
( 2) Win-win commercial, technical, security agreement with Egypt on the water share agreement and securing it's support Ethiopia's stability and to secure acess to the Red Sea.
( 3) Coordinated military arrangement with TPLF to defend Isaias provocation
(4) Contuinue political discussion with both FANO and OLA to bring stability and Peace in Ethiopia
(5) Widen the political space so that all competitive parties to have level playing field for the next election.
Re: The 1st move to remove Abiy from power has been aborted , what is next Isaias's move?
Agame boy
You, Meles slave, Ayte Seyum and co. had been saying that for 22 years and now see where they at
Remember also
አጎትህ አቦይ ሽንቱ በሱሪው ነጋ aka የችግራይ ማንዴላ ን በገመድ ጎቱቶ ከገደል አንጠልጥሎ ያወጣው ኢሣያስ መሆኑን አትርሳ።
You, Meles slave, Ayte Seyum and co. had been saying that for 22 years and now see where they at
Remember also
አጎትህ አቦይ ሽንቱ በሱሪው ነጋ aka የችግራይ ማንዴላ ን በገመድ ጎቱቶ ከገደል አንጠልጥሎ ያወጣው ኢሣያስ መሆኑን አትርሳ።
Axumezana wrote: ↑10 Aug 2023, 11:17Following to the Preitoria Agreement both Isaias and Amhara exterimists were furious on Abiy and they have been conspiring to kill Abiy and the leaders of TPLF . They have been also planning to attack both the Ethiopian and the TDF army.
During the recent FANO's surprise attack, where civilians were used illegally as a shield for quick win, FANO ate more than it can chew and it could not face the counter attack from Abiy's forces ,even for a single day and it has been retreating quickly.
What is the next move of Isaias ?
Isaias has been historically a strategic thinker and achieving his goals over long years of struggle ( eg his 30 years struggle to free Eriteria and 20 years struggle to remove TPLF from Arat Killo) , however, in this case he knows he does not have time and is still is going to aim for another bloody rebellion ( the blood of Amharas) that will bring "quick win" to once again try to remove Abiy.
Isaias has been serving mainly two masters over the last decades while sabotaging the peace and stability of Ethiopia : Master # 1 has been Egypt and Master #2 is himself . Both masters want to see Ethiopia weak, destabilized and if possible disintegrated. Egypt's goal is to disrupt Ethiopia from finishing the GERD, to force Ethiopia to sign a "Zero Sum water Share Agreement" , not to use it's water resources and under mine Ethiopia so that it will not emerge as a rival geopolitical and economic power in the Horn Africa. For Master #2( Isaias ) his goals are to establish a puppet government( eliminating TPLF is toward that goal ) so that it controls acess to the market and resources of Ethiopia and to emerge as geopolitical and economic power of the Horn Africa, leveraging on his control of Ethiopia. The Arabs also see Ethiopia and the Eastern Africa as their backyard and they support Isaias destabilization activities with the objective of installing Arab friendly government in Ethiopia. In the Post-EPRDF Ethiopia over the last five years, Isaias was given full Acess to the Ethiopia security and economic sectors in the name of boosting the capability of Abiy's security
system and later his support to eliminate TPLF from the face of the earth. The master brain and the owner of the war with TPLF was Isaias, but Abiy was used by Isaias to eliminate TPLF using Ethiopian resources ( both human, military hardware and economic resources) , in Addition Isaias was paid for his own war and was considered " ትልቅ፥ የኢትዮጵያ፥ ባለውለታ" for looting & dismantling Ethiopian heavy military hard ware & commiting genocide in Tigray. Following the Preitoria Agreement Isaias ordered all of his Amhara dominated medias that were blindly supporting Abiy during the Tigray war to work against Abiy and all of them repositioned them selves to comply with Isaias directive. On the ground Isaias worked to train, arm and organize FANO and the result is the recent violent revolt in the Amhara state aiming for quick removal of Abiy . With the recent " quick win " plan aborted , Isaias will try to organize a bigger armed violence and rebellion right at the heart of Addis Ababa in parallel to similar rebellion at the major cities of Amhara. In the mean time the gorilla fighting against the Ethiopian army will contuinue and he will make sure that FANO will not make any peaceful deal with Ethiopia. For Egypt the ongoing instability and pressure on Abiy is very important since it will enable them to force Abiy to sign " a zero - sum water share agreement" that was recently planned to be completed with 4 months. Isaias also plans to reinvade Tigray incase the Tigray government regain its occupied territories in Western Tigray .
As a summary , the key to solve what is going on in Amhara state is not in the hand of Amhara FANO leaders but with Isaias.
