Ethiopian News, Current Affairs and Opinion Forum
Axumezana
Senior Member
Posts: 17494
Joined: 27 Jan 2020, 23:15

Who is starting the war & who will win it!

Post by Axumezana » 01 Jun 2025, 04:18

The coming Ethiopia - Eritrea war is masterminded by Egypt but to be implemented by Eritrea and it's proxies. For Isaias he will use the Assab issue & regime change activities by Abiy to cover up that he is the aggressor & play victim . Abiy knows he is no much for the

attack of Egypt backed Isaias & his proxies but he has no option than to prepare for it & he is trying to use the Assab issue to mobilize Ethiopians to defend Ethiopia & himself.
For TPLF the upcoming war is an opportunity to victoriously
finish the war that was started in November 2020 & still going on in different forms . The Tigray war was masterminded by Egypt backed Isaias to eliminate TPLF for daring to build a dam on the Abay river, for defeating Isaias in the 1998- 2000 war & for isolating him for about two decades. For Abiy he joined Isaias in the Tigray war to destroy TPLF & subdue the Tigray people in such a way that Tigrayans will never dare to assert themselves at least for the next 100 years. The Isaias & Abiy fall out & the coming devastating war will destroy both Isaias & Abiy but will enable TPLF to have upper hand in the Ethiopian & Horn Africa politics in the 21st century. TPLF shall lead a Confederated/ Federated Ethiopia from Tigray ! Welcome back TPLF as the bridegroom! Last but not least ፋኑዬ will try to synchronize its attack with Isaias but it shall be disoriented - scattered once Isaias is removed from power by Tigray forces.
የፋኑዬ ነገር ትርፉ ዘጭ ዘጭ ነው
መንገዱ ሲጠፋበት ወደ ጓሮ ዘው

https://aigaforum.com/article2021/post- ... tigray.htm


[/quote]
[/quote]
[/quote]
Last edited by Axumezana on 01 Jun 2025, 19:04, edited 1 time in total.

Axumezana
Senior Member
Posts: 17494
Joined: 27 Jan 2020, 23:15

Re: Who is starting the war & who will win it!

Post by Axumezana » 01 Jun 2025, 17:46

Axumezana wrote:
01 Jun 2025, 04:18
The coming Ethiopia - Eritrea war is masterminded by Egypt but implemented by Eritrea and it's proxies. For Isaias he will use the Assab issue & regime change activities by Abiy to cover up that he is the aggressor & play victim . Abiy knows he is no much for the

attack of Egypt backed Isaias & his proxies but he has no option than to prepare for it & he is trying to use the Assab issue to mobilize Ethiopians to defend Ethiopia & himself.
For TPLF the upcoming war is an opportunity to victoriously
finish the war that was started in November 2020 & still going on in different forms . The Tigray war was masterminded by Egypt backed Isaias to eliminate TPLF for daring to build a dam on the Abay river, for defeating Isaias in the 1998- 2000 war & for isolating him for about two decades. For Abiy he joined Isaias in the Tigray war to destroy TPLF & subdue the Tigray people in such a way that Tigrayans will never dare to assert themselves at least for the next 100 years. The Isaias & Abiy fall out & the coming devastating war will destroy both Isaias & Abiy but will enable TPLF to have upper hand in the Ethiopian & Horn Africa politics in the 21st century. TPLF shall lead a Confederated/ Federated Ethiopia from Tigray ! Welcome back TPLF as the bridegroom! Last but not least ፋኑዬ will try to synchronize its attack with Isaias but it shall be disoriented - scattered once Isaias is removed from power by Tigray forces.
የፋኑዬ ነገር ትርፉ ዘጭ ዘጭ ነው
መንገዱ ሲጠፋበት ወደ ጓሮ ዘው

https://aigaforum.com/article2021/post- ... tigray.htm

[/quote]
[/quote]
[/quote]


Zmeselo
Senior Member+
Posts: 35834
Joined: 30 Jul 2010, 20:43

Re: Who is starting the war & who will win it!

