Mereja.Forum

[Horus]

For the past year or so, I have been talking about the VUCA nature of the geo-military and geo-politics of Horn of Africa and West Asia.

In a state of VUCA, realities, situations, conditions are (1) volatile, (2) uncertain, (3) complex and (4) ambiguous. The current states of the Middle East and the Horn of Africa are exactly just that.

The two day old Iran war could end quickly, could go on for a long time, could be limited geographically or could engulf the land between the Mediterranean, Black Sea, from Pakistan, Red Sea, Horn of Africa and Indian Ocean.

In any event and state of affairs, this war will fundamentally change the existing configuration and alignment of forces in the whole region because when this war is fought and done, some countries will come out stronger and others weaker. Some enemies will become friends and some friends will become enemies.

In short, this Iranian war comes with threat and opportunities. It produces weaknesses and strengths.

Which country will come out stronger and opportunist and which country will come out weaker and threatened largely depends on the intelligence, wisdom, preparedness, vision, strategic and tactical leadership of the leadership of each country.

The point I am hinting at is this - during the Arab Spring, a priceless opportunity presented itself for Ethiopia to act on the construction of GERD.


This West Asian Spring of 2026 may present a golden opportunity for us to act on Red Sea Access.

[Horus]

[DefendTheTruth]

I think Ethiopia's opportunity should lie in a prevailing peace and stability of the world, or any part of it, than in any chaos of it.

Ethiopia is an anchor state of the region and beyond, becoming a diplomatic hub of the world fast, and as such should strive for prevalence of peace and stability of the world.

Ethiopia's access to the red sea should be dealt with as a forgone conclusion, her strive to secure an unimpeded access to the sea is unstoppable!

[Horus]

The idea of Medemer (Synergy) is basically a system theory concept. Synergos is our concept of አብሮ መስራ ፣ ደቦ፣ የሕብረት ስራ። አለቀ።

The idea of synergy (cooperation) is different from the state of affairs of VUCA. VUCA is a description of reality. If human behavior or the behaviors of nation is viewed as VUCA, it is a description of antagonism, conflicts rather than order, peace and cooperation.

Currently, The West Asian reality is described by VUCA, conflicts and antagonism rather than synergy and working together.

In any event, the synergy of Horn countries to provide Ethiopia a sea access is an aspiration at best and a fuzzy desire at worst. The road to Assab is conflict, not synergy. The underlying realities helping us secure sea access are opportunity producing VUCA realities. How we use these VUCA objective conditions depend on our intelligence and preparedness. Our geopolitical, geoeconomic and geomilitary worlds are volatile, uncertain, complex and ambiguous. These are not condition of syergos, medemer or ደቦና የሕብረት ስራ።

[Tiago]

Idiotic ,smelly Galla and fecal gurage,

Watch this!!

[Horus]

Idiotic ,smelly Galla and fecal gurage,

Watch this!!

4ቱ ስልብ የግብጽ ባሪያዎች በቲክ ቶክ እንኳን አዲሳባ ወልዲያ አትገቢም! ኢትዮጵያ ጥላህ ነጉዳለች! ቅማል ጠገብ ጎፈሬችን በቲክ ቶክ ላኪልንና እኛ እንደበርበት! ፍንዲያ ኋላ ቀር!

[fasil1235]

Gurage worada calling for a war but not being around it

We KNOW there is no GURAGE inside ETHIOPIAs ARMY!

There is not even 1 gurage soldier protecting Ethiopia let alone Addis Ababa

It is always Oromo the footsoldier job to protect and die for Ethiopia

As such a war between us and Eritrea will be exploited by Fugaws like Abiy to make Oromo fight endless wars

[Horus]

Gurage worada calling for a war but not being around it

We KNOW there is no GURAGE inside ETHIOPIAs ARMY!

There is not even 1 gurage soldier protecting Ethiopia let alone Addis Ababa

It is always Oromo the footsoldier job to protect and die for Ethiopia

As such a war between us and Eritrea will be exploited by Fugaws like Abiy to make Oromo fight endless wars

አንተ ፋንዲያ ቆሞ ቀር የግብጽ ገረድ!

ጉራጌ እንዳንተ ቁልቋል እየለቀመ እየለመን ዋሻ ለአሻ የሚባዝን አህያ አይደለም

አገሩ ስጥጠራው ደሞ ጦር ሜዳ ሄዶ እጁን የሚሰጥ መንጋ አይደለም!

ሂድ ከአድዋ እስከ ዛሬ ከነባልቻ እስከ ጄ/ል ተስፋዬ ወደር የለሾቹን ታሪክ አገላብጥ

ስልብ የጣሊያን የግብጽ ባሪያ!

[Horus]

[Horus]

THE GENIUS OF GURAGE! HERE HE IS !

[Horus]

[Horus]