The tragedy from the recent extreme flooding in Texas is surreal.
A drought condition in Texas back in 2011 was so extreme that the State’s Governor at the time went public about praying for rain.
At that time, I was studying the predictability of meteorological variability using orbital forcing of the Earth and the Moon. I made a preliminary analysis about the predictability of that drought. A proceeding paper about this analysis, which is linked below, was published by the American Society of Civil Engineers.
The 2011 Texas Drought in Hindsight
As part of this research effort, two peer reviewed journal papers, which are also linked below, were published, one in the U.S. and the other in the UK.
Step toward a Deterministic Solution of the Paradoxical Hydrological Stationarity Problem
Validation of predicted meteorological drought in California using analogous orbital geometries
Interested and upcoming researchers with some resources to do it may find these papers helpful in trying to understand better the predictability of meteorological variability as well as deciphering the effects of the climate crisis.
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Messele Zewdie Ejeta
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- Joined: 27 Dec 2016, 10:21