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(At least some) Western countries want a united Ethiopia under TPLF tutelage

Posted: 30 Oct 2021, 12:29
by BigBreak
This is my personal theory and I accept this could be completely wrong


In my opinion at least some countries in the Western world like the USA want on the one hand to help the TPLF achieve victory and see Abiy toppled yet on the other hand they don't want Tigray to secede from Ethiopia. This could be down to two reasons:

1. The wider international community doesn't want any ethnic group in Africa to secede from any country in Africa. Rather Africa should remain made up of countries that has borders created by European colonial powers. This would mean only Somaliland and Western Sahara has a legitimate right to become independent nations
2. Those western countries want a unified Ethiopia that include Tigray in order to use Ethiopian military power to overthrow the Isaias regime in neighbouring Eritrea

I can see a situation whereby if TPLF topples Abiy a Tigrayan won't be the next official leader of Ethiopia but instead a non Tigrayan eg Oromo theoretically becomes the next ruler but in practice behind the curtains Tigrayans will really call the shots. This would be a repeat of between August 2012 and April 2018

Re: (At least some) Western countries want a united Ethiopia under TPLF tutelage

Posted: 30 Oct 2021, 12:54
by Blueshift
Bigbreak,

Tigray can secede from Ethiopia, the Western countries could care less. Tigray becomes another Somali land, except Somali land has the means to survive. Western countries are concerned about human right violations. They don't want to see another Rwanda like genocide. Off course, they want unified Ethiopia. But, that is up to Ethiopians. You can't force a country to stay united by suffocating the will of the people. In other words, Ethiopians should chart their own future.

Re: (At least some) Western countries want a united Ethiopia under TPLF tutelage

Posted: 30 Oct 2021, 13:03
by AbyssiniaLady
BigBreak wrote:
30 Oct 2021, 12:29
This is my personal theory and I accept this could be completely wrong


In my opinion at least some countries in the Western world like the USA want on the one hand to help the TPLF achieve victory and see Abiy toppled yet on the other hand they don't want Tigray to secede from Ethiopia. This could be down to two reasons:

1. The wider international community doesn't want any ethnic group in Africa to secede from any country in Africa. Rather Africa should remain made up of countries that has borders created by European colonial powers. This would mean only Somaliland and Western Sahara has a legitimate right to become independent nations
2. Those western countries want a unified Ethiopia that include Tigray in order to use Ethiopian military power to overthrow the Isaias regime in neighbouring Eritrea

I can see a situation whereby if TPLF topples Abiy a Tigrayan won't be the next official leader of Ethiopia but instead a non Tigrayan eg Oromo theoretically becomes the next ruler but in practice behind the curtains Tigrayans will really call the shots. This would be a repeat of between August 2012 and April 2018
Keep Somalis out of your aids infested Tigrayan mouth.

Re: (At least some) Western countries want a united Ethiopia under TPLF tutelage

Posted: 30 Oct 2021, 14:51
by BigBreak
AL

You are a deranged man who constantly tells lie. Going forward I should ignore your as*

Blueshift wrote:
30 Oct 2021, 12:54
Bigbreak,

Tigray can secede from Ethiopia, the Western countries could care less. Tigray becomes another Somali land, except Somali land has the means to survive. Western countries are concerned about human right violations. They don't want to see another Rwanda like genocide. Off course, they want unified Ethiopia. But, that is up to Ethiopians. You can't force a country to stay united by suffocating the will of the people. In other words, Ethiopians should chart their own future.
Blue

Even the TPLF will not pursue secession since Tigray will not want to be sandwiched between two hostile neighbours. Also the TPLF will want to loot Ethiopia in order to make Tigray recover and prospering again

Re: (At least some) Western countries want a united Ethiopia under TPLF tutelage

Posted: 30 Oct 2021, 15:02
by AbyssiniaLady
You have enough problems to worry about, Just keep Somalis out of your aids infested Tigrayan mouth.