Foreign ministry today.
Re: Why the federal government may allow TPLF control few areas for a brief period
TPLF forces have now been fully driven out of North Gondar by force. The western front has currently almost fully moved to inside proper Tigray and seems no more in Wolkait. The pressure in north Wollo is increasing but I am not sure if the government seriously wants TPLF to leave north Wollo because that was and is the pretext to enter Tigray and launch an attack from all sides in Tigray.
It looks like TPLF seems to understand the game (even if late) so I expect TPLF soon to declare the "withdrawal" of its forces from Wollo in the coming few days which will help TPLF to become and act as the victim even-though it started the current war, just like it did the first one.
As winning the war is increasingly becoming impossible, I expect TPLF to shift its energy to acting like a victim. For this reason and even if ENDF refrains from attacking TPLF forces in north Wollo, I still expect TPLF soon to declare the withdrawal of its forces from north Wollo. I think this will happen in a matter of days.
This move will of course put more pressure from the IC on the government to stop its operation inside proper Tigray but this time it seems the government is not willing to stop until it destroys TPLF's military capability.
As expected, all TPLF supporters who have been exited and dancing about TDF marching to Qobo and expecting it to march to Addis will soon realize that TPLF was lured to go straight into a trap and in a matter of days all the war will be exclusively inside proper Tigray. This was the plan and the game from the start.
It looks like TPLF seems to understand the game (even if late) so I expect TPLF soon to declare the "withdrawal" of its forces from Wollo in the coming few days which will help TPLF to become and act as the victim even-though it started the current war, just like it did the first one.
As winning the war is increasingly becoming impossible, I expect TPLF to shift its energy to acting like a victim. For this reason and even if ENDF refrains from attacking TPLF forces in north Wollo, I still expect TPLF soon to declare the withdrawal of its forces from north Wollo. I think this will happen in a matter of days.
This move will of course put more pressure from the IC on the government to stop its operation inside proper Tigray but this time it seems the government is not willing to stop until it destroys TPLF's military capability.
As expected, all TPLF supporters who have been exited and dancing about TDF marching to Qobo and expecting it to march to Addis will soon realize that TPLF was lured to go straight into a trap and in a matter of days all the war will be exclusively inside proper Tigray. This was the plan and the game from the start.
Re: Why the federal government may allow TPLF control few areas for a brief period
It is by now clear that the TPLF leadership is not the brightest. PM Abiy was so desperate to let TPLF start the war by refusing to allow basic services so he can have a pretext to enter Tigray and dismantle the TPLF/TDF and the short sighted emotional TPLF leadership run right into his trap. When will the TPLF leadership start focusing on long term strategies that aims on the betterment of the lives and future of the people of Tigray rather than on the usual short term feel good "victories"? What is the point of short term feel good victories while in the process you completely destroy the fabric of your society and your future? The young PM yet again outsmarted the outdated old guard TPLF leadership. What a sad tragedy for the people of Tigray to having such a leadership. Even a layman with a little brain could have seen what PM Abiy has in his store.
Re: Why the federal government may allow TPLF control few areas for a brief period
Info,
It seems you are worried about what the TPLF can and cannot do in the short and long term interest of Tigrai.
Schools are closed, starvations and malnutrition are killing children and the economy is in ruins in the Amahara and Afar region by the TPLF.
No no - what would have been best for Ethiopia (not Tigrai and not the USA) is to wrap up the stupid war as quick as possible by decimating the TPLF.
We have seen Sebhat Nega go free and now the PP regime is plotting how to rescue the other criminals.
It is embarrassing how this war has been handled. Come on 120 mil with a modern Airforce and unlimited resources vs a sieged ragtag militia of 3 mil- and you are painting a genius military strategist in the 7th king.
It seems you are worried about what the TPLF can and cannot do in the short and long term interest of Tigrai.
Schools are closed, starvations and malnutrition are killing children and the economy is in ruins in the Amahara and Afar region by the TPLF.
No no - what would have been best for Ethiopia (not Tigrai and not the USA) is to wrap up the stupid war as quick as possible by decimating the TPLF.
We have seen Sebhat Nega go free and now the PP regime is plotting how to rescue the other criminals.
It is embarrassing how this war has been handled. Come on 120 mil with a modern Airforce and unlimited resources vs a sieged ragtag militia of 3 mil- and you are painting a genius military strategist in the 7th king.