ፌልትማን (Feልትman) & USA could be Ethiopia’s ባለዉለታ
Posted: 26 Mar 2022, 06:51
How did TPLF, after sacrificing so much and doing all it can in trying to change the whole regional dynamics, got to be devastated so fast and so irreversibly?
Like it or not, USA is/was the hope and despair of all in our region the Horn. And TPLF’s calculation was either to:
• win the war (Plan A) or
• cut off Addis from various directions and foment revolt (Plan B) or
• trigger international intervention that would make TPLF at the center of brokering power (Plan C).
And for USA, to support TPLF or bank its hope on it, it was a delicate balancing act:
(1) if TPLF wins Addis and turns it face on Eritrea and installs a friendly regime, USA doesn’t have to share Djibouti with many world powers and TPLF would deliver Eritrean ports in silver platter and a big geopolitical coup for USA. But on the other hand:
(2) if Ethiopia teeters to breakup, all geopolitical advantages would have no use as the region’s instability would engulf and wash away all entities in the Horn and the disadvantages would be far worse than the advantages that could be had if TPLF won.
So what to do? That is easy for USA which does these kind of games all the time. Send ፌልትማን (Feልትman) to Turkey and UAE to secure all the drrrones and the goods for Abiy because Ethiopia has to be saved. Remember ፌልትማን clearly said USA will never allow TPLF to put siege on Addis. So America did what it does best-keep TPLF happy (guessing) but destroy it beyond repair as it is the easier sacrificial lamb that is a spent force and one that has come to the end of its use to anyone. And it was the only and sure way to finish the war.
These kinds of things are the ones that make me uneasy to not see things in black and white, to always question if what I see is what I get, and not echo/repeat the slogans I’m used to.
So many may be saying Long Live ፌልትማን (Feልትman) & USA as Ethiopia’s ባለዉለታ!
Like it or not, USA is/was the hope and despair of all in our region the Horn. And TPLF’s calculation was either to:
• win the war (Plan A) or
• cut off Addis from various directions and foment revolt (Plan B) or
• trigger international intervention that would make TPLF at the center of brokering power (Plan C).
And for USA, to support TPLF or bank its hope on it, it was a delicate balancing act:
(1) if TPLF wins Addis and turns it face on Eritrea and installs a friendly regime, USA doesn’t have to share Djibouti with many world powers and TPLF would deliver Eritrean ports in silver platter and a big geopolitical coup for USA. But on the other hand:
(2) if Ethiopia teeters to breakup, all geopolitical advantages would have no use as the region’s instability would engulf and wash away all entities in the Horn and the disadvantages would be far worse than the advantages that could be had if TPLF won.
So what to do? That is easy for USA which does these kind of games all the time. Send ፌልትማን (Feልትman) to Turkey and UAE to secure all the drrrones and the goods for Abiy because Ethiopia has to be saved. Remember ፌልትማን clearly said USA will never allow TPLF to put siege on Addis. So America did what it does best-keep TPLF happy (guessing) but destroy it beyond repair as it is the easier sacrificial lamb that is a spent force and one that has come to the end of its use to anyone. And it was the only and sure way to finish the war.
These kinds of things are the ones that make me uneasy to not see things in black and white, to always question if what I see is what I get, and not echo/repeat the slogans I’m used to.
So many may be saying Long Live ፌልትማን (Feልትman) & USA as Ethiopia’s ባለዉለታ!
