Mereja.Forum

[Digital Weyane]

ያን ሁሉ ሠራዊት አስፈጅተው ሲያበቁ ለኔቶ አባልነት አትመጥኑም ተብለው ተባረሩ! ዋይ ዋይ ዋይ ዋይ ዋይ


How Ukraine lost its battle for a NATO membership commitment




VILNIUS — Ukraine wanted this year’s NATO summit to end with a clear declaration that it will become an alliance member once the war ends, but President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is leaving Lithuania without that ultimate prize.

For weeks, Ukrainian officials pushed their counterparts in the United States and Europe to draft language that offered a timeline and clear path toward membership. The communiqué allies released Tuesday fell short of that, stating instead that “we will be in a position to extend an invitation to Ukraine when allies agree and conditions are met.”

That line proved a deep disappointment for Kyiv, which raged behind the scenes as the U.S. and Germany resisted pressure to offer Ukraine concrete pledges. It was particularly upset at the vague reference to conditions, seeing it as a potential arbitrary roadblock to membership.

Ukraine’s leadership reached out to Washington and Berlin to make its displeasure felt, ending in Zelenskyy firing off an irritated tweet on Tuesday referring to the confidential draft text as “unprecedented and absurd.”

“It seems there is no readiness neither to invite Ukraine to NATO nor to make it a member of the Alliance,” the president fumed to his 7.3 million followers.

The battle over the communiqué left Kyiv unhappy with the process.

Ukrainians were “disappointed with how NATO works” and felt there was “no real dialogue” with the alliance on the issue, said a Ukrainian official familiar with the negotiations.

Ukraine’s backers, to the tune of billions in military and economic assistance, were blindsided by Zelenskyy’s anger.

Even some of Kyiv’s closest friends within NATO were taken aback, seeing the blunt social media criticism from Ukraine’s president as unhelpful and unwarranted during the sensitive diplomatic negotiations.

https://www.politico.eu/article/the-fig ... tin-biden/

[Digital Weyane]

ኽራይሚያ ኾይ ብረሳሽ ቀኜ ትርሳኝ! ዋይ ዋይ ዋይ ዋይ ዋይ

[Fiyameta]

[Meleket]

ቃልኪዳን ሊሰብር ፑቲን ቢፍጨረጨር፡
ኔቶን ሊገዳደር ቢጋጋጥ ዲክታተር፡
ዩክሬን መከተችው የጀግኖቹ ሃገር፡

እኛ እኛ ዳኞቹ የመሃል የመስመር፡
ይህን ወስነናል ኣጭበርባሪ እንዲያፍር፡
"የዛ የቆፍጣና የዘለንስኪ ሃገር፡
33 ሆና ኔቶ ላይ ትደመር!"

Zelensky appeared before adoring crowds in Vilnius’ Lukiskes Square on Monday, on a stage emblazoned with the blue and yellow of Ukraine’s flag and a huge sign reading “#UkraineNATO33.”

Zelensky spoke before thousands gathered in Vilnius on Tuesday.

እኛ ኤርትራዉያን የመሃልና የመስመር ዳኞች፡ ለጀግናው የዩክሬን ህዝብ ከነጀግናው መሪያቸዉ ትልቅ ክብር እንሰጣቸዋለን!

ጀግናው ዘለንስኪ ባያነሳ ጋሻ፡
በቦረቀ ነበረ አውሮፓ ላይ ራሻ።

ወራሪ ከሰሜን ይምጣ ከደቡብ ከምስራቅ ይምጣ ከምዕራብ ወራሪ ነው፡ በህዝብ ትግልም ይሸነፋል![ አራት ሚሊየን ነጥቦች]

“ክሬሚያ ሆይ ብረሳሽ ቀኜ ትርሳኝ!” ቀኜ ትርሳኝ” እያለ ነው የኣውሮፓው ሻዕብያ፡ ዘለንስኪ ጀግናው!

Did Russia’s Putin teach a lesson to NATO countries and the West by attacking Ukraine?
By Elena Gold

Putin’s insane war indeed taught NATO countries and the West a lesson — 10 lessons, in fact.

