Mereja.Forum

First

November 2020 - Abiy launches war against TPLF on the issue of who controls the weapons of Northern command

November 2020 - TPLF unable to defend tigray goes through major shock and slowly retreats to Kola Tembien

8 months later (TPLF restocking)

June 2021 - TPLF captures brigades of ENDF during Abiys Elecrion in Tembien Bereha Abiy declares ceasefire instead of redeploying troops to Tembien withdrawing all troops from Tigray giving TPLF all control over Tigray except Tekeze Melash

July 2021 - Alamata falls to TPLF giving TPLF way to invade Wollo

August 2021 - TPLF is pushed out of Debre Tabor and withdrawal from B22 highway occurs

November 2021 - after 5 months of fighting in Wollo Dessie falls to TPLF

November 23 2021 - TPLF reaches Debresina but withdraws after realising that it will be cut off from Tigray thanks to the armies that in Afar and Lalibela reaching Kobo.
December 1 2021 - Lalibela liberated by ENDF and Amhara forces
December 6 2021 - Dessie and Kombolcha liberated
December 18 2021 - Weldiya liberated

(TPLF stops war for 8 months)

August 2022 - TPLF relaunches war into Kobo
September 2022 - TPLF reaches Gobiye but is defeated in Belango Mountian as Getachew said "a small dent has impacted our frontlines so we are evacuating Welo Amhara"
October 17 2022 - Alamata liberated by amhara and ENDF
October 17 2022 - Shire liberated by Eritrea, Amhara, ENDF

November 2 2022 - Pretoria Agreement

TPLF stops war up to now (June 2023)

As of now its been 8th month TPLF has not engaged in violence keep in mind TPLF taking a 8 month break signifies something major. More likely it shows the lack of firepower and manpower to continue a war without taking a break. The more breaks it takes the less efficient it is

Many forumers think TPLF can invade Eritrea

The problem is the Eritrean Shabia will roll through Shire and Axum going through ENDF lines. It is a fact that the ENDF in Tigray came from Eritrea and have no energy to battle Eritrean in fact they more likely would not Participate in a TigrayVs Eritrea war.

Also Eritrea can mobilize 50,000 troops from Rama Ginbar into Adwa than break into tembien or adigrat. This is where all the tigray genocide yelling begins

Eritrea in 2022 did not launch any major offensives from Zalamabesa Tserona Rama instead it launched a major offensive from Badme direction taking the longest way to Adwa. This may have been done to corner TPLF and destroy its ability to invade Humera\Welkait instead of going through Zalambasa to reach Mekele.

The Question is when is TPLF going to go back to War and take another 8 month break?

If tplf takes a break longer than 1 year it shows it has major wounds and has lost its ability to do what it did in 2021 hence it is bowing down to abichu

Noble Amhara wrote: ↑

26 Jun 2023, 03:16

First

November 2020 - Abiy launches war against TPLF on the issue of who controls the weapons of Northern command

Aye Nobel Agame

Now you blaming Abiy for the start of the war? Not even your own TPLF denied the fact that they started the war themselves. Your attempt to soften your TPLF total defeat also is laughable.

Amhara must defend

1) Adigoshu Ginbar
2) Waldebba Ginbar
3) Telemt Ginbar
4) Abergele Ginbar
5) Wolfa Ginbar
6) Bala Ginbar
7) Berteklay Ginbar