Mereja.Forum

[Messele Zewdie Ejeta]

Climate science is one of the most complex sciences. While observed trends in climatic variables are disposed to studying climate change, they are not predisposed to attribution of climate change to natural variability and elevated greenhouse gas emissions to the atmosphere.

The complexity of climate science makes the attribution exercise very important. This attribution exercise is also likely to factor into the ongoing climate crisis debate, including an upcoming one by CNN.

Keeping in mind the complexity of climate science, I tried to do some preliminary studies toward the attribution of climate change to natural variability and elevated greenhouse gas emissions. A peer-reviewed journal paper (Validation of predicted meteorological drought in California using analogous orbital geometries) out of these preliminary studies was published several years ago.

Various academic institutions in the U.S., including Stanford University, that have become aware of these studies and the new research frontier have not yet offered an opportunity to advance it.

My effort as an individual to advance this study using crowdfunding (Predicting Global climate and meteorological variability) has not yet been successful.

I am unsure how much the ongoing debate about climate crisis is likely to focus on the attribution exercise, The above paper might be helpful for this exercise and for a better understanding of the climate crisis. I wish that this new frontier of research receives more attention in the discussions about climate change and climate crisis.