But first, let’s backtrack: It was already on 4 March 2022 – 10 days into Putin’s invasion of Ukraine – that a China newspaper published the piece named “Putin has doomed Russia with a war that can’t be won”.

It took the analyst only 10 days to understand that Putin made a grave mistake. It was so obvious. “A war that can’t be won” is a pretty strong verdict.

And this happened not because of NATO and the West, but because of Ukraine and its people.

NATO and the West pledged their support to Ukraine long before Putin’s attack on 24 February 2022. What was unknown, was the reaction by the Ukrainian leaders and people – this no one predicted, including Putin. The whole country made the decision not to submit to an invader.

Without that resolve, NATO and the West would be unable to do anything: You can only help someone who wants your help.
So, I’d say, Putin has taught NATO a few lessons, and so did Zelensky and Ukrainians.


Lesson 1. Russia isn’t as strong as everyone thought.
Russia’s military prowess turned out to be a paper bear. Analysts and experts underestimated the effects of corruption on the quality of weapons, equipment, ammunition, supplies, training and morale of the military personnel.

Lesson 2. Dictatorship isn’t superior to democracy.
By surrounding himself with “yes-men” Putin lost the atomic energy of creative synergy. Putin suffocated his generals, who in turn suffocated their subordinates. The whole Russian military system is rigid and ineffective.


Lesson 3. Collective security is the key.
The basic principle of NATO is that an attack on one state is viewed as an attack on the whole alliance. Putin’s war in Ukraine shows that indeed this is an effective deterrent: Russia didn’t attack Baltic states that are members of NATO, although they too have sizable Russian population. In fact, it is precisely the countries that are not NATO members that became subjects of Russia’s attacks – that’s why Sweden and Finland immediately applied to join NATO.

In fact, in 73 years of NATO existence, no member state had been invaded militarily.


Lesson 4. The United Nations in its current state isn’t able to guarantee global security.
In a way, the UN was designed by the victors of WWII to prevent war between themselves. But it’s not effectibe in maintaining world peace or bringing conflicts to a peaceful resolution. A permanent member of the Security Council can still wage a war against another country.


Lesson 5. Being peaceful and neutral makes you a target rather than helps avoid invasions.
Until Putin invaded Crimea in 2014, Ukraine moved towards a nonmilitary neutrality: Its military force was weakened and drastically reduced in size; it willingly abandoned its nuclear arsenal; every president repeated that Ukraine is a peaceful, neutral country.

Then, in spite of 23 years of peace diplomacy, it was subjected to brutal expansionist policy by Russia. Ukraine appealed to the international community that it was a pacifist country, but it didn’t help.

Lesson 6. War is unpredictable.
A full-scale warfare is much less predictable than we could have assumed from algorithms, war games and simulations. It is more likely to produce surprises instead of meeting expectations, up to completely opposite scenarios playing up than the ones anticipated.

Lesson 7. Human factor in war is paramount.
Positive, galvanizing leadership, initiative, imagination, discipline, training and morale play crucial roles in battlefields.
On the opposite side, willful self-deception, absence of clear objectives, hateful ideology, poor discipline and training lead to inevitably shameful outcomes.

Lesson 8. Logistics and supply are essential in warfare.
Not only an army requires personnel and weapons but also a lot of ammunition, transport, maintenance and combat medical care. All these components make or break successful defence and offense.


Lesson 9. A full-scale conventional war between developed nations is possible.
The notions of ‘end of history’ were premature.

Global leaders were unprepared to support Ukraine and its defense of democracy. Delays in implementing sanctions, providing weapons and other support to Ukraine enabled destruction and deaths to continue.

Lesson 10. A global stable order would need a global military alliance.
The current international system fails victims of mass atrocities when it comes to preventing or halting the violence against them. A stable world order would require a global military alliance that would include NATO, which is able and willing to use force when needed.

The “hard power” doesn’t replace the “soft power”, but enables and supports it.

