The terms orbital forcing, ocean tides, cyclones, hurricanes, and atmospheric rivers describe complex phenomena to try to explain in a small note.
Signals of orbital forcing that are evident in ocean tide levels can be used as proxies to gain an understanding of these complex phenomena.
A simple observation of ocean tide levels inspired Isaac Newton who formulated the law of universal gravitation.
These kinds of simple new observations go a long way when they are proven to be part of natural forces. Orbital forcing is a case in point here.
New researchers are fortunate to have established natural cycles like Saros cycle.
A methodical approach to attribute weather events, such as the recent bomb cyclone in the U.S., to natural variability or man made climate change is to study whether they are in phase or out of phase of natural cycles.
In phase weather events suggest natural variability whereas out of phase weather events suggest climate change due to man made causes.
I started this academic exercise several years ago in the course of studying the impact of climate change on water resources.
Two peer reviewed journal papers, one published in the U.S. and the other published in the U.K., have come out of this academic exercise.
Interested researchers who have the resources to continue this academic exercise may find these peer reviewed journal papers, which are linked below, helpful.
Step toward a Deterministic Solution of the Paradoxical Hydrological Stationarity Problem
Validation of predicted meteorological drought in California using analogous orbital geometries
-
Messele Zewdie Ejeta
- Member
- Posts: 58
- Joined: 27 Dec 2016, 10:21