The Ras comments on current developments
Posted: 15 Jul 2021, 02:40
Greetings friends, citizens of Ethiopia, Horn of Africa.
Firstly, I wish you all good health and prosperity.
As you know we disagree more than we agree but I never take mereja personal. I hope you don't either.
Normally, I like to mock and irritate you lot here and there but this week I feel sad for Ethiopia.
It has reached a new low.
The army is none existent and it's clear TPLF only trained Tigregu in the 27 years it ruled. They are the mother of all nepotism and tribal favouritism.
All Generals were Tigregu and Oromo and Amhara were kept purely to inflate the Army's numbers. It reminds me of when the Allies built fake tanks and army trucks for the Germans.
Over the years, most of what I said came true including the rise of Abiy, Tigray hit from all angles, Amhara always on the run, Oromo being the rescuer of Amhara, minority Tigregu ability to stand on its two feets.
I have said all these things.
In the long run, I see Amhara or Oromo prevailing. Tigregu is only short term victories.
They are too reliant on Ethiopia. They will starve, their economy will collapse. All these things need time.
The locals will then uprise.
What Tigray has now might last 3-5 years max. Tigray had 27 years to develop its forces, ideologies unlike Amhara but in the long run Amhara will consume Tigray.
Whatever Tigray had/has will run out including its aged leaders. They have limited economy.
Amhara and Oromo have the numbers, economy, political capital, the stamp, businesses, research, resources and all internationally recognised institutions.
Biden administration will go if voted out. No guarantee next administration will care about Adwa.
All in all, time is on Amhara and Oromo side.
Oromo can be three things; defeatist OLF, Ras Gobana Abyssinian or cry baby Hachaluu.
If they are Gobana, Ethiopia will prevail.
If they are OLF they might join TPLF and bring their former masters to Addis to be tricked once again. They are slow learners.
Amhara won't allow that though, and they will have the backing of Somalis, Eritrea, etc.
Then we will go Abdi Iley on OLF Oromo
Firstly, I wish you all good health and prosperity.
As you know we disagree more than we agree but I never take mereja personal. I hope you don't either.
Normally, I like to mock and irritate you lot here and there but this week I feel sad for Ethiopia.
It has reached a new low.
The army is none existent and it's clear TPLF only trained Tigregu in the 27 years it ruled. They are the mother of all nepotism and tribal favouritism.
All Generals were Tigregu and Oromo and Amhara were kept purely to inflate the Army's numbers. It reminds me of when the Allies built fake tanks and army trucks for the Germans.
Over the years, most of what I said came true including the rise of Abiy, Tigray hit from all angles, Amhara always on the run, Oromo being the rescuer of Amhara, minority Tigregu ability to stand on its two feets.
I have said all these things.
In the long run, I see Amhara or Oromo prevailing. Tigregu is only short term victories.
They are too reliant on Ethiopia. They will starve, their economy will collapse. All these things need time.
The locals will then uprise.
What Tigray has now might last 3-5 years max. Tigray had 27 years to develop its forces, ideologies unlike Amhara but in the long run Amhara will consume Tigray.
Whatever Tigray had/has will run out including its aged leaders. They have limited economy.
Amhara and Oromo have the numbers, economy, political capital, the stamp, businesses, research, resources and all internationally recognised institutions.
Biden administration will go if voted out. No guarantee next administration will care about Adwa.
All in all, time is on Amhara and Oromo side.
Oromo can be three things; defeatist OLF, Ras Gobana Abyssinian or cry baby Hachaluu.
If they are Gobana, Ethiopia will prevail.
If they are OLF they might join TPLF and bring their former masters to Addis to be tricked once again. They are slow learners.
Amhara won't allow that though, and they will have the backing of Somalis, Eritrea, etc.
Then we will go Abdi Iley on OLF Oromo