The regional war is coming who will win and lose !
This war is going to be more devastating than the previous Tigray war , alliance have shifted to the advantage of Tigray but Abiy also has been able to divide TPLF and brought Tigrayans , politicians and fighters , to his side. Abiy's main backer UAE is also facing its own problems. Amhara is significantly in support of TPLF to use it as an additional horse that will take them to Arat Kilo. Overall the people of Ethiopia are against the war and against Abiy's war mongering and economic policy. After 2+8 years of turmoil in Ethiopia , every Ethiopian is looking forward for its end . Defiantly the upcoming war will determine the fate of Ethiopia, a weak and fragmented Ethiopia or a strong Ethiopia as a strong rival Egypt. The war is mainly the failure of Abiy's leadership, diplomatic and conflict resolution failure , rooted on the wrong decision he made 5 years ago in commiting crime on Tigray. The war is regional and it could be also global if war dynamics will involve global powers such as USA, Russia , China Iran etc . Arabs will be fully involved on both sides and Israel will also be involved to make sure Iran will not establish its proxies in Tigray , Eritrea and Sudan.Egypt will highly involved to weaken/ disintegrate Ethiopia. Tigray & Amhara are going to be the center of gravity of this war. The war will rapidly move to the doors of Addis Ababa and Abiy's war strategies will collapse and reduced to defend Addis Ababa. Abiy's non-regular armed forces in Amhara , Tigray and Oromia will change sides and fight against Abiy's regular forces. The best scenario for post war Ethiopia is if OLA, FANO and TPLF succeed in developing a peaceful transition template which will take Ethiopia to the future! Abiy's crime on Tigray and later in Amhara and the whole Ethiopia has brought his demise.