Jawar Mohamod and the Malfunctioning 'Calculator' (by David Shinn)
Posted: 12 Mar 2020, 12:18
Here is the Summary (key points) from David J. Shinn Article.
Two years a go Jawar Mohamed was the most influential and active player in Oromo politics.Today, his status is no more than a Facebook based activist just like a thousand others in the country. The 'Calculator' he claimed to have created appears to have multiplied himself by a very low fraction.
Here is why the 'Calculator' malfunctioned and computed the wrong equation:
- The ruling party reformed itself and fully controlled the security apparatus of the country since the summer of 2019;
- The Querro (local youth) network was systematically dissolved;
- Jawar's network within the OPDO evaporated when Lemma,Teyiba, and other hardliners were removed from the Oromia government;
- Dissolution of OPDO itself into a national party which trashed out narrow minded and extremest Oromo nationalists from the party;
- A division within Oromo extremists (mostly clan and region based - Shoa, Wollega, Harar, Jimma, Bale, Arsi, etc...) created suspicion and animosity among the various groups.
Read more at:
https://www.opendemocracy.org/nh-Shin-David-catch
Two years a go Jawar Mohamed was the most influential and active player in Oromo politics.Today, his status is no more than a Facebook based activist just like a thousand others in the country. The 'Calculator' he claimed to have created appears to have multiplied himself by a very low fraction.
Here is why the 'Calculator' malfunctioned and computed the wrong equation:
- The ruling party reformed itself and fully controlled the security apparatus of the country since the summer of 2019;
- The Querro (local youth) network was systematically dissolved;
- Jawar's network within the OPDO evaporated when Lemma,Teyiba, and other hardliners were removed from the Oromia government;
- Dissolution of OPDO itself into a national party which trashed out narrow minded and extremest Oromo nationalists from the party;
- A division within Oromo extremists (mostly clan and region based - Shoa, Wollega, Harar, Jimma, Bale, Arsi, etc...) created suspicion and animosity among the various groups.
Read more at:
https://www.opendemocracy.org/nh-Shin-David-catch