Mereja.Forum

[DefendTheTruth]

It has been said many times by the experts in the area that the magnitude of the effect of the infection throught the corona-virus is dependent on the number of the virus (pathogenic agent) that our body may have been exposed to and had to take in. So reducing the number or the degree of exposure of our body to the source of the germ will also reduce the effect it causes to our body, even after it may enter into our body.

This can be done, among others, by keeping a stringent hygienic practices of our body and our environment. Probably wearing masks may also support, according to some reports.

Something that has not been said so far about this virus, but could be important to understand better is that the number of infected people is much larger than the number reported as "confirmed" by the concerned authorities or institutions. This also means that the statistics based on this "confirmed" cases and reported as such may not reflect the true reality.

There is a new report that I came across in the internet which suggests that the Fatality-Rate-Case (FRC) could be as low as leth than 1% (0.37% to be exact in citing the reported figure). This should be, assuming it is correct, a relieving news of many of our current concerns.

While many western countries, which have the capacity to threat the patients of the disease, are trying to spread out the rate of the infection over a longer time period so that their resources may not have to be overwhelmed at once and many patients have to die unnecessarily, they are also keeping their eyes on the end of the story. This is the case for example by the likes of South Korea and Germany, for example, which have treated their patients well and managed to reduce the number of fatalities to a relatively low level.

At the same time they are also keeping their eyes on the ultimate goal of developing the so called herd immunity, where the danger of infection will be reduced to negligible level. To achieve this they are already contemplating about relieving the strict regulations of social-distancing and allow some level of infection rate to happen, so that this could finally lead to the level of immunization of around 60 to 70 % of herd immunity.

Ethiopia's current strategy of containment seems to be working in trying to keep the rate of infection to a low level by trying to track the confirmed cases and isolating the suspected and confirmed cases and reducing the potential of transmissions. Through that the country has also managed so far that its already dire resources of treating the patients were not overwhelmed by an inflow of patients.


Needless to say that this is a costly exercise which is having its big impact on the economy of the nation and that of many many citizens. Many economic activities are impaired and as such the policy is not sustainable, without a major repercussions for the society and the nation at large. If by some coincidence or luck a vaccine could be developed early enough, then we can be spared of such worries. But there must be always a plan B where we are basing our plans on uncertainity in this case.