And a bonus lesson:


Lesson 11. The West should learn the futility and even the danger of appeasing the aggressor.
Putin could had been stopped much earlier and at a much smaller cost. It is only when he announced to his people the war on NATO that the West took notice – and even now there are some politicians who seem to think that Putin can be appeased by throwing him another piece of Ukraine.

Truth is, expansionist dictators, like history, are only able to move in one direction.

A cruel dictator like Putin can only be stopped by dismantling his regime. Ukraine’s defeating the Russian troops can start the required chain of events.

ሲጠቃለል
መለስ = ፑቲን = የማሌ (የማርክስና የሌኒን ግርፍ) ልዑላዊ ሃገሮችን የወረሩ ወፈፌ መሪዎች

የታላቋ ትግራይ ህልም = የታላቋ ሩስያ ህልም = የታላቋ ጦቢያ ህልም

ደደቢት ብቻ ኣይደለም ደደብ፤ ሩስያም (ክሬምሊንም) ጭምር ደደብ ነው!

ዘለንስኪ ጀግና ነው!

ድል ለሰፊው የዩክሬን ህዝብ!

[Fiyameta]

[Meleket]

ቃልኪዳን ሊሰብር ፑቲን ቢፍጨረጨር፡
ኔቶን ሊገዳደር ቢጋጋጥ ዲክታተር፡
ዩክሬን መከተችው የጀግኖቹ ሃገር፡

እኛ እኛ ዳኞቹ የመሃል የመስመር፡
ይህን ወስነናል ኣጭበርባሪ እንዲያፍር፡
"የዛ የቆፍጣና የዘለንስኪ ሃገር፡
33 ሆና ኔቶ ላይ ትደመር!"

Zelensky appeared before adoring crowds in Vilnius’ Lukiskes Square on Monday, on a stage emblazoned with the blue and yellow of Ukraine’s flag and a huge sign reading “#UkraineNATO33.”

Zelensky spoke before thousands gathered in Vilnius on Tuesday.

እኛ ኤርትራዉያን የመሃልና የመስመር ዳኞች፡ ለጀግናው የዩክሬን ህዝብ ከነጀግናው መሪያቸዉ ትልቅ ክብር እንሰጣቸዋለን!

ጀግናው ዘለንስኪ ባያነሳ ጋሻ፡
በቦረቀ ነበረ አውሮፓ ላይ ራሻ።

ወራሪ ከሰሜን ይምጣ ከደቡብ ከምስራቅ ይምጣ ከምዕራብ ወራሪ ነው፡ በህዝብ ትግልም ይሸነፋል![ አራት ሚሊየን ነጥቦች]

“ክሬሚያ ሆይ ብረሳሽ ቀኜ ትርሳኝ!” ቀኜ ትርሳኝ” እያለ ነው የኣውሮፓው ሻዕብያ፡ ዘለንስኪ ጀግናው!

Did Russia’s Putin teach a lesson to NATO countries and the West by attacking Ukraine?
By Elena Gold

Putin’s insane war indeed taught NATO countries and the West a lesson — 10 lessons, in fact.

But first, let’s backtrack: It was already on 4 March 2022 – 10 days into Putin’s invasion of Ukraine – that a China newspaper published the piece named “Putin has doomed Russia with a war that can’t be won”.

It took the analyst only 10 days to understand that Putin made a grave mistake. It was so obvious. “A war that can’t be won” is a pretty strong verdict.

And this happened not because of NATO and the West, but because of Ukraine and its people.

NATO and the West pledged their support to Ukraine long before Putin’s attack on 24 February 2022. What was unknown, was the reaction by the Ukrainian leaders and people – this no one predicted, including Putin. The whole country made the decision not to submit to an invader.

Without that resolve, NATO and the West would be unable to do anything: You can only help someone who wants your help.
So, I’d say, Putin has taught NATO a few lessons, and so did Zelensky and Ukrainians.


Lesson 1. Russia isn’t as strong as everyone thought.
Russia’s military prowess turned out to be a paper bear. Analysts and experts underestimated the effects of corruption on the quality of weapons, equipment, ammunition, supplies, training and morale of the military personnel.

