Considering change management theories Abiy may not be able to turn around the country!
Posted: 03 Jun 2023, 13:01
- Five years ago Abiy took over a country that was under turmoil due to lack of strategic leadership .
- Over the last 5 years Abiy has intentionally or unintentionally allowed himself to be manipulated by Egypt and Isaias agents/ Isaias himself and the country has now entered to a perfect leaderless turbulent storm and it looks the ship could sink any time soon which could be culminated by chaos ,more blood shed and disintegration , exactly where Egypt and Isaias want it to be.
- The billion dollar question is could Abiy save the ship from sinking and steer it toward peace, stability and prosperity .
- Turn around looks very late but still there is very little chance to stabilize the country as illustrated below :
- Abiy has to be ready to resign , if necessary.
- Compromised peace agreement with OLA
- Carrot and stick approach with Amhara
- Full implementation of the Pretoria Agreement including reinstating the territorial integrity of Tigray.
- Brake the alliance of Amhara with Isaias including control of armed and unarmed personnel movement between Amhara/ Ethiopia and Eritrea . Close all porous borders including via West Tigray & Sudan.
- Swift change on the constitution to ban ethinic politics, changing territory by force, open-ended establishment of regional states, illegal displacement of people and demolishing of houses etc.. Restructuring of the country to the extent possible based on geography rather than ethnicity.
- Finalize a dam water management agreement with Egypt including both legal and commercial agreements
- Build thrust with the Western countries and get their financial and diplomatic support by implementing the Pretoria Agreement, building a robust transition justice system, securing peace and stability through out the country etc
- Over the last 5 years Abiy has intentionally or unintentionally allowed himself to be manipulated by Egypt and Isaias agents/ Isaias himself and the country has now entered to a perfect leaderless turbulent storm and it looks the ship could sink any time soon which could be culminated by chaos ,more blood shed and disintegration , exactly where Egypt and Isaias want it to be.
- The billion dollar question is could Abiy save the ship from sinking and steer it toward peace, stability and prosperity .
- Turn around looks very late but still there is very little chance to stabilize the country as illustrated below :
- Abiy has to be ready to resign , if necessary.
- Compromised peace agreement with OLA
- Carrot and stick approach with Amhara
- Full implementation of the Pretoria Agreement including reinstating the territorial integrity of Tigray.
- Brake the alliance of Amhara with Isaias including control of armed and unarmed personnel movement between Amhara/ Ethiopia and Eritrea . Close all porous borders including via West Tigray & Sudan.
- Swift change on the constitution to ban ethinic politics, changing territory by force, open-ended establishment of regional states, illegal displacement of people and demolishing of houses etc.. Restructuring of the country to the extent possible based on geography rather than ethnicity.
- Finalize a dam water management agreement with Egypt including both legal and commercial agreements
- Build thrust with the Western countries and get their financial and diplomatic support by implementing the Pretoria Agreement, building a robust transition justice system, securing peace and stability through out the country etc
