Asmara is in panic II
Posted: 21 Jul 2021, 03:23
In my first message of "Asmara is in panic", I wrote about the unpredictability of this war and the closure of the Colulli Potash mine and the new fear blowing in the Asmara air.
Right now, there is clear panic in Asmara including price increases and shortages in consumer goods and staple food because the Humera road traffic has decreased. Plus, there is lots of massive "afesa" round up of young people from the streets by the police, neighborhood watch militia and the security to army training camps.
The main panic is that the Eritrean military officers were expecting the Tigrayan TDF to attack the Humera road to Sudan, hence the deployment of its crack forces such 525 were moved to Barentu and Gulij. But the TDF officers are attacking and moving to the Addis - Assab and the Addis - Djibouti road, that is on the opposite side to the east.
If the Tigrayan TDF forces succeed in dislodging the Ethiopian Federal army in the east, then the fear is that Assab is wide open. With all the new heavy artillery captured and pumped up moral, there is no significant fighting force in Assab that can block the TDF. Assab will be the proverbial "straw that will break the camel's back" to Asmara. The attack on Assab will be celebrated almost everywhere by 115 million unfairly landlocked Ethiopia.
No Ethiopian soldier will die to save Assab for Issaias. This will be double edged sword that will end Issaias's fifty year run on Horn African politics. Everything has its end, will this be the way his sun sets as it did to Sadam, Gaddafi, Abdela Salah and Mengie? It is possible ...
Right now, there is clear panic in Asmara including price increases and shortages in consumer goods and staple food because the Humera road traffic has decreased. Plus, there is lots of massive "afesa" round up of young people from the streets by the police, neighborhood watch militia and the security to army training camps.
The main panic is that the Eritrean military officers were expecting the Tigrayan TDF to attack the Humera road to Sudan, hence the deployment of its crack forces such 525 were moved to Barentu and Gulij. But the TDF officers are attacking and moving to the Addis - Assab and the Addis - Djibouti road, that is on the opposite side to the east.
If the Tigrayan TDF forces succeed in dislodging the Ethiopian Federal army in the east, then the fear is that Assab is wide open. With all the new heavy artillery captured and pumped up moral, there is no significant fighting force in Assab that can block the TDF. Assab will be the proverbial "straw that will break the camel's back" to Asmara. The attack on Assab will be celebrated almost everywhere by 115 million unfairly landlocked Ethiopia.
No Ethiopian soldier will die to save Assab for Issaias. This will be double edged sword that will end Issaias's fifty year run on Horn African politics. Everything has its end, will this be the way his sun sets as it did to Sadam, Gaddafi, Abdela Salah and Mengie? It is possible ...