Lesson 2. Dictatorship isn’t superior to democracy.
By surrounding himself with “yes-men” Putin lost the atomic energy of creative synergy. Putin suffocated his generals, who in turn suffocated their subordinates. The whole Russian military system is rigid and ineffective.


Lesson 3. Collective security is the key.
The basic principle of NATO is that an attack on one state is viewed as an attack on the whole alliance. Putin’s war in Ukraine shows that indeed this is an effective deterrent: Russia didn’t attack Baltic states that are members of NATO, although they too have sizable Russian population. In fact, it is precisely the countries that are not NATO members that became subjects of Russia’s attacks – that’s why Sweden and Finland immediately applied to join NATO.

In fact, in 73 years of NATO existence, no member state had been invaded militarily.


Lesson 4. The United Nations in its current state isn’t able to guarantee global security.
In a way, the UN was designed by the victors of WWII to prevent war between themselves. But it’s not effectibe in maintaining world peace or bringing conflicts to a peaceful resolution. A permanent member of the Security Council can still wage a war against another country.


Lesson 5. Being peaceful and neutral makes you a target rather than helps avoid invasions.
Until Putin invaded Crimea in 2014, Ukraine moved towards a nonmilitary neutrality: Its military force was weakened and drastically reduced in size; it willingly abandoned its nuclear arsenal; every president repeated that Ukraine is a peaceful, neutral country.

Then, in spite of 23 years of peace diplomacy, it was subjected to brutal expansionist policy by Russia. Ukraine appealed to the international community that it was a pacifist country, but it didn’t help.

Lesson 6. War is unpredictable.
A full-scale warfare is much less predictable than we could have assumed from algorithms, war games and simulations. It is more likely to produce surprises instead of meeting expectations, up to completely opposite scenarios playing up than the ones anticipated.

Lesson 7. Human factor in war is paramount.
Positive, galvanizing leadership, initiative, imagination, discipline, training and morale play crucial roles in battlefields.
On the opposite side, willful self-deception, absence of clear objectives, hateful ideology, poor discipline and training lead to inevitably shameful outcomes.

Lesson 8. Logistics and supply are essential in warfare.
Not only an army requires personnel and weapons but also a lot of ammunition, transport, maintenance and combat medical care. All these components make or break successful defence and offense.


Lesson 9. A full-scale conventional war between developed nations is possible.
The notions of ‘end of history’ were premature.

Global leaders were unprepared to support Ukraine and its defense of democracy. Delays in implementing sanctions, providing weapons and other support to Ukraine enabled destruction and deaths to continue.

Lesson 10. A global stable order would need a global military alliance.
The current international system fails victims of mass atrocities when it comes to preventing or halting the violence against them. A stable world order would require a global military alliance that would include NATO, which is able and willing to use force when needed.

The “hard power” doesn’t replace the “soft power”, but enables and supports it.

And a bonus lesson:


Lesson 11. The West should learn the futility and even the danger of appeasing the aggressor.
Putin could had been stopped much earlier and at a much smaller cost. It is only when he announced to his people the war on NATO that the West took notice – and even now there are some politicians who seem to think that Putin can be appeased by throwing him another piece of Ukraine.

Truth is, expansionist dictators, like history, are only able to move in one direction.

A cruel dictator like Putin can only be stopped by dismantling his regime. Ukraine’s defeating the Russian troops can start the required chain of events.

ሲጠቃለል
መለስ = ፑቲን = የማሌ (የማርክስና የሌኒን ግርፍ) ልዑላዊ ሃገሮችን የወረሩ ወፈፌ መሪዎች

የታላቋ ትግራይ ህልም = የታላቋ ሩስያ ህልም = የታላቋ ጦቢያ ህልም

ደደቢት ብቻ ኣይደለም ደደብ፤ ሩስያም (ክሬምሊንም) ጭምር ደደብ ነው!

ዘለንስኪ ጀግና ነው!

ድል ለሰፊው የዩክሬን ህዝብ!

የዛ የቆፍጣና የዘለንስኪ ሃገር፡
33 ሆና ኔቶ ላይ ትደመር!