The biggest Puzzle of Horn of Africa: Will ever be an end to the High Value Hostage of the region?
Posted: 28 Jul 2020, 16:50
Oromo, as some people sometimes also call it "the Oromo cause", remains one of the most valueable political prize in the region well beyond the national boarder of Ethiopia. As such anyone who can take this high value prize as hostage early on can also guarantee that it can have a comparative advantage of political power over its competitors and the Oromos themselves have, unfortunately, produced more than enough number of sell-outs who would't think twice before giving the interest of their own people away for some personal or group gains in return.
- Ethiopia can't be hold together, if there is no Oromo in it, those who wish to control over Ethiopia need to first ensure that they have taken the high prize value as hostage beforehand. Most recent memory that I can remember to this instance is the appointment of Judge Birtukan Midheksa as a party Vice chairwoman by a political party which nearily controlled the state power in a freely held election in the country's recent history, at an eleventh hour of the game.
- Those who wish to gain regional influence of the region will try to take hostage of the "Oromo cause", there is no short supply in finding the bidders.
Somalia and Eritrea have, for example, openly used the "Oromo cause" as hostage to promote their respective interests in the region very recently in history. The winning bidder in this case was the entity calling itself OLF, an organisation which has practically done nothing to change the to improve the lives of the Oromos themselves in its history of over 50 years, except selling Oromo cause at all junctures.
- As far as "Oromo cause" remains hostage to different players in the region, the demand for Oromo-cause will remain "intact" and the vicious cycle leads to lack of self-confidence and complain indefinitely for the future on the part of the Oromo people itself.
- Even Egypt, which is not necessarily part of Horn Africa region, tried to use the "Oromo cause" as hostage to influence the outcome of the negotiations over the use of Abay River in the future. They can't use Tigray, as the influence they can get from this low value prize is not worth of pursuing it. Instead they have to use the "Oromo Cause" and succeeded to some extent in creating a havoc in the latest round of destructions the country had to go through.
- It is possible some religious players have also started to realise the high-value prize around the corner and it could be very soon a reality that the "Oromo cause" will be held an hostage to advance the interests of religious doctrines in the region, with a much broader stakeholders of the issue at hand.
At the same time the Oromo people will never see any meaningful development in the near future and the vicious cycle will persist for a foreseeable future, I am affraid.
- Ethiopia can't be hold together, if there is no Oromo in it, those who wish to control over Ethiopia need to first ensure that they have taken the high prize value as hostage beforehand. Most recent memory that I can remember to this instance is the appointment of Judge Birtukan Midheksa as a party Vice chairwoman by a political party which nearily controlled the state power in a freely held election in the country's recent history, at an eleventh hour of the game.
- Those who wish to gain regional influence of the region will try to take hostage of the "Oromo cause", there is no short supply in finding the bidders.
Somalia and Eritrea have, for example, openly used the "Oromo cause" as hostage to promote their respective interests in the region very recently in history. The winning bidder in this case was the entity calling itself OLF, an organisation which has practically done nothing to change the to improve the lives of the Oromos themselves in its history of over 50 years, except selling Oromo cause at all junctures.
- As far as "Oromo cause" remains hostage to different players in the region, the demand for Oromo-cause will remain "intact" and the vicious cycle leads to lack of self-confidence and complain indefinitely for the future on the part of the Oromo people itself.
- Even Egypt, which is not necessarily part of Horn Africa region, tried to use the "Oromo cause" as hostage to influence the outcome of the negotiations over the use of Abay River in the future. They can't use Tigray, as the influence they can get from this low value prize is not worth of pursuing it. Instead they have to use the "Oromo Cause" and succeeded to some extent in creating a havoc in the latest round of destructions the country had to go through.
- It is possible some religious players have also started to realise the high-value prize around the corner and it could be very soon a reality that the "Oromo cause" will be held an hostage to advance the interests of religious doctrines in the region, with a much broader stakeholders of the issue at hand.
At the same time the Oromo people will never see any meaningful development in the near future and the vicious cycle will persist for a foreseeable future, I am affraid.