Mereja.Forum

The parliament today passed the new law that deals exclusively with this kind of issues and gives minorities like the people of Wolkait and Raya direct representation in the federal parliament and the house of federation. The law also gives federal government the power to intervene whenever an area is disputed by two states without being invited by either of them.

Welqait, Raya and Humera are not ethnic minorities. They are ethnic Amhara, not even geographically inconveniently located. The problem is Tigre region illegally wanted to cross into Amhara land and annex them. Thus, these territories naturally are geographically and ethnically within Amhara region. The typology that applies for minorities within a certain region does not apply in the case of these Amhara lands - unless the houses of federation unnaturally and unlawfully coerces them to be minorities by wrenching them from Amhara. And this move will soon backfire by reverberating opposition and fight from Amhara people all over the place. The Welqait, Humera and Raya case is closed unless one is foolhardy digging for more crisis and instability.

F U bxtch

This is what Federal gov look like

Either bring the meklakyla Serawit back to serve the state or else stfu asmesay

The current drama where TDF is controlling towns after towns starting from Mekele without any real fight is fishy.
There are many guesses but my guess is that it looks to me that PP is trying to convince the Amhara people that it is better for Amhara forces to leave Wolkait and Raya so that the areas come under the federal administration.

The whole drama seems to me has only one aim i.e. to get Amhara forces out of these areas and let the federal government administer them.
Otherwise it just doesn't make sense. TDF controlling Alamata without any real resistance is a joke. The government could pool millions of fighters and prolong the war for the next decades but it is not doing any of that. It doesn't seem even a bit worried about TDF toppling it at all.
My guess is that tomorrow the government will come out and announce that these areas will come under the federal administration and apply the new law.
The whole drama has only one aim to get Amhara forces out of these areas and fulfil the demand of the US.

You know that the existing government is not legitimate and any decree issued after Sept 2020 is null and void.

Inferiori,
No worry.
The agames would never accept that.

temari wrote: ↑

13 Jul 2021, 16:59

The current drama where TDF is controlling towns after towns starting from Mekele without any real fight is fishy.
There are many guesses but my guess is that it looks to me that PP is trying to convince the Amhara people that it is better for Amhara forces to leave Wolkait and Raya so that the areas come under the federal administration.

The whole drama seems to me has only one aim i.e. to get Amhara forces out of these areas and let the federal government administer them.
Otherwise it just doesn't make sense. TDF controlling Alamata without any real resistance is a joke. The government could pool millions of fighters and prolong the war for the next decades but it is not doing any of that. It doesn't seem even a bit worried about TDF toppling it at all.
My guess is that tomorrow the government will come out and announce that these areas will come under the federal administration and apply the new law.
The whole drama has only one aim to get Amhara forces out of these areas and fulfil the demand of the US.

It’s very possible that’s the case.. & good observation!

“... The whole drama has only one aim to get Amhara forces out of these areas and fulfil the demand of the US.”

You must be kidding, right? So according to your theory, the federal government must cook some drama to pull out Amhara defense force from Amhara land instead of directly announcing the plan? It doesn’t add up. Moreover, Tplfists claim victory while ENDF fellow the demand of US government. If that is the case why the US failed to tell the terrorists Tplfists to stop dancing to the none existent victory? It should a shush shush things, don’t you think? Dude how you think of us?

Fed_up, what is your take on the current situations that’s unfolding? Regarding korem & alamata?

mitmitaye wrote: ↑

13 Jul 2021, 17:39

Fed_up, what is your take on the current situations that’s unfolding? Regarding korem & alamata?

It is as simple as drinking spring water. Pulling out the terrorists Tplfists from the mountain ranges and cage to the open field. You know what will happen next. It feels like shabia’s hands on this strategy. If you think woyanus will be the same as used to or even will exist for so long, you must be military illiterate.

I am just sayin

This is still a guess, my guess.
Abiy is playing a multi dimensional game to fulfill his goal of bringing Raya and Wolkait under federal administration.

He knows residents of these two areas will resist the withdrawal of Amhara forces so he is sending to the residents a message that unless these areas come under federal control TPLF will always try to occupy the areas and the residents will never get peace. He is trying to achieve this by withdrawing ENDF and Amhara forces for a brief time. That was a message to the residents to agree that the area should be under federal administration.

The counter offensive and driving of TDF the next day is for the US to send a message that even if ENDF withdraws these areas Amhara and Tigray forces will be fighting over them forever so it’s better these areas be administered by the federal government. Remember, it is the Amhara government that publicly launched the counteroffensive not the federal government. In fact the federal government is in the back seat and this is looking more and more of a war between these two states.

The new law gives the federal government the mandate to intervene when two states have disputed territory. What Abiy is telling to both Ethiopians and the west is that Raya and Wolkait can’t be under Tigray or Amhara regions and these areas are indeed disputed. The areas can only be under the federal government to end the war at least for now.

If my guess is correct then I think this is not a bad solution because we all know there will be no peace if these areas are under either of the regions.

For this reason I don’t think ENDF will go to Mekele. My guess is Abiy wants Tigray to be administered by TPLF the next decades so that life will be so unbearable that Tigreans themselves will start to resist TPLF. Abiy is forcing TPLF to administer and run Tigray with in a no-war no-peace environment and with no economic development in sight. This will ultimately create a rift between young tigreans with no hope and no jobs and the TPLF. That’s my guess. Abiy will not do all the administration and economic development in Tigray and let TPLF hide in caves and play the hero librator. No, he will force TPLF to administer the mess in Tigray. The mess TPLF itself started.

The question is, will TPLF fall for this or force the federal government to administrate Tigray by constant provocation? TPLF may prefer going back to the caves, playing hero and bearing no responsibility. Let’s see.