The way forward:
(1) In cooperation & coordination with the Eritrean government opposition in diaspora, Western powers , Israel and TPLF regime change has to be effected in Eritrea.
( 2) Win-win commercial, technical, security agreement with Egypt on the water share agreement and securing it's support Ethiopia's stability and to secure acess to the Red Sea.
( 3) Coordinated military arrangement with TPLF to defend Isaias provocation
(4) Contuinue political discussion with both FANO and OLA to bring stability and Peace in Ethiopia
(5) Widen the political space so that all competitive parties to have level playing field for the next election.
Re: The 1st move to remove Abiy from power has been aborted , what is next Isaias's move?
Axumezana wrote: ↑10 Aug 2023, 11:17Following to the Preitoria Agreement both Isaias and Amhara exterimists were furious on Abiy and they have been conspiring to kill Abiy and the leaders of TPLF . They have been also planning to attack both the Ethiopian and the TDF army.
During the recent FANO's surprise attack, where civilians were used illegally as a shield for quick win, FANO ate more than it can chew and it could not face the counter attack from Abiy's forces ,even for a single day and it has been retreating quickly.
What is the next move of Isaias ?
Isaias has been historically a strategic thinker and achieving his goals over long years of struggle ( eg his 30 years struggle to free Eriteria and 20 years struggle to remove TPLF from Arat Killo) , however, in this case he knows he does not have time and is still is going to aim for another bloody rebellion ( the blood of Amharas) that will bring "quick win" to once again try to remove Abiy.
Isaias has been serving mainly two masters over the last decades while sabotaging the peace and stability of Ethiopia : Master # 1 has been Egypt and Master #2 is himself . Both masters want to see Ethiopia weak, destabilized and if possible disintegrated. Egypt's goal is to disrupt Ethiopia from finishing the GERD, to force Ethiopia to sign a "Zero Sum water Share Agreement" , not to use it's water resources and under mine Ethiopia so that it will not emerge as a rival geopolitical and economic power in the Horn Africa. For Master #2( Isaias ) his goals are to establish a puppet government( eliminating TPLF is toward that goal ) so that it controls acess to the market and resources of Ethiopia and to emerge as geopolitical and economic power of the Horn Africa, leveraging on his control of Ethiopia. The Arabs also see Ethiopia and the Eastern Africa as their backyard and they support Isaias destabilization activities with the objective of installing Arab friendly government in Ethiopia. In the Post-EPRDF Ethiopia over the last five years, Isaias was given full Acess to the Ethiopia security and economic sectors in the name of boosting the capability of Abiy's security
system and later his support to eliminate TPLF from the face of the earth. The master brain and the owner of the war with TPLF was Isaias, but Abiy was used by Isaias to eliminate TPLF using Ethiopian resources ( both human, military hardware and economic resources) , in Addition Isaias was paid for his own war and was considered " ትልቅ፥ የኢትዮጵያ፥ ባለውለታ" for looting & dismantling Ethiopian heavy military hard ware & commiting genocide in Tigray. Following the Preitoria Agreement Isaias ordered all of his Amhara dominated medias that were blindly supporting Abiy during the Tigray war to work against Abiy and all of them repositioned them selves to comply with Isaias directive. On the ground Isaias worked to train, arm and organize FANO and the result is the recent violent revolt in the Amhara state aiming for quick removal of Abiy . With the recent " quick win " plan aborted , Isaias will try to organize a bigger armed violence and rebellion right at the heart of Addis Ababa in parallel to similar rebellion at the major cities of Amhara. In the mean time the gorilla fighting against the Ethiopian army will contuinue and he will make sure that FANO will not make any peaceful deal with Ethiopia. For Egypt the ongoing instability and pressure on Abiy is very important since it will enable them to force Abiy to sign " a zero - sum water share agreement" that was recently planned to be completed with 4 months. Isaias also plans to reinvade Tigray incase the Tigray government regain its occupied territories in Western Tigray .
As a summary , the key to solve what is going on in Amhara state is not in the hand of Amhara FANO leaders but with Isaias.
The way forward:
(1) In cooperation & coordination with the Eritrean government opposition in diaspora, Western powers , Israel and TPLF regime change has to be effected in Eritrea.
( 2) Win-win commercial, technical, security agreement with Egypt on the water share agreement and securing it's support Ethiopia's stability and to secure acess to the Red Sea.
( 3) Coordinated military arrangement with TPLF to defend Isaias provocation
(4) Contuinue political discussion with both FANO and OLA to bring stability and Peace in Ethiopia
(5) Widen the political space so that all competitive parties to have level playing field for the next election.