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Liberating Western Tigray from invading forces of Amhara and Eritrean armies is the main driver of the current TDF incursions into Amhara region. Restoration of Status Quo Ante is a standard textbook conflict resolution condition which every international org, government or mediator supports. The other alternative is to allow the warring parties to keep territorial gains achieved in the conflict. Such arrangement would be a recipe for future wars, though.
You seem to assume that Tigray Region has taken Western Tigray from Amhara Region. That is not factually correct. Tigray Region did not take any land from Amhara Region. Regions and their boundaries were setup in the early 1990s. Before then, there were no regions. Tigray or Amhara have not changed thier boundaries since they were setup.kibramlak wrote: ↑11 Oct 2021, 08:42What would you say if let's say Afar controls Tigray and call it Western Afar. Then some years after, Tigreans fight and reclaim the ones incorporated as Western Afar. Would you accept for a negotiated settlement while Afar is still claiming Western Afar (aka Tigray) as part of Afar ? Thats by giving back Tigray to Afar and do negotiated settlement ?Means, accepting Tigray as part of Afar (I.e. Western Afar). Mind that Afar is also the author of everything, constitution and maps. Western Afar could be in the Afar delineated map. Would that be acceptable to you ?
sarcasm wrote: ↑11 Oct 2021, 08:26Liberating Western Tigray from invading forces of Amhara and Eritrean armies is the main driver of the current TDF incursions into Amhara region. Restoration of Status Quo Ante is a standard textbook conflict resolution condition which every international org, government or mediator supports. The other alternative is to allow the warring parties to keep territorial gains achieved in the conflict. Such arrangement would be a recipe for future wars, though.
The below comment in other threads really summarizes how a return to status quo ante would end the military conflict.
If the Amhara regional government withdraws from western Tigray, the war is effectively over. That would be so because all parties would automatically lose any reason to continue the war.
1 - Amhara government will have no reason to fight Tigray region if the land issue is referred to arbitration. They have no other conflict.
2 - PM Abiy will not have the main support base from Amhara. Again, what would be his reason to fight? To uphold democracy? He can't justify armed suppression as a way to uphold democracy. So, he will have no reason to fight.
3 - TDF can't justify waging a war to unseat a government. It would have to return to Tigray and engage in political dialog. The world would not support an armed undertaking to change the government.
4 - Isaias can't continue the war because Abiy and Amhara regional govts will no longer require his mercenary services and the UN will be against it any way.
So, all eyes are on Wolqait, Tsegedie and Kefta Humera. A region of roughly 400.000 people comprising 92% ethnic Tigrayans and 6% ethnic Amhara and 2% other. It was known as a region of Begemder province before the ethnic federalism but fell to Tigray region by the new federal constitution.
The land dispute is causing the Amhara to lend their support to the Unitarian PMAA and causes the Tigrayans to oppose PMAA's undermining of the federal arrangement.
If the land is resolved, the problem is resolved. All other issues can only be solved legally for there to be international support.
