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Looks like it is now very difficult for TPLF to defend Shire because Shiraro just fallen after Dedebit yesterday. Another flank just freed Aderkay and Shire will be under attack from two different directions.
That makes the fall of Shire eminent. It is a matter of when.
I will also expect the the war through Zalambesa will start anytime trapping TPLF force from Shire all the way to Mekelle. This will force TPLF to retreat southerly to Temben direction. It appears TPLF is holding on southerly attacks from Sekota and Raya and that is due to its geographical advantage making it easier to defend
If the Ethiopian force around Sekota makes success in the Mekelle direction (now just 52 miles away) the war may end sooner than anyone is expecting. For that reason, TPLF gave maximum attention to the Sekota front because korem, Alamata...etc can fall leaving a large contingent of TPLF in Raya at the mercy of total annihilation
Military Analyst
Jimmy