Forces in Ethiopia & the practical desire of Egypt & Eritrea !
Force / Base / Egypt / Eritrea
PP / Oromia / Avoid / Avoid
TPLF / Tigray / Control / Control
FANO / Amhara/ Avoid / Avoid
OLA / Oromia / Avoid / Avoid
Those forces that have a larger population as home base are not preferred by Egypt & Eritrea. Therefore , effective anti Eritrea & Egypt alliances could be only established by those with bigger population
base ( that assumes those with the bigger home base will agree for win-win alliance & power sharing instead of one dominating the other with ተረኝነት spirit) . The war & fierce rivalry between TPLF & Eritrea while TPLF was in power could be explained by the desire of Egypt backed Eritrea to use TPLF as a puppet. Egypt - Eritrea were also tried to use Abiy government as a puppet but found that they could not do it.( Supporting Abiy was a miscalculation by both Egypt & Isaias).
Since Egypt & Eritrea have repeatedly failed to install a puppet government , the only option available to them is to disintegrate Ethiopia.
To save Ethiopia from disintegration :
TPLF could establish an anti Egypt & Eritrea government by creating alliance with both Amhara & Oromia based forces ( similar to EPRDF). TPLF leadership of the Ethiopian government nullifies the zero sum rivalry between Oromo & Amhara.
ፋኒዬም ሆነ OLA ግብፅና ኤርትራ ስልጣን ላይ እንዲወጡ አይፈልጉም። ከወያነ ጋር ቢወዳጁ ግን ከወይን ጋር ስልጣን ሊጋሩ ይችላሉ ኢትዮጵያንም ሰላም ለማድረግ ይጠቀማል።