Post by Zmeselo » 01 Jun 2025, 18:05

You must've been raped by an Egyptian sometime, somewhere.

Axumezana
Senior Member
Posts: 17494
Joined: 27 Jan 2020, 23:15

Re: Who is starting the war & who will win it!

Post by Axumezana » 01 Jun 2025, 18:56

May be you are sold out to Egypt like your master Isaias! Read the following article written by twin AI brother of Axumezana!

https://sudantribune.com/article60189/

Egypt and the water issue: Negotiate with Egypt but prepare for war

The water issue has been a major driver of instability both in Ethiopia and the Horn of Africa. Egypt with the support of its foot soldier Isaias, has been behind the instabilities Ethiopia faced over the last decade and knowing that its efforts to get a "zero sum agreement on water share" may be foiled, if TPLF led government comes to power, it could start an immediate war using Sudan or directly against Ethiopia. It could also use the USA to pressurize Abiy to sign the water share agreement on the condition that the USA will save him from losing his power at the expense of TPLF. Hence, TPLF/ the new government must be ready to deal with this threat from Egypt/USA. The new government also needs to arrange a sort of security alliance with USA and Israel.



However, the zero-sum game that has been played by Egypt to ensure its water security over the years has become unsustainable, out of dated and irrelevant for the following reasons:

* Creating jobs and feeding the rapidly growing population in the Horn of Africa and in the countries of the Nile Basin demands governments to generate power for industrialization and to transform traditional farming to mechanized irrigated farming to produce sufficient food to ensure food security which requires more consumption of water. The domestic consumption of water also increases in proportion to the population growth.

- The Aswan High dam only stores one-year flow of the Nile water, whereas global warming and other unpredictable climate changes could result in a drought that lasts to the biblical-proportion of up to seven years. In that case, the Aswan dam could dry with unimaginable consequences on Egypt’s growing population and makes Egypt’s current water security strategy null and void.

* The growing population of Egypt also requires more water than the storage capacity of the High Aswan dam. That necessitates the construction of additional reservoir dams either in Ethiopia and/or Sudan (building an additional dam in Egypt is not practical). Egyptians are also considering other sources of water such us linking the Congo River with the White Nile and digging the Jonglei Canal in South Sudan which are good ideas but difficult to implement. If Egypt succeeds to dig the Jonglei Canal, the construction of dams on the Abay river is mandatory to regulate its flow and avoid flooding of Khartoum,

* The Aswan high dam which has a water capacity of 130 billion (GERD stores about 74 billion) cubic meter, may be filled by silt within the next 300 to 500 years. How will Egypt manage such unavoidable fact with a huge population that is 95% dependent on the Nile water? In fact, the construction of dams in Ethiopia prolongs the service life of the Aswan dams by reducing accumulation of silt in the Aswan dam.

* Considering the above points, it is expected that Egyptian water security strategists and the Egyptians government covertly want the construction of more dams (reservoirs) in Ethiopia as far as their so-called historical share is not significantly affected. They also know that dams built in Ethiopia along the deep Abay river canyon (1.4 km deep, more than 40 km wide and about 400 km long) could store thousands of billions cubic meter in water volume and could only be mainly used for hydroelectric power generation with lower evaporation loss and lower construction cost per volume. Therefore, instead of fighting for the 74 billion Cubic meter the GERD stores, discussing and negotiating about building additional mega dams that could generate more power and at same time be used as a “water bank” for the three countries that could store hundreds of millions of cubic meters in a longer period could solve the problem in a strategic and peaceful manner. Egypt and Sudan could help Ethiopia in reforestation of the Ethiopian Highlands to increase rainfall and the water discharge in the Abay river.

* Therefore, since Egypt wants more dams to be built in Ethiopia to use it as water reservoir, agree a commercial agreement with Egypt and Sudan that allows both countries to jointly build more dams on the Abay gorge and buy water from Ethiopia (after using their equitable share).

